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The Death of Demand: Finding Growth in a Saturated Global Economy (Financial Times Prentice Hall Books)
 
 
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The Death of Demand: Finding Growth in a Saturated Global Economy (Financial Times Prentice Hall Books) [Hardcover]

Tom Osenton (Author)
5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (2 customer reviews)


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Book Description

Financial Times Prentice Hall Books February 17, 2004
In today's world, there are more TVs than viewers. More phone numbers than talkers. More homes than households. More cars than drivers. Consumers have gorged themselves...and they're pulling away from the table. Demand is dead. What's more, it'll stay dead, for many years to come--and everyone had better get used to it. In The Death of Demand, Tom Osenton reveals a 25-year trend towards increasingly weak revenue growth--even in spite of improved marketing strategies, tactics and tools. In such an environment, growing profits requires a radically new approach. That's precisely what this book delivers. Starting with a foundation of absolute clarity and realism, Osenton offers readers the first comprehensive program for increasing profits when they can't increase revenue. Along the way, he covers everything from discontinuous innovation in products and business models to "customer share marketing" that captures more sales from every existing customer.

Editorial Reviews

From the Back Cover

Praise for The Death of Demand

"Every once in a while, a book comes along that makes you rethink yourbasic notions about the world around you. This is one of those books." --Seth Godin, Author, Purple Cow

"In plain English, Osenton provides a truly unique perspective of the global economy's half-century journey to undreamed of outputs since World War II. More importantly, he sheds new insight on the inescapable dilemma that all businesses face today: survival and growth in a maturing economy." --Norma V. Rosenberg, Former Director, Global Strategy Group, PricewaterhouseCoopers

We have more TVs than viewers. More phone numbers than talkers. More homes than households. More cars than drivers. Corporations have pushed for more, and consumers have gorged themselves ... and now they're starting to pull away from the table. Demand is dead. The culprit: the generations of managers at the world's greatest corporations who did their jobs so well they hastened the onset of saturation.

In The Death of Demand, Tom Osenton reveals that all successful corporations enjoyed 25 to 30 years of increasing rates of revenue growth coming out of World War II. Then all of a sudden it stopped--hitting a wall in the mid-1970s when revenue growth rates started decreasing. Corporations that once consistently grew at double-digit levels now more often post low single-digit revenue gains at best. And that trend won't change.

Starting with a foundation of clarity and realism, Osenton explains why all sectors of the economy--even technology--have already seen their best days, and why, for the first time ever, no sector of the economy is growing at increasing rates. Osenton sheds new light on the serious implications that lack of demand has on:

Corporations
How will they adapt to the new economic reality that produces little or no growth?
CEOs
How can the 21st century CEO deliver long-term shareowner value with flagging demand?
Shareowners
Can they expect the value of their investments to increase with limits to productivity?
Employees
Will they pay for increased shareowner value with their jobs?
Governments
Can unemployment levels stabilize in an economic environment that lacks demand?

Are we victims of our own success?

  • How much more can consumers consume?
  • Can corporations perpetually increase shareowner value with limited revenue growth?
  • Can human capital continue to fuel earnings growth?
  • How will diminishing demand impact the future of equity markets?
  • Can any stimulus package stir demand in a saturated economy?

Consumers can only drive so many cars, eat so many burgers, and talk on so many cell phones. Mergers and acquisitions, zero-percent financing, and other temporary measures only hide the hard reality. In one industry after another, companies are coming up against inexorable limits on demand. Year after year, they're failing to achieve top-line growth targets, because those targets are simply no longer achievable--and now we know why.

In The Death of Demand, transformational management consultant Tom Osenton systematically demonstrates why the world is at the end of one long-wave business cycle and the beginning of the next. Osenton offers the first comprehensive understanding of one of the most important economic theories since demand and supply. The Law of Innovation Saturation dispels the myth of unlimited growth, and impacts every product, in every corporation, in every industry, in every economy in the world.

About the Author

Tom Osenton is a best-selling author, columnist, speaker, and leading business strategist with years of senior management level experience at world-class organizations such as the ABC Television Network, Times Mirror Company, Billboard Publications, and the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

He is the author of the best-selling Customer Share Marketing: How The World's Great Marketers Unlock Profits From Customer Loyalty (Financial Times Prentice Hall, 2002). This seminal business title introduced the discipline of customer share marketing: the art of retaining customers and increasing the number of products and services they purchase. He speaks extensively on the subject at conferences, seminars, corporate meetings, workshops, and business schools worldwide.

