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The 23rd Cycle
 
 
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The 23rd Cycle [Paperback]

Sten Odenwald (Author)
3.6 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (5 customer reviews)

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Book Description

March 15, 2002 0231120796 978-0231120791

On March 13, 1989, the entire Quebec power grid collapsed, automatic garage doors in California suburbs began to open and close without apparent reason, and microchip production came to a halt in the Northeast; in space, communications satellites had to be manually repointed after flipping upside down, and pressure readings on hydrogen tank supplies on board the Space Shuttle Discovery peaked, causing NASA to consider aborting the mission. What was the cause of all these seemingly disparate events? Sten Odenwald gives convincing evidence of the mischievous -- and potentially catastrophic -- power of solar storms and the far-reaching effects of the coming "big one" brewing in the sun and estimated to culminate in the twenty-third cycle in the year 2001 and beyond. When the sun undergoes its cyclic "solar maximum," a time when fierce solar flares and storms erupt, fantastic auroras will be seen around the world. But the breathtaking spectacles will herald a potentially disastrous chain of events that merit greater preparation than Y2K. Is anyone listening?

The 23rd Cycle traces the previously untold history of solar storms and the ways in which they were perceived by astronomers -- and even occasionally covered up by satellite companies. Punctuated with an insert containing dramatic color images showing the erupting sun, the book also includes a history of the record of auroral sightings, accounts of communications blackouts from the twentieth century, a list of industries sensitive to solar storms, and information about radiation and health issues.


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Editorial Reviews

From Publishers Weekly

During the year 2000, the number of sunspots reached the peak of their 11-year cycle, the 23rd such cycle since scientists first discovered the dark solar blotches. So what? As Odenwald, a NASA staffer and Washington Post contributor (The Astronomy Cafe), and other scientists expected, this proliferation of solar storms produced marked effects on Earth, including an increase in the intensity and extent of auroras. Odenwald warns that the 23rd cycle may also produce other, less welcome effects before it reaches its quiescent end in 2006, and the 24th cycle will be even more problematic. His prediction is based on the increasing vulnerability of advanced technology to space weather phenomena, such as bursts of X-rays and energetic particles or geomagnetic storms. The failure of satellites and even gas pipelines have been attributed to the impact of solar storms; given our increasingly networked digital infrastructure and our growing reliance on space-based technology, Odenwald foresees future problems with communication, navigation and electric power grids, all subject to sudden failure from events that begin on the sun. Astronauts may suffer radiation sickness--even death-- if caught without warning or sufficient protection. The problems are sociological and political as well as technological, Odenwald asserts. As space-based business proliferates, it is often advantageous to hide small failures due to space weather or to attribute them to other causes. Practical technological needs carry little weight when NASA funding depends on scientific merit, Odenwald declares, calling for more funding to understand and predict space weather. "The sun is not the well-behaved neighbor we would like to imagine," he says. Odenwald offers a cogent warning, which deserves to have an impact beyond the book's own immediate readership of space science enthusiasts. B&w and color illus. not seen by PW.

Copyright 2001 Cahners Business Information, Inc.

--This text refers to the Hardcover edition.

From Library Journal

With the Sun about halfway through its 23rd sunspot cycle since the 18th century, there is a chance that solar flares and coronal mass ejections (giant bubbles of hot gas erupting from the Sun) will affect the Earth's atmosphere and magnetic field during the next few years. Though the effects might be limited to relatively benign auroras in remote regions, there is a small probability that sufficiently powerful solar outbursts could permanently disable communications satellites and black out entire regions of the global electrical power grid. Such disruptions are so infrequent that most satellite owners and electrical utilities have opted not to invest in protective technology, but if they do occur the economic consequences could be severe. This book presents an interesting explanation of this phenomenon, but, surprisingly, it is much more technical than one might expect from Odenwald, author of the Astronomy Cafe web site and book. Libraries seeking more general titles should consider From the Sun: Auroras, Magnetic Storms, Solar Flares, Cosmic Rays (American Geophysical Union, 1998) or Kenneth R. Lang's Sun, Earth and Sky (Copernicus: Springer-Verlag, 1997). For astronomy, space science, and engineering collections.DNancy R. Curtis, Univ. of Maine Lib., Orono
Copyright 2001 Reed Business Information, Inc. --This text refers to the Hardcover edition.

