Customer Reviews

Campaign Trading: Tactics and Strategies to Exploit the Markets (Wiley Finance)

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Even though John Sweeney is Tech Editor for Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, I had rather low expectations, expectations which most books in this field fulfill nicely. Mssrs. Sweeney have presented an idea book which focuses on what to look for, what to look out for, and, in passing, saves the cost of a piece of software. What this book is not is a set of formulae showing how to make a million trading. Thank Heavens!

The thrust of the book is to look at the phases a market can go through and to develop an approach for trading the phase now in evidence. Sweeneys also present concepts for turning a loss generated by a phase change into a profitable reversal. This concept builds on the authors' other work, Maximum Adverse Excursion. The concepts are fully explained and a methodology is used to illustrate each. The authors are careful to note that the method used may not be what they use and may not be optimum, but rather is presented for illustrative purposes.

At the outset I thought this work appropriate for only intermediate and experienced traders. Now I'm not so sure. Beginning traders, if they go back to this work from time to time, may be able to save themselves some time and grief.

I certainly recommend the book; I am uncertain whether I should post five stars or only four.

ron davis,CMT

This book beats the theories of Max Adverse Excursion (how much a trade moves against you), Min and Max Favor Excursion (how much it moves in your direction) and then applies it to varying trending, non trending and reversal type of situations. The idea is that a winning trade is not likely to move very far against you. A losing trade is likely not to move very far in your favor. Therefore, one can uses these ideas to construct proper risk management and tweak their methods. I did find the book to be a bit wordy, often taking several chapters to explain a few points that could be summarized in two lines. There is also an interesting chapter about using options to hedge your position, rather than relying on stops. I give this book a strong 3 or a weak 4. There are certainly some good ideas, but isn't anything to write home about.

I first heard about this book from a reference in Van Tharp's book Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom. In the chapter on `where to place your stops' I saw a reference to the MAE concept from Sweeney. In general, you just measure how far a trade goes against you after you initiate a long/short position. For example, a trade you initiate following a trading system may lose 3% before it gets back in the green. This maximum loss is the maximum adverse excursion. Sweeney suggests comparing the MAE's of your winning trades and your losing trades, and then place a stop-loss order based on these MAE levels. The MFE concept is generally the same, but this time it's the favorable excursion of a trade.
The general idea is that winners don't tend to lose that much before they start to rise, while losers can be recognized once they've declined below a certain loss level (e.g. 6% below your entry).

I find these levels to be very helpful in choosing stop-loss levels for my trades. I used to pick arbitrary levels for my stops, e.g. 10% below my entry point or 2 ATR's below my entry. Those stops aren't necessarily bad, but thanks to these MAE/MFE concepts I can quickly determine their effectiveness. Most of my stop-loss levels are now much closer to the entry points (3% to 4%), while I take my winners not so quick anymore.

For these stop-loss levels alone I recommend this book to mechanical/technical traders. One alert though: you have to be able to backtest the trading system you're following. If your just a technical trader following random technical signals in a non-systematic way, this book will not add much value to your trading.