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Baseball Prospectus: 2003 Edition Paperback – February 1, 2003


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Paperback, February 1, 2003
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Product Details

  • Series: Baseball Prospectus
  • Paperback: 512 pages
  • Publisher: Potomac Books; 1 edition (February 1, 2003)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 1574885618
  • ISBN-13: 978-1574885613
  • Product Dimensions: 10.9 x 8.5 x 1.2 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 2.8 pounds
  • Average Customer Review: 4.7 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (21 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #538,615 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Editorial Reviews

Review

"For how we view baseball players today, Baseball Prospectus is a breath of fresh air." -- J. P. Ricciardi, General Manager, Toronto Blue Jays

"The standard by which all scouting guides should be measured." -- —Billy Beane, General Manager, Oakland Athletics

About the Author

Joseph Sheehan, Chris Kahrl, and Clay Davenport are among the leaders in the discipline of sabermetrics - the analysis of baseball statistics.

More About the Author

Discover books, learn about writers, read author blogs, and more.

Customer Reviews

4.7 out of 5 stars
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See all 21 customer reviews
It is very entertaining.
"skuz_os_8_4evr"
Baseball Prospectus was already the best annual publication on baseball for thinking baseball fans, and in 2003 it got better in several ways.
Eugene Wei
I made a point of reading his postings because he always had something interesting to say.
Jeffrey Lichtman

Most Helpful Customer Reviews

10 of 10 people found the following review helpful By Eugene Wei on April 3, 2003
Format: Paperback
Baseball Prospectus was already the best annual publication on baseball for thinking baseball fans, and in 2003 it got better in several ways. First, in the past it only contained Clay Davenport's translated stats, but this year it includes both actual (or untranslated) stats and translated stats (batting avg, OBP, SLG, ERA). That's useful because you can compare the actual to translated stats to get a sense of where a player was helped or hurt by the competition and ballparks. Second, and perhaps most significantly, this version adds a new forecasting system from Nate Silver called PECOTA. This system compares a player to his most comparable historical peers in age, skills, and physical makeup and predicts the likelihood that his performance will improve, break out, or collapse. It's a unique predictive system that capitalizes on the fact that very few players are like a Barry Bonds, who overcome historical trends and forces to become statistical anomalies.
Some new contributors were brought on board this year to join an already excellent staff. Doug Pappas writes on the economic and labor situation of baseball better than anyone out there, and Will Carroll of the popular daily e-mail newsletter "Under the Knife" joins up to discuss player injuries. And lastly, the player coverage has increased this year to include even more minor league prospects.
Some of the book's best qualities remain. If you want a clear assessment of any team's current and future prospects and the quality of its management and farm system, absolutely read the introductions at the beginning of each team's chapter. They're brilliant. Secondly, the snippets on each player are as humorous as ever. The Baseball Prospectus writers enjoy flashing their wit.
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7 of 7 people found the following review helpful By CGC on April 24, 2003
Format: Paperback
BASEBALL PROSPECTUS is one of the best sabermeticians' baseball resources out there, and thanks to witty, perceptive player commentaries, very accessible to the less numerically inclined. This should not be considered a resource for fantasy baseball players, but is useful for them as well.
In 2002, PROSPECTUS carried only "translated" player statistics--actual numbers adjusted for park and league effects. The theory is that without taking context into account, it is impossible to measure the value of players relative to one another.
The theory is solid, obviously, but the 2003 edition carries both the actual and the translated statistics, which makes it a much more useful all-in-one resource. You no longer have to go flipping through another book to find what a player actually did.
The player write-ups continue in the humorous but incisive PROSPECTUS tradition, though the humor seems to be a bit less sharp this year. It seems they've decided to be a little more serious and straightforward.
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10 of 11 people found the following review helpful By "rlockmed" on February 14, 2003
Format: Paperback
It's even better than it used to be. In addition to park adjusted statistics, there's raw, unadjusted stats for all the major and minor league players, which is great because Stats is no longer making the Red and Green Books. The graphic presentation of the statistics is better, too, with the adjusted stats clearly marked from the raw stats.
The writing is outstanding, and the separate essays on injuries and the forecasting system are really good. It's a gigantic book, and it's almost impossible to put down. I love it.
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5 of 5 people found the following review helpful By Timothy E Krug on March 6, 2002
Format: Paperback
I hope you have alot of time on your hands because you will not be able to put this great book down.
Provides totally honest and intelligent team reviews, explaining why transactions were made and what were the good/bad ramifications.
Excellent and witty player insight, brutally honest at points.
Found myself laughing out load many times.
You won't believe what you've been missing.
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4 of 4 people found the following review helpful By Adam Strasberg on February 28, 2002
Format: Paperback
Whether you're interested in Fantasy baseball research or just love reading about the game and the players, the Baseball Prospectus is the best, most interesting book on the market.
There are general team comments which tend to focus on personal, economic and historical issues. Then come the player comments --the book is organized by league and team then by player dividing hitters from pitchers. It doesn't just write about players in the majors or top rookies, its breath of players is impressive and reason enough to buy it -- from the deep minors on up.
The writing is interesting, usually insiteful; although sometimes they try to get too funny (usually about a player who's perfomance needs more analysis than humor). Still that's a minor quible.
Would I use it for a fantasy baseball draft, yes (I do); although its probably more valuable in season as teams start adding players you've never heard of (the Prospectus has, don't worry).
Would I read it if I weren't in a Fantasy Baseball league -- yes without a doubt. In fact, I would say the book is geared to discussing baseball as a sport more than assessing fantasy value.
There are hours of reading here.
One word of warning -- the stats listed in the book are NOT the actual stats, but rather translations to a "normal" league environment (they list the past 4 stat lines). This translation makes it easier to compare a player's A Ball performance with another's AAA and another's Major league stats, but it can cause some confusion on the first read.
If you are looking for Fantasy Baseball books, also take a look at Shandler's Baseball Forcaster, which is probably better for draft preparation. Still, if I was buying only one baseball book, The Baseball Prospectus would be it.
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