Dear Mr. Buffett: What An Investor Learns 1,269 Miles From Wall Street [Hardcover]

Janet M. Tavakoli (Author)

Book Description

Publication Date: January 9, 2009

Janet Tavakoli takes you into the world of Warren Buffett by way of the recent mortgage meltdown. In correspondence and discussion with him over 2 years, they both saw the writing on the wall, made clear by the implosion of Bear Stearns. Tavakoli, in clear and engaging prose, explains how the credit mess happened beginning with the mortgage lending Ponzi schemes funded by investment banks, the Fed bailout and its impact on the dollar. Through her narrative, we hear from Warren Buffett and learn how his enduring principles caused him to see the mess that was coming well in advance and kept him and his investors well out of the way.

Editorial Reviews

Amazon.com Review

Morgan Stanley's David M. Darst on Dear Mr. Buffett: What an Investor Learns 1,269 Miles from Wall Street

In 14 Chapters, 265 pages, and 443 footnotes drawing upon 119 sources, structured finance and derivatives consultant and expert witness Janet M. Tavakoli writes about her “meeting with Warren Buffett on the eve of the greatest market meltdown in history” and how meeting him subtly changed the way she looks at global financial markets.

But Dear Mr. Buffett: What an Investor Learns 1,269 Miles from Wall Street is much more than a personal investing bildungsroman. The book is so loaded with lessons, warnings, admonishments, and recommendations that readers will find themselves copiously underlining the text and filling the margins with stars, checkmarks, and exclamation points. Dear Mr. Buffett is wide ranging and hard hitting, written with humility, great specificity, honesty, humanity, and historical awareness.

Captious (or offended) readers may criticize the book as: too harsh in parts; overly broad-brush in its treatment of micro and macro events; and possibly bordering on solipsism when Tavakoli frequently cites her own articles, letters, e-mail exchanges, telephone conversations, and television appearances. Serious financial debacles in the post-Millennium years have left plenty of blame to be apportioned among firms, regulators, the financial system, and let’s face it, human nature, and though polite and deferential, Tavakoli (called by Business Week “the Cassandra of credit derivatives”) is not reticent. At times, her tone can be Biblically prophetic.

That said, Dear Mr. Buffett is worth its weight in gold for two main reasons. First, the timeless investment lessons laced throughout the book. To cite a few:

Warren does not rely on a price because that is what you pay. He relies on value because that is what you get (page 23).

The five most dangerous words in business may be “Everybody else is doing it” (page 38).

Janet Tavakoli’s Theory of Everything in Finance: The value of any financial transaction is based on the timing of cash flows, the frequency of cash flows, the magnitude of cash flows, and the probability of receipt of those cash flows (page 69).

One of Warren Buffet’s core principles: Don’t lend money to people who can’t pay you back. If you do not understand something, do not invest (page 105).

The fraud triangle: need, opportunity, and the ability to rationalize one’s behavior (page 199).

Second, the book contains lucid, lapidary descriptions of options backdating (Chapter 3); mortgages (Chapter 5); complex structured products, securitizations, and off-balance sheet vehicles (Chapter 7); and the perils of leverage and the developments leading to the difficulties at Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and other financial enterprises (Chapters 8 and 9).

Parts of the book read like replaying a YouTube video of a hurricane. Whether or not you agree with Tavakoli in all cases on the details and/or her approach, what comes through in every sentence is her conviction and courage in recounting what happened and her creativity and concretization in proposing safeguards and solutions. In the Preface, she says she is “still learning,” and the financial realm stands the richer from her energy, discernment, persistence, erudition, curiosity, insight, and human empathy.

Read this book as soon as you can. As Warren Edward Buffett has said, “Janet Tavakoli should have been listened to much more carefully in the past… and will be in the future.”

David M. Darst is a Managing Director at Morgan Stanley. He serves as Chief Investment Strategist of the firm's Global Wealth Management Group and is the Chairman of the Asset Allocation Committee. Darst is also the founding president of the Morgan Stanley Investment Group. Prior to joining Morgan Stanley in 1996, he was with Goldman Sachs for over twenty years, where he served as a senior executive in the Equities Division. Darst is often quoted in the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and Financial Times, among others. He is also a frequent guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, and FOX News. He earned his MBA from Harvard Business School and received a BA in economics from Yale University. Darst is a CFA charterholder.

