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A Complete Guide to the Futures Markets: Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, Trading, Spreads, and Options
 
 
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A Complete Guide to the Futures Markets: Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, Trading, Spreads, and Options [Paperback]

Jack D. Schwager (Author)
4.2 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (9 customer reviews)

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Book Description

0471893765 978-0471893769 June 1984 1
Focusing on price-forecasting in the commodity futures market, this is the most comprehensive examination of fundamental and technical analysis available. Treats both approaches in depth, with forecasting examined in conjunction with practical trading considerations.

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Editorial Reviews

From the Publisher

Focusing on price-forecasting in the commodity futures market, this is the most comprehensive examination of fundamental and technical analysis available. Treats both approaches in depth, with forecasting examined in conjunction with practical trading considerations.

Product Details

  • Paperback: 760 pages
  • Publisher: Wiley; 1 edition (June 1984)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0471893765
  • ISBN-13: 978-0471893769
  • Product Dimensions: 9.8 x 7.4 x 1.6 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 3 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 4.2 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (9 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #780,623 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Customer Reviews

9 Reviews
5 star:
 (3)
4 star:
 (5)
3 star:
 (1)
2 star:    (0)
1 star:    (0)
 
 
 
 
 
Average Customer Review
4.2 out of 5 stars (9 customer reviews)
 
 
 
 
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Most Helpful Customer Reviews

43 of 45 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars Schwager covers a whole lot of material, December 9, 1999
This review is from: A Complete Guide to the Futures Markets: Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, Trading, Spreads, and Options (Paperback)
Very comprehensive book. Much if it is difficult to understand. Excellent writing, the clearest in the business, but author gets into some complex info. I feel he is not always fair in giving credit to other authors.

One side issue, a book this costly and technical should have a durable binding. Mine fell apart the first time I opened it. It's glued together like a paperback novel.

All in all it's the most complete single source I have seen in the commodities trading field, even includes chapters on economic theory. It's worth the price. Info on fallacies in fundamental analysis (reading the news) is unique and helpful. Also lots of very wise trading tips

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22 of 22 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Excellent, down to earth explanation of commodities trading, October 12, 1999
By A Customer
This review is from: A Complete Guide to the Futures Markets: Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, Trading, Spreads, and Options (Paperback)
Information for the beginner, then moves into detailed examples and explanations for the advanced trader. Covers futures, options, analysis, spreads and more. Well written, concise, easy to understand. An excellent book for reading and ongoing reference if you're serious about the commodities markets.
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14 of 15 people found the following review helpful:
3.0 out of 5 stars Pure analysis, April 6, 2001
This review is from: A Complete Guide to the Futures Markets: Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, Trading, Spreads, and Options (Paperback)
An old Chinese Proverb states that a mind all logic is like a knife all blade. (In other words, tough to grasp.) Schwager, an extremely intelligent and successful analyst, is something of a quant... the type of individual who enjoys crunching long series of numbers, sifting through data with a fine toothed comb, and finding hidden statistical correlations for their own sake. His writing style reflects this mindset.

While informative overall, Schwager at times tackles subjects of mind-numbing complexity and strays into the realm of the pedantic. (His example of how to fundamentally analyze the hog market is such a case.) I was amazed at the level of esoterica delved into in certain places in this book. After reading this book early on (a trader interviewed in Market Wizards recommended it highly), I was worried that I might have to learn some high level calculus if I were going to be a successful trader. (Don't worry, that's not the case.)

One of the things the successful trader has to do is learn to separate valuable information from noise, wheat from chaff. If you try to read every report and analyze every detail you come across, you will freeze like a deer in the headlights... or otherwise find yourself buried by an information avalanche.

My overall impression is that Schwager approaches markets the way a mathematics professor would approach a particularly thorny problem: with logic, rigor and a visible lack of passion. His strengths are in crunching the numbers and laying out basic facts and theories with precision and clarity. His weakness, and thus the weakness of this book in my opinion, is in poorly communicating the psychological and emotional elements of trading.

This is not to say the book has no value. It is packed with information, and also points out a number of the fallacies committed by traders (skilled and unskilled alike). It is a good reference book to have, something like an abridged encyclopedia of trading, one that can be referred to many times over to brush up on the finer points of a certain strategy or technical method.

I recommend this book for those seeking quantitative knowledge of the futures markets and mathematical breakdowns of the strategies. But if you buy and read this book, be aware that not all traders are so statistical and professor-like in their analysis.

Schwager humbly admits that he is not a good trader himself. I suspect this is because he tries to hide behind rigorous analysis rather than dealing with his emotions and psychology directly, and this book reflects some of that attempt. In conclusion I would say that this is an excellent reference guide, but cannot agree that it is "complete" because it glosses over the critical psychological and emotional elements.
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Inside This Book (learn more)
First Sentence:
As explained in the Preface, the focus of this book is on analysis and trading. Read the first page
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
stock index spreads, trade entry date, intracurrency spreads, ending stock level, weakness period period, constant forward series, hog slaughter level, crossover moving average system, nearest futures price series, planned trading approach, simple gain measure, price forecasting model, interest income effects, average percentage method, simple moving average system, slaughter projection, disappearance ratio, synthetic futures position, link relative method, continuous price series, disappearance level, subsequent price action, maximum retracement, stock index level, equity fluctuations
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
Commodity Research Bureau, Jersey City, Commodity Chart Service, Montgomery Street, New York, Premium of August, Federal Reserve, Dollar Amount of Premium Paid, Dollar Amount of Premium Received, Value of Call, Never Last, Buy August, John Wiley, Value of Put, None Last, Sell August, Jacob Bernstein, The Handbook of Commodity Cycles, United States, Value Line, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Local Time, May June July Aug, Expiration Last, Chicago Board of Trade
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