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Circle in the Sand: Why We Went Back to Iraq
 
 
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Circle in the Sand: Why We Went Back to Iraq [Hardcover]

Christian Alfonsi (Author)
4.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (8 customer reviews)


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Book Description

October 10, 2006
An important, massively researched and revelation-filled work of history that uncovers how decisions made by the first Bush White House preordained the current administration’s decision to invade Iraq.


“Is this a one-time thing, or should we foreshadow more to come?”

This was the prophetic question posed by National Security Adviser Brent Scowcroft in a secret April 1991 memorandum about the postwar management of Iraq, two months after the United States had defeated Iraqi forces in Operation Desert Storm—but left Saddam Hussein securely in power. Circle in the Sand challenges the widely held notion that Saddam’s survival was the result of a spur-of-the-moment decision by the first President Bush and his inner circle (especially the “Reluctant Warrior” Colin Powell) to call off the Desert Storm campaign "one day too soon."

Through interviews with the Bush team’s principal decision makers—including President George H.W. Bush, Dick Cheney, Brent Scowcroft, and Paul Wolfowitz—as well as hundreds of never-before-revealed White House documents, Christian Alfonsi shows how Saddam’s survival was the result of a calculated decision, albeit one with disastrous consequences, which had settled the issue of how the first Iraq war would end long before it even began. Circle in the Sand also provides the definitive account of the collapse of the first Bush administration’s Iraq policy after the war.

Unprecedented in its detail about the decision making inside the Bush White House during the first Gulf War, Circle in the Sand provides not only a dramatic portrait of history in the making but also a compelling rationale for the United States’ mishandling of the current situation in Iraq. Did we invade Iraq in 2003 to ensure that George W. Bush would not suffer an electoral fate in 2004 similar to his father’s defeat in 1992? Circle in the Sand forces us to consider that disturbing scenario and its larger implications for the American war on terror.

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Editorial Reviews

From Publishers Weekly

In the first Gulf War, the United States routed the Iraqi military with ease, only to find itself unable to win or maintain peace. Having studied the long crisis in Iraq for his Harvard doctoral thesis, the former ad executive brings clear-eyed analysis, deep archival research and interviews with many principal players to support his compelling argument that the first Bush administration's decision to leave Saddam Hussein in power was a deliberate one that unwittingly ensured the continued American presence in Iraq. From Hussein's threats to use chemical weapons against Israel in 1990 up to the discovery that Iraq had no weapons of mass destruction to speak of in 2003, Alfonsi reports that the U.S. response to Iraq was hampered by divisions high up in the U.S. government, the lack of reliable intelligence on Iraqi affairs and the collision of political ambitions with messy domestic and international realities. Along the way, Alfonsi shows how a well-financed public relations campaign and Bush's own "Manichaean" rhetoric galvanized widespread domestic support for the war, but left the United States with no clear plan for extricating itself. While Alfonsi's treatment of Iraq after 1992 in the last quarter of the book feels abbreviated, the connections between the two conflicts are striking. (Oct.)
Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

From Booklist

*Starred Review* In the late 1990s, Harvard political scientist Alfonsi conducted interviews with critical decision makers of the first Bush administration about the 1991 Gulf War. Drawing on those interviews and previously undisclosed White House documents, Alfonsi dramatically illustrates how decisions made then foreshadowed the war in Iraq waged by the current Bush administration. The calculated decision to halt the war in Iraq before removing Saddam Hussein, in a bid to continue some notion of stability in the region, set the stage for the most recent war in Iraq. Alfonsi details the intense debates about the significance of U.S. policy in the Middle East in the post-cold war era, how they affected decisions on what to do about Iraq in the 1990s, and the internal machinations to influence the president's decisions. For years after Desert Storm ended, advisors--including Dick Cheney, Brent Scowcroft, and Paul Wolfowitz--continued to debate the outcome of the war. The hawks formed a "government in exile" that waited for another chance to push for Saddam's removal and found it in the administration of George W. Bush. Illuminating reading against the backdrop of the war. Vanessa Bush
Copyright © American Library Association. All rights reserved

Product Details

  • Hardcover: 480 pages
  • Publisher: Doubleday (October 10, 2006)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0385515987
  • ISBN-13: 978-0385515986
  • Product Dimensions: 9.1 x 6.3 x 1.4 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1.6 pounds
  • Average Customer Review: 4.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (8 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #2,074,572 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Customer Reviews

