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2012 Baseball Forecaster (Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster) Paperback – December 20, 2011
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About the Author
Ron Shandler was the first baseball analyst to develop sabermetric applications for fantasy league play. His groundbreaking concepts and strategies, based on component skills analysis, have made him a perennial contender in national expert competitions. Ron's website, www.BaseballHQ.com, won the "Best Fantasy Baseball Online Content" award from the Fantasy Sports Trade Association in 2000, 2003, and 2004. He was awarded a Lifetime Achievement Award from the Fantasy Sports Trade Association in 2005.
Top Customer Reviews
The authors discussed the accuracy of predictions quite a bit over the last couple years and now they have fully embraced a weighted 3-year average unless skewed by obvious trends, scouting reports, injuries, and/or age. Their point, and it's valid, is that the inherent error in actual performance is so great that accurate predictions are impossible. Think about accuracy vs. precision and standard error, or noise, of the data.
Twenty-five years ago when this book was first published, there were very few predictions available. The internet didnt exist. When we drafted our Roto teams, we used the baseball annuals published by the Sporting News (I miss the Baseball Guide and Baseball Register), insight from Bill James, and the spring training magazines. By the late '80's pioneering player valuation authors like Shandler, Patton, and Mann-Manley slowly became available at bookstores. Now, anybody can get pretty good projections the night before the draft.
Shandler's point in this book, however, is that such precise projections are not really that accurate. The Forecaster gives you the tools to do your own evaluations. Use them to select the players you think will perform the best. In this sense, fantasy baseball has come full circle if you're doing your own work. The way to beat the parity created by a plethora of available information is to gather tools that provide the edge of accurate insight.Read more ›
I've placed an inquiry with the author as my book was purchased over 30 days ago and I'm not eligible for an exchange or return from Amazon. Called Amazon and they will let me return the book and issue me a replacement despite me being over 30 days since my order. Thumbs up to them!
Although I'm now very wary of early printing cycles as these books were probably an early printing.
Everyone knows you can't win a league on draft day, and you can't win a league just by buying this book. But if you buy it and use it, you should have a decent leg up on the competition.
Most Recent Customer Reviews
An essential resource for the serious fantasy baseball player. Must-have. I can't do without this on baseball draft day. FantasticPublished on February 19, 2013 by Greg Wallace
I'm not sure what exactly I had in mind, but this book was not what I had expected it to be. I participate avidly in fantasy baseball and had purchased this book to get me an edge... Read morePublished on May 28, 2012 by Jessa
This is a very detailed and entertaining book about fantasy baseball, which includes every MLB player, and also minor league prospects. It's very useful for anyone who owns a team.Published on May 16, 2012 by Len Di Gregorio
This is one of the 2 best fantasy baseball publications you can buy every year. I always highly recommend this book each year even if you're not in a league but just enjoy reading... Read morePublished on January 15, 2012 by LVW