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Baseball Prospectus 2014 Paperback – February 11, 2014
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""The first time I saw the PECOTA projections, I realized that someone out there understood."" —Jeff Luhnow, General Manager, Houston Astros
Top Customer Reviews
Is Baseball Prospectus what it once was? Of course not. It's always been a collective of smart analysts and writers (some of whom are also funny), and yearly turnover is merely evidence of what a fertile launching ground it has been. Pining for the days of Nate Silver and Gary Huckabay and Christina Kahrl and Joe Sheehan is a lot like saying that your wife doesn't cook like your mom did - it won't get you anything but heartbreak.
The fact remains that BP is an important platform - good work continues to be done there, by writers who take the opportunity seriously, and the value in this annual far outstrips what you pay for it. (The same goes for the website subscription). There will be bits in here that blow your mind, and bits that fail to engage you whatsoever. Turn the page on those, and enjoy the rest. At the end of the season, you'll be glad you had it next to whatever seat you sit in when you watch/listen to/stream/download the games.
Despite lowered expectations, however, the BP2014 Kindle edition still manages to underwhelm. Specific complaints from this Kindle Fire HD reader:
1) The basic player presentations, at first glance, are fine -- each player starts on a new "page" followed by their statistical chart and the commentary. But then you look at the statistical chart -- most players have 3-4 years of data to present, and this is presented broken down across three separate tables to accommodate the width limitations in portrait format. It's awful for anyone who is accustomed to any form of "normal" baseball statistics presentation, including BP's annual. And forget about flipping into landscape mode to overcome it -- the three tables are hardwired. (This is where my limited Kindle knowledge kicks in -- I have no idea what the "right" answer is, but I can tell you what was done isn't it.)
2) The "go to..." index is limited to the major articles (fine) and the team articles. Which means that to locate a specific player requires that you go to the team article and then page like mad to get to where you want to be. If you're looking for Matt Adams of the Cardinals, it's not too bad (he's the first hitter following the team article), but if it's Adam Wainwright (at the end of the pitchers, who are after all the batters), it's not so swift.Read more ›
Last year's edition was terrible. The essays were awful and there were lots of typos. This year, the essays are better and the book is a touch shorter. They do a nice job with their projection system and prospect rankings (they have even begun evaluating their own rankings on the website from 5 years ago to see how good their predictions are).
While it is not what is was 10 years ago, the book still has quality content and is extremely affordable (especially if you buy it on Amazon).
Normally, I immediately go to see how my favored team, the Chicago White Sox, is represented here. Last year was not a good year, as the statistics show (1st in unearned runs allowed, # 1 is fewest runs scored) and their talent cupboard (major and minor league) and their finances and management rate 29th in baseball. Not auspicious for the coming season.
The player by player analyses are always interesting, and I especially like the projections. For instance, Adam Dunn. A hitter with a lot of power (let's forget a dreadful 2011) and a low average (the last three years: .159, .204, .219). 2014? A .214 batting average and 28 home runs. Not sure the home runs counter the miserable projected batting average. There is a 0% chance he will improve his performance dramatically, a 22% chance of improvement, only a 7% chance of a collapse (major decline), and a 17% chance of attrition (having performance decline--but not dramatically). Paul Konerko has had a career that is worthy of appreciation. However, he has been slowing down. Last year--a .244 batting average, just 12 home runes, and just 54 RBIs. A career in decline. This will be his final year. Projections? 19 homers, 68 RBIs, and a .269 batting average--a mild comeback from last year. We shall see what actually happens.
Pitching? The projection is for Chris Sale, a terrific pitcher by a variety of statistics, to have some problems winning.Read more ›
Most Recent Customer Reviews
Not their best edition. Hoping 2016 will be a nice change, hoping new ownership changes the publisher.Published 6 months ago by Andrew
Great as usual, an excellent reference to refer to and wonderfully, thoughtfully written. And amusing in the proper places.Published 12 months ago by Todd M. Carberry
A must for hardcore fantasy baseball players who like the tiniest of details.Published 13 months ago by Ron A. Chastain
I have to admit I am alittle disappointed in this book.
I was expecting a detailed breakdown of the prospects in each team's system, however what I instead got were... Read more
A must have if you want to be competitive in fantasy baseball. Enjoy reading it every year and looking the depth of all the organizations.Published 19 months ago by Chris W Walter
Fairly accurate and a nice tool. Not what it used to be but still solid. They try a bit too hard with the jokes and wittiness.Published 20 months ago by testicular
This is a great product for any baseball fan who wants to understand the new metrics and to find more details to follow during the actual season. Read morePublished 20 months ago by Jerry K. Smith