Product Details

  • Paperback: 224 pages
  • Publisher: Columbia University Press (March 15, 2002)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0231120796
  • ISBN-13: 978-0231120791
  • Product Dimensions: 8.7 x 5.8 x 0.7 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 13.3 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 3.6 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (5 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #1,128,412 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Customer Reviews

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Average Customer Review
3.6 out of 5 stars (5 customer reviews)
 
 
 
 
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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars Good introduction for general science readers, July 15, 2001
By 
Robert L. Estes (Nashville, TN USA) - See all my reviews
(REAL NAME)   
This review is from: The 23rd Cycle (Hardcover)
Interesting topic, though I judged the coverage to be uneven. Readers wanting an update about solar physics will be disappointed by a lack of details; but this can be supplemented by a visit to NASA’s solar physics Web pages.... Policy-makers should be impressed by the real and potential economic fallout from massive solar plasma discharges; but some of Odenwald’s detailed examples illustrate a coincidental rather than true cause-and-effect relation of solar events to Earth-based calamities. The Exon Valdez disaster is discussed at length before being dismissed, and is referenced later. Several pages detail inconveniences due to a power blackout in the D.C. area which had nothing to do with unusual solar activity. I found these references obtuse — I would have greatly preferred to see more information about the sun.

Still, the book’s final chapter is particularly illuminating, detailing current activities and difficulties for space weather researchers seeking project funding in competition with higher profile but much less utilitarian activities such as cosmology. This is followed by several interesting “notes” which provide a few more details about certain chapter topics. The last few pages quote astronomers describing stars seemingly similar to our sun which periodically emit massively greater plasma discharges, enough to literally fry our little world in an instant. Why is our sun different? This is really getting interesting! You turn the page, and that’s it — end of story.

Odenwald’s intent is to increase awareness about real and potential economic and personal safety issues related to variable solar activity. His book serves as a useful starting point for interested general science readers. Those seeking in-depth coverage of this topic will need to look elsewhere, starting with papers and documents listed in the lengthy bibliography.

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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars Not what I expected, but not bad, October 23, 2003
By A Customer
This review is from: The 23rd Cycle (Hardcover)
When I saw the title of this book, I had images of butterfly diagrams, an adequate amount of astrophysics and space physics, etc. However, the book's subtitle, "Learning to Live with a Stormy Star" was a much better clue as to the book's contents. Although some stellar/space science is briefly discussed, the main theme of the book is centered on sociological hardships, financial losses, research budgets, business interests, etc., all pertaining to our periodically stormy sun. Especially highlighted are: the survival of expensive satellites in space during less than ideal space weather, the sociological effects of their loss and the effects of this weather on power grids on earth. But my unfulfilled expectations and resulting disappointment should not result in a poor rating for this book. It is well written, very informative and seems to thoroughly cover, I think, what it was apparently intended to cover - hence my rating of 4 stars.
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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Vital, but strangely incomplete, March 14, 2003
By A Customer
This review is from: The 23rd Cycle (Hardcover)
I am recommending this book to everyone. I am quite convinced by Odenwald's data and studies I have encountered prior to this epochal book that our goverments need to take seriously what the good doctor is warning us about. The threat of unprecedented super-solar flares and Coronal Mass Ejections from our unsteady star, ones that could blank out power-grids, destroy communications satellites and possibly fry increasingly vunerable microchips is something every thinking person should consider.
Nevertheless, despite the five star rating I gave, I was appalled at the meager three-page index, the (in a few places) inaccurate bibliography and the many errata, typoes and copy-edit mistakes in the text. Everyone who buys or reads this book needs to heed this caveat and go to the website; and there are useful updates as well.
Nonetheless, I see the need for urgency in rushing it into press, but do not see why a Ph.D (who probably finds his lay contacts amusing) and a respected publisher like Columbia University Press would allow errors that are usually -- allegedly -- reserved for the much reviled and controversial Print On Demand books. I urge Dr. Odenwald and his publisher to provide us with a revised edition (with, important material to make the 23rd Cycle even a greater book and more complete than it currently is) as soon as feasible.
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Inside This Book (learn more)
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First Sentence:
On Thursday, March 9, 1989, astronomers at the Kitt Peak Solar Observatory spotted a major solar flare in progress. Read the first page
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
space weather issues, space weather conditions, space weather forecasting, geospace environment, space weather events, great aurora, satellite owners, satellite outage, space weather effects, satellite anomalies, geomagnetic storms, satellite failures, solar storms, satellite manufacturers, solar physicists, solar surface, research satellites, sunspot maximum, coronal holes, satellite industry, solar cycle, geomagnetic field, solar maximum, energetic particles, mass ejection
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
North America, United States, New York, Great Aurora, Exxon Valdez, Space Shuttle, New England, Joe Allen, San Francisco, John Kappenman, Conflagration of Storms, Crystal Ball, Great Britain, International Space Station, Office of Space Science, Space Age, They Call Them, Bligh Reef, East Coast, Foxboro Stadium, Metatech Corporation, National Geophysical Data Center
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