Review

Altogether this book is an excellent read, loaded with information about the goings-on in the financial sector in the US till as recently as September 2008. The is informal, almost like a conversation in a lounge bar, racy, laced with wit and when it comments on leading actors in the drama, dipped in vitriol. Tavakoli is a name we will be hearing about frequently in the near future. (Business Standard)

"Dear Buffett is must reading . . . in a way that only Tavakoli could provide. . . Tavakoli knows her stuff. She knows where the bodies are buried in the complex formulas. . . And, almost as a bonus, we get Buffett's views and insights into his derivatives trading. There's nothing more you could ask for in a financial book in this day and age of financial derivatives meltdown." (Economic Policy Journal)

"...full of anecdotes, details and character sketches that add depth...she knows her stuff, has strong opinions and turns a colourful quote." (Financial Times, February 21st 2009)

"A clear and pacy run through the multitude of sins and sinners in the modern financial world. . . full of anecdotes, details and character sketches that add depth and colour to even the best known episodes of the past two years. [Tavakoli] also covers events only a few years before the current crisis that should have been big warning signs. The correspondence between Buffett and Tavakoli over the past three years reinforced her existing views on the dangers of complex finance. And with Buffett's blessing, this book will find a ready-made fan base with little marketing effort. . . Tavakoli makes for an attractive pundit - she knows her stuff, has strong opinions and turns a colourful quote. . . There is a healthy dose of "I told you so" about this volume - but, to be fair, Tavakoli is one of the few who did." (Financial Times)

"[Tavakoli has] been railing against emperors wearing no clothes in the credit derivatives markets forever. If only people... --This text refers to the Kindle Edition edition.

See all Editorial Reviews

Product Details

• Hardcover: 304 pages
• Publisher: Wiley; 1 edition (January 9, 2009)
• Language: English
• ISBN-10: 047040678X
• ISBN-13: 978-0470406786
• Product Dimensions: 6.4 x 1 x 9.3 inches
• Shipping Weight: 1.2 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
• Average Customer Review: 3.9 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (47 customer reviews)
• Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #809,292 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
  • #33 in Books > Biographies & Memoirs > People, A-Z > ( B ) > Buffett, Warren

More About the Author

Janet Tavakoli was born and raised in Chicago, Illinois. She has worked as a chemical engineer, lived with her ex-husband in Iran when the Shah was overthrown, and afterwards returned to the States where she got her MBA and worked for Wall Street firms in New York and London. She now heads her own financial consulting firm.

She's a well-known writer of non-fiction financial trade books giving early warning about peril to the global financial system: "Credit Derivatives," "Collateralized Debt Obligations," "Structured Finance," and "Dear Mr. Buffett." "The New Robber Barons," an eBook, is a compilation of her commentaries since the September 2008 financial crisis. Her fiction debut is a fi-fi (financial fiction) thriller steeped in Vatican and Roman intrigue: "Archangels: Rise of the Jesuits."

Ms. Tavakoli is frequently published and quoted in the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, New York Times, Business Week, Bloomberg News, and more. She is also a frequent front page writer at the Huffington Post. Frequent television appearances include CBS's 60 Minutes, CNN, C-Span, CNBC, BNN, CBS Evening News, Bloomberg TV, Fox, ABC, and BBC.

Most Helpful Customer Reviews

51 of 56 people found the following review helpful

5.0 out of 5 stars The Sub-Prime Crisis: The Good, The Bad, and The Guilty April 17, 2009

By Dynamic Duo

Format:Hardcover

Janet Tavakoli, a well-known expert in the world of credit derivatives and structured products (yes, those toxic assets) has written a remarkably entertaining and insightful book in which she combines Mr. Buffett's wisdom and advice with her own views about the credit crisis. Tavakoli's previous books, all about highly technical topics, allowed her to show only one set of skills, albeit an important one: her ability to explain technical issues in an accessible manner. In Mr. Buffett, however, a book for the general public that contains no formulas or equations, she demonstrates that she can write not only with clarity but with wit. Her prose is agile and precise, and her words punch her victims always fatally, and not once, but just in case, many times. Hints of this refreshing style were somehow present, although not totally in the open, in her previous book (Structured Finance & Collateralized Debt Obligations). Despite the subject matter she managed to include comments about triboluminescense, sexual positions, and the Nogorno-Karabakh dispute while making reference to characters as diverse as Michael Moore, Richard Feynman, Shakespeare and Paul Marcinkus.

Mr. Buffett started with an invitation by The Sage of Omaha to Tavakoli in June 2005 ("Be sure to stop by if you are ever in Omaha and want to talk credit derivatives") after she had mailed him a copy of her latest derivatives book. Knowing that she would never have any reason to be near Omaha, Tavakoli volunteered a few days to visit. Shortly thereafter, she flew from Chicago (where she lives) to have lunch with Mr. Buffett in a place "with no décor but good food." That started a dialogue between the two of them (through subsequent phone calls, e-mails, and letters) that seems to be still going on....