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Average Customer Review
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13 of 14 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars If read one book about our misadventure in Iraq, make sure it's this one., November 15, 2006
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This review is from: Circle in the Sand: Why We Went Back to Iraq (Hardcover)
Christian Alfonsi is either brilliant, extremely lucky or both. This book is unique to other recent releases such as "Fiasco" and "Hubris" in that it is evenly divided in covering both Iraq-related conflicts. Mr. Alfonsi's timing couldn't be better considering the sudden influx of old school George H.W. Bush advisors/cabinent members brought aboard to redirect the current conflict. The first half of this book takes a well balanced look at the planning and execution of the first Gulf War. Names that have been in recent headlines such as James Baker, Robert Gates, Richard Hass and Brent Scowcroft appear prominently in the account of Operation Desert Shield/Desert Storm.
The contrast between the two adminstration's handling of the situation couldn't be clearer. While the first Bush administration used their own elements of deception to engage Saddam Hussein, it is clear that his administration was working with a very realist approach that included detailed planning and input from other nations. This is in great contrast to the "cowboy diplomacy" seen coming from George W. Bush and the neoconservative architects of the second war.
I would recommend this book to any student of American miltary escapades abroad. Mr. Alfonsi should be commended for how well his narrative shows the different approaches of two different administrations, and their outcomes.
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13 of 15 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Blunders, Frustration, and Egomania, October 26, 2006
This review is from: Circle in the Sand: Why We Went Back to Iraq (Hardcover)
Alfonsi's "Circle in the Sand" reveals a number of parallels between Bush '41 and Bush '43 vs. Iraq. Both had major problems with CIA information (Bush I was told Iraq would not cross into Kuwait; Bush II heard that the proposition that Iraq had WMD was a "slam dunk"), achieved military triumph easily, incurred serious post-war problems due to lack of planning, utilized Secretary Baker to attempt to bail themselves out of the ensuing problems, had Dick Cheney play a key role in putting positive spin on the outcome, and subsequently endured serious questioning regarding the rationale for beginning hostilities (Bush '41's pre-war messages to Hussein have never been revealed - detractors believe he had "approved" Hussein's initial incursion into Kuwait; regardless, the much-hyped claim that Iraqi soldiers evicting newborns from incubators was proven to be fabricated).

9/11 offered a chance for the frustrated leaders of Gulf War I (Saddam continued to flaunt the U.S., while the sanctions we sponsored irritated the entire Arab world and possibly even strenghtened Saddam's control as he now had greater control over food, etc.) to take eliminate these problems forever. And so, the U.S. returned to Iraq and repeated many of the same mistakes.

The most serious blunder was Bush I's post-war encouragement of Iraqis to overthrow Saddam. This initially led to a bloodbath of Shiites in the south and Kurds in the north, then the rationalization for no-fly zones in both areas to protect those peoples, and then the retention of thousands of American forces in Saudi Arabia to support no-fly efforts. The latter, in turn, became Osama bin Laden's main motivation for attacking the WTC on 9/11. In addition, Alfonsi states that Bush's call for Iraqi people to take matters into their own hands may even have saved Saddam - Iraqi generals (almost all Sunni) preferred more of the same to rule even shared with Kurds and Shiites.

The final post-war error was the U.S.'s decision, announced by then Secretary of Defense Cheney, to reduce our armed forces by 25% as part of an effort to address a growing budget deficit. This act later fed into the need to short-staff the following Gulf War II by Bush II.

Interesting Sidelines: Both Bush I and II also bungled the response to major hurricanes (Andrew, Katrina), and the contrast between V.P. Quayle and Cheney could not be more extreme - Quayle played almost no role whatsoever in Alfonsi's account of Gulf War I, while Cheney's role in the Gulf War II was enormous. Finally, Richard Hass (formerly head of policy planning at the State Department) points out that the first war in Iraq marked the beginning of the American era in the Middle East, while the second precipitated its end.
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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars Why both Bush presidents waged war with Iraq, May 11, 2007
This review is from: Circle in the Sand: Why We Went Back to Iraq (Hardcover)
With deliberation, Christian Alfonsi traces events preceding and following the first Bush's 1991 war to force Iraq out of Kuwait and proceeds to analyze how his administration's policy weaknesses and "victory fatigue" led to the subsequent 2003 invasion of Iraq on George W. Bush's watch.

Alfonsi cites mainly public sources in his Notes, supplemented by some material from interviews he conducted, and with these he does a creditable job supporting his depiction of crucial developments. For example, he documents how the U.S. ended up keeping troops stationed in Saudia Arabia after cessation of Gulf War combat even though the kingdom had been promised all American military would depart. And, the author emphasizes that pressures on the Bush administration to do something about ethnic cleansing in the Balkans distracted American officials to a point that Saddam could take advantage. However, despite a fluent treatment of what actually happened, Alfonsi tends to stay on the surface. Apparently, he doesn't have evidence for a deeper dig into the reasons people such as Defense Secretary (later Vice President) Dick Cheney did opinion 180s: Cheney stated in April 1991 that "It makes no sense at all" to embroil American troops in "a civil war inside Iraq." He said it would "literally be a quagmire." Yet, Alfonsi relates that in 2000 just after Bush and Cheney were declared the official winners of the election, Cheney said at a celebration dinner that now something could finally be done about removing Saddam Hussein. Huh? True, Saddam had been a thorn in the side of American power since the Gulf War, but the rising conviction of neoconservatives and those they could persuade that Iraq must have a new leader seems disproportional to his provocations. Perhaps the neoconservatives presumed that U.S. military power was so overwhelmingly superior that any target could be permanently vanquished without much American bloodshed or lengthy engagements. But -- again, probably because evidence is not readily available -- Alfonsi documents the jumps in key officials' (such as Cheney's) thoughts without thoroughly dissecting how they evolved.

CIRCLE IN THE SAND is, therefore, not a complete study of "why we went back to Iraq." But it does shine a steady light on some vital causes. And Alfonsi does not shrink from pointing out that al-Qaeda was born at least partially due to American activity in Saudi Arabia during the Bush I years, and that after 9/11 the Bush II administration allowed the chance to corner Bin Laden and other top-level al-Qaeda members to slip through their fingers largely because they considered Saddam Hussein and an invasion of Iraq a higher priority even though Iraq could not be convincingly connected to the 9/11 attacks.

Recommended.
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