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Baseball Prospectus 2009: The Essential Guide to the 2009 Baseball Season Paperback – February 16, 2009
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Top Customer Reviews
I have a few quibbles, however. Because different writers handle different teams, the assessments lack the single voice of the old Bill James "Abstracts." For instance, the comment on Edgar Renteria in the Detroit entry offers the opinion that: "The Giants surprised a lot of people by giving him $18.Read more ›
Prospectus writers do not always limit themselves to stats in their player analysis. Their description of the Angels' Bobby Abreu, for example, starts by admitting "our translations don't do justice to Abreu's brand of defense...You know those long drives that seem like home runs, only to die on the warning track? Abreu watches them bounce." The main thrust of the Prospectus, however, is that you can predict performance through numbers alone. White Sox first baseman Nick Swisher suffered through a drop in average in 2008 from 262 in his prior year in Oakland to a miniscule 219. The authors conclude "that it was the product of little more than bad luck." Since his walk rate, line drive rate and isolated power were in line with prior performance, he apparently did little wrong other than hit the ball at people for 6 months. I guess the breaks don't even out.
I am uncomfortable with the player projections for 2009 (PECOTA).Read more ›
Well worth your time and money! Highly recommended.
Data freaks will love the statistics developed by the folks at Baseball Prospectus. Readers must digest the different key statistics (such as VORP and PECOTA). So, be sure to read pages vii to xvi carefully. These pages explain the variety of statistics that have been developed for pitchers and everyday players.
There follows to bulk of the book, which analyzes each team and its players in turn, from Arizona Diamondbacks to Washington Nationals. The volume closes with about 35 pages of essays on subjects such as best prospects, stadium updates, and PECOTA leaderboards (predicting who will be tops in a variety of statistics). For the latter, take a look and then compare what the projected figures are actually like at the end of the season. For instance, C. C. Sabathia is projected to lead the majors in 2009 with 16 victories. Chipper Jones is projected as the batting leader in the big leagues, with an average of .341.
Let's take one team as an illustration. Since I'm a White Sox fan, I'll be a chauvinist and take a look at some of the information there. Brian Anderson is your basic Good field, No hit" player. His PECOTA projects to a batting average of .232 (this would be the best hitting in his 3 major league seasons) with 8 home runs and 26 RBIs. Jermaine Dye's projections show some more decline, with a batting average of .271 (less than his average of the 3 preceding years, 25 home runs (another decline), and so on. What about A. J. Pierzynski, one of the most irritating players in baseball? A continuation of his recent slow decline is predicted. Another quick note on a feature.Read more ›
Most Recent Customer Reviews
A Web site probably deserves a quick review of the latest in the annual series called Baseball Prospectus. Read morePublished 13 months ago by WDX2BB
Baseball prospectus is one of the books that fans absolutely MUST have heading into each season. Aside from being an excellent resource for fantasy players and fans alike, the... Read morePublished 23 months ago by Josh H.
Very thorough and entertaining descriptions of every major league player and major prospects. Accurate predictions on how they'll perform in the upcoming season.Published on May 13, 2013 by Douglas J. Hervey
Not as critical as players in the past .... I miss the biting criticism. Also had reduced attention to defensive attributes. Still well worth the money though ..... Read morePublished on February 7, 2010 by R. Young
I've been a faithful buyer for several years, and I must say I've been disappointed with this release. Read morePublished on May 10, 2009 by Ed lover
Good stuff for Fantasy baseballers and for just plain fans who follow individual players and stats. I really enjoy Nate Silver's work here and on his political website... Read morePublished on March 30, 2009 by Hd Lemng
Those who dismiss the Baseball Prospectus as strictly for "seamheads" and stat nerds are making a mistake. Read morePublished on March 27, 2009 by John K. Herr
Badly in need of an index. This inattention to detail makes one wonder what else they weren't paying attention as they rushed to press?Published on March 24, 2009 by M. Mason