In a sense, Tavakoli's book is more about the current crisis rather than Mr. Buffett, although there is enough about him to satisfy the Buffett-curious reader. He comes across as a deceptively affable man who advises her not to neglect her love life, enjoys and values gossiping, reads financial reports the way a teenager reads Playboy, and believes there is no difference between value and growth stocks. This came as personal relief because I always failed to see the difference between them no matter how hard all the mutual funds prospects I have seen try to make that point. On a more serious note, Mr. Buffett seems not to take the Efficient Market Theory (or dogma?) too seriously. Not a surprise if you think that his track record as investor is a living proof of the fallacy of the theory. More important, Buffett reminds us of the danger of leverage: anyone can show great investment returns with leverage (inflated revenues, he calls them). It is when things go the other way, and leverage magnifies the mistakes, that you can really see who has been swimming naked.

But the backbone of the book (and its most interesting aspect) is the critique and analysis of the current financial crisis that Tavakoli intertwines cleverly within her own dialogue with Mr. Buffett. She makes a convincing case that at the root of the present crisis there was a bad combination of dishonest executives and bankers under the surveillance of incompetent, and probably equally dishonest, regulators.

For example, the chapter about the backdating of stock options scandal, although not strictly related to the credit crisis, makes you wonder about the character of the people running corporate America: in the 2006-2007 timeframe more than 120 U.S. companies were under investigation for accounting irregularities; 85 ended up amending their earning statements. She is very critical of the role played by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), which invoked an obscure 1862 provision to undermine the states' ability to police predatory lending. This decision, she believes, had a very negative effect on mortgage origination standards and their subsequent re-packaging by investment bankers. Additionally, she castigates the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for failing to oversee the investment banks. And when it comes to the rating agencies, which blessed some of these securitizations with AAA ("very safe") ratings, she employs the term "financial astrology". Enough said! Ironically, Mr. Buffett, who through its investment company (Berkshire Hathaway) owns almost 20% of Moody's stock, has admitted to her that this is one investment he is not proud of.

Tavakoli also paints a disturbing picture when she describes the collapse of two Bear Stearns investment funds (she received a "thinly veiled threat" by the fund manager after she was quoted in the press saying something he did not like); when she explains how the well-connected Carlyle group got help from the Fed while a less plugged-in fund, Peloton, was let go; and when she shows that her initial assessment of AIG, Merrill, and Citigroup losses (all made in late 2007 and early 2008 and in contradiction with the information released by those companies at the time) was ultimately right on the money. The list of financial and ethical shenanigans is long and compelling, full of juicy anecdotes, and supported by solid data and well-articulated reasoning. Although is fun reading about these issues it is quite depressing to think about them: you get the sense that the story is more in tune with the doings of a corrupt military dictatorship in a third world country rather than the oldest democracy in the world.

Much has been said about the acronyms used to describe the financial instruments involved in this crisis: CDOs, SIVs, CPDOs, ABS, MBS, CDS, ABCP, etc. Ironically, the list of government entities which, in her view, have something to apologize for is almost as long: SEC, FED, OCC, FDIC, FHFA, OTC, OFHEO, etc. To what extent these regulatory entities, which sometimes overlap, but also leave voids, will survive in a global market is something to ponder. The case for one regulatory body with wide international authority is becoming stronger as the case for state-level bodies become more dubious. Although Tavakoli does not make these two points explicitly, one wonders.

Some readers might feel turn off by a few Warren-and-I type of statements that seem a bit self-serving. And a case can be made that perhaps many investors deserved what they got because in their greedy quest for unreasonable returns they overlooked basic principles of prudence --a point that does not come across very strongly in the book. Lastly, Chapter 13 (The Fogs of War, Religion and Politics), a very interesting chapter in its own right, is probably better suited to be dealt with in a separate (next?) book. That said, these are minor sins in an otherwise excellent book.

The following paragraph, which appears close to the end of the book, summarizes the main thesis,
"Washington is supposed to provide a strong national defense; but we were attacked from within our borders-sometimes by those charged to protect us. Washington failed in one of its more important duties, Washington failed to protect our money."

Further down she adds, "Homeland security requires a secure homeland currency." I doubt that anyone would be left indifferent by these provocative, but well-argued, points.

