The West is living "The Hazard" of an impending "Dark Age", unable to anticipate clearly because of widespread "mass amnesia". The Dark Age is predictable from history, which shows that each major collapse of civilization was followed by a disturbing social transformation. The Dark Age Ahead (the book) agrees in part with Jared Diamond's account that Mesopotamia, for example, fell to ruins because of "environmental ignorance" (p. 15), but that was not the whole story. Part of the story is that there are cultural failings that have signaled the decline of major civilizations in the past, which offer lessons for the present and forecasts for the future.
In that connection the book identifies five factors that jeopardize pillars of the culture of the West, where West = North America + Western Europe. The five factors are: (a) the destruction of the traditional family and community; (b) the replacement of education by credentialization; (c) the dominance of technology over science; (d) the overpowering government and its opaque taxation system; and (e) the loss of self-policing attributes of culture. These factors constitute "The Hazard" society is currently facing, and are the subjects of the chapters of the book.
The superimposition of the household (economic family unit) over the nuclear family (biological family unit) has condemned many a family to failure. So "while politicians, clergy, creators of advertisement, and other worthies assert stoutly that the family is the foundation of society, the nuclear family, as an institution is currently in grave trouble" (p. 29). By blurring the difference between the nuclear family and other household units the automobile industry has done more harm to the family institution than illegal drugs.
The replacement of education with credentialization also threatens the West. Nowadays computer technology and engineering are preferred to computer science. As a result you now have skillful computer operators who do not understand the basic scientific principles behind a computer. Employers fund certification programs because they are presently good for the bottom line. Universities and colleges have bought into the credential subculture. Essentially both employers and educational institutions are destroying the scientific basis of Western culture. Truly educated people get no jobs, and "the worst side effect of unemployment is repeated rejection, with its burden of shame and failure" (p. 53).
Just as it happened in Mesopotamia, and early China, science is increasingly being abandoned for profit. The pursuit of profit is stifling the pursuit of pure science that drove early scientists. At the same time society has also abandoned two principles that are key to cultural vigor: "subsidiarity" and "accountability". The latter refers to a people's government in Abe Lincoln's sense; the latter to a transparent tax collecting system. Local government has become dysfunctional; tax revenues are either down or misused, and the production of public goods and services suffers and innovations decline. People needing public assistance are exposed to the cruelties of the Invisible Hand. Thus, "aid failure promotes instability and terrorism" (p. 124) and the dire consequences are predictable.
The subversion of self-policing professional organizations as exemplified by the Enron financial scandal is another sign of the Dark Age Ahead. It all boils down to the idea that "when efficiency becomes the sole goal of a culture, and the "redundancy of nurturers ... [is] eliminated (sic) as an extravagance, ... the vicious spirals go into action [leading surely to] self-inflicted cultural genocide" (p. 160).
The last chapter summarizes the book by describing the "patterns of the Dark Age". The hunter-gather culture was overtaken by the agricultural society. Losers in that take-over experienced a stressful cultural transformation, but soon people forgot until agriculture was "destroyed" by the industrial culture, and that one is gone too. Now human capital accumulation is the culture, but the poor cannot afford investment in the education required to build human capital, and government is either too broke or unwilling to help them. Even for those who can afford an education, education itself is no longer available, having been replaced by the credential subculture. Thus, the Dark Age is written on the wall, for "[a]ny culture that jettisons the values that have given it competence, adaptability, and identity becomes weak and hollow. A culture can avoid that hazard only by tenaciously retaining the underlying values responsible for [its] nature and success" (p. 176). Poignant!
A gloomier than hopeful book; a little below the stellar standard the author set with her previous book - The Death and Life of Great American Cities. Still the scholarship is high, and the message worth reading.
Amavilah, Author
Modeling Determinants of Income in Embedded Economies
ISBN: 1600210465