There is no free lunch they say, at least according to most economists. And certainly lunch with Mr. Buffett is far from free ($ 2.11 million, according to eBay, June, 2008). Clearly, Tavakoli made a good decision when she accepted Mr. Buffett's lunch invitation. However, for the rest of us, who are unable to pony up the two million or unlikely to get invited by the great investor, this book is a very good substitute. Read more ›

18 of 20 people found the following review helpful

5.0 out of 5 stars Clear, Accessible, and Witty January 13, 2009

By Libby Fischer Hellmann

Format:Hardcover

I am not a finance professional, and my understanding of financial markets, especially derivatives, is basic, but I was riveted by DEAR MR BUFFETT. Much of it is because of Ms. Tavakoli's writing style: clear, accessible, and witty. Where definitions are needed, she supplies them, and her documentation is suburb. Despite the complexity of her topic, it was an easy read. In fact, she makes such a persuasive case that I came away from the book wondering why more experts didn't see the meltdown coming. At the same time, it was reassuring to know that Mr. Buffett's (and Ms. Tavakoli's) financial philosophy, ie not buying something unless you can pay for it, investing with caution, has prevailed. I would recommend this book to any investor -- large or small -- who's seeking direction for the future.

6 of 6 people found the following review helpful

5.0 out of 5 stars Unfortunate Choice of Title, Book is Actually a Great Commentary on Current Financial Crisis August 5, 2009

By Knowledge Seeker

Format:Hardcover

Just finished reading this book after borrowing it from my public library from the Buffett section. What a fantastic, opinionated, cynical, but always insightful, honest and intellectual commentary on the current financial crisis... Having read tons of books on current economic conditions (some good ones worth reading more than once include "Financial Shock 360", "Two Trillion Dollar Meltdown", "More Mortgage Meltdown"...) I'd highly recommend this book as a must-read as well.

unfortunate choice of title might lead people (like it did me) to think this is primarily a book about Mr. Buffett and his investing techniques (and there are a ton of such books out there). However, the book is actually a very incisive commentary on how the current crisis came to be, and how various stakeholders - banks, regulators, rating agencies, investors, fed, etc. have been reacting to it. Ms. Tavakoli is an expert on financial instruments such as CDOs that have played a primary role in the current crisis via their misuse, and at some point she had established an acquaintance with Mr. Buffett. Her reference to Buffett in the title comes from the fact that in her commentary, she sprinkles wisdom about what a sensible, ethical person would do in situations she is discussing, and who better than Mr. Buffett to use as an example... and surprisingly, you end up appreciating the greatness of Mr. Buffett also more along the way, typically more than most of the run of the mill Buffett books. And Ms. Tavakoli has no sacred cows, when I was reading about her comments on Bill Gross, and Vikram Pandit for example, and Jamie Dimon and BofA's Lewis, I was just shaking my head in bemusement...

one negative aspect is, Ms. Tavakoli associates herself with Mr.... Buffett very frequently in her text, such as, "Buffett and I would have done this", and "Buffett and I would have done that", or "he/she thought like Buffett and me" etc. I could say similar things such as "Obama and I thought this" and "Obama and I thought that", while President Obama couldn't care less. If you can live through this annoying aspect especially in the first 2-3 chapters, Ms. Tavakoli wins you over with her intellect and witticisms, and by the end of the book, it does seem clear that Mr. Buffett has become a decent acquaintance of the author, and you'd forgive Ms. Tavakoli for being so enamored of him.

Once again, I highly recommend this book. I've ordered her other (technical) book on CDOs from Amazon, and will be ordering this book as well, for a repeat reading and permanent place in my personal library. Read more ›

19 of 24 people found the following review helpful

2.0 out of 5 stars What a strange book! April 2, 2009

By Houman Tamaddon

Format:Hardcover

It is clear that Ms Tavakoli is a very bright and knowledgeable author, but it takes more than that to write a good book. While I enjoyed reading many parts of the book, I had two main problems with the it.

First, it was unclear to me what the author's central point was. There was a smattering of financial and investment information, but then at other times she drifts and starts discussing politics and the Middle East. Great investors must consider and digest diverse facts and information, but Tavakoli left me scratching my head as to where she was going. Her discussion on various derivatives mixed with other seemingly random investment wisdom was poorly organized. I could not figure out what her central point was.

Second, the author's tone is too self-congratulatory. She tries way too hard to associate herself with Warren Buffett (a great investor and brilliant thinker) as evidenced by the unusual book title and numerous references to her professional relationship with Buffett. Furthermore, she tries to convey to readers that she saw the financial crisis coming and quotes herself from her previous appearances on TV and her own writings. While I have little doubt that Tavakoli is very intelligent, her self-promoting behavior does not do her justice. She appears to be more concerned with promoting herself than with delivering value to her readers.

Besides being an outstanding investor, Buffett is also a master at human relations and understanding people. Many of Buffett and his partner, Charlie Munger's book recommendations have to do with human psychology. Perhaps this trait has contributed to their business success as much as their financial acumen. It is clear that the author, like thousands of other people, admires Buffett greatly.... Perhaps a look into some of those other non-financial traits would have helped her deliver a better book. Read more ›