After working on three Olympic Games as part of the broadcast team at the ABC television network, Osenton was appointed the youngest-ever President, CEO, and Publisher of The Sporting News Publishing Company in the late 1980s, where he led a major turnaround of the nation's first sports weekly. He is now CEO of the Customer Share Group LLC, a leading management consultancy advising global corporations on transformational growth strategies. He can be reached directly at tosenton@customershare.com.


Product Details

  • Hardcover: 320 pages
  • Publisher: Financial Times Prentice Hall (February 17, 2004)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0131423312
  • ISBN-13: 978-0131423312
  • Product Dimensions: 9.4 x 6.3 x 1.1 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1.5 pounds
  • Average Customer Review: 5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (2 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #1,895,056 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

More About the Author

Tom Osenton is an author, economist and leading growth strategist with Chicago-based Customer Share Group Inc - a division of parent Market Data Corporation, Inc.

Mr. Osenton spent more than 25 years in senior management roles with companies such as Dutch publishing giant VNU, the Walt Disney Company, and the Times Mirror Company where his experience ran the gamut -from launching new companies to turning around 100-year old institutions. He worked with the legendary Roone Arledge on three Olympic Games as an executive with the ABC-Television Network in New York, and later was named President & CEO of The Sporting News - the world's oldest sports-weekly.

Mr. Osenton has written three best-selling business books with Financial Times Prentice Hall and Praeger Publishers. Hi s first book - Customer Share Marketing - is a principal eCRM text at business school around the world. His second book - The Death of Demand - is an economic powerhouse that details the path to an aging U.S. economy based on the exhaustive study of growth trends of the S&P 500 companies since the end of World War II.

His most recent book - Boomer Destiny: Leading the U.S. Through the Worst Crisis Since the Great Depression - provides an inspirational look at those U.S. generations that have been forced to lead the country through the most crushing economic crises.

 

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16 of 16 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars A Remarkable Piece of Work, March 9, 2004
By A Customer
This review is from: The Death of Demand: Finding Growth in a Saturated Global Economy (Financial Times Prentice Hall Books) (Hardcover)
This book is not only a wonderful read and an impressive history of business during the second half of the 20th century, but it presents the most logical understanding as to why corporations, industries - the entire economy - is having such a difficult time growing. The irony that Osenton points out is that we are victims of our own success - pushing for more and more consumption - and getting it! - only to begin to approach levels of saturation. He points out that there are currently more than 32 million more registered vehicles in the United States than there are licensed drivers! Talk about surplus. For the first time ever, someone has explained WHY - beyond the simple explanation of greed - that corporations are cooking their books in order to make the numbers. It's because their respective top lines are lifeless, and they have squeezed every penny, every productivity gain they could out of the corporation. Death of Demand helped me completely understand why employees are paying for earnings growth with their jobs - jobs that are either being cut altogether or sent overseas. What a spectacular analysis of our current economic condition. Bravo!
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5 of 7 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars WOW!!, April 2, 2004
By A Customer
This review is from: The Death of Demand: Finding Growth in a Saturated Global Economy (Financial Times Prentice Hall Books) (Hardcover)
This is an incredible--and credible--fact based view of what's really going on in the economy. Mr. Osenton has clearly done his homework, and presents this fresh material in a very insightful and enjoyable read.
The best business book I have read since Peter's "In Search of Excellence" two deacdes ago.
Bravo!
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Inside This Book (learn more)
First Sentence:
Kraft Foods is one company that has enjoyed an incredible market-dominating ride. Read the first page
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
innovation saturation, fading business cycle, major growth strategies, segmentation pyramid, shareowner value, consumer universe, absolute saturation, discontinuous innovation, consumer packaged goods industry, component corporations, new product categories, average gross margin, revenue growth, retail expansion, truck sales, marketing spending, new economic reality, earnings growth, growth track
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
United States, General Electric, Customer Share Group, Wall Street, General Motors, Industrial Manuals, The Home Depot, Big Three, Sports Illustrated, Kraft Foods, World Wide Web, Academy Award, North America, Coca-Cola Company, Ford Motor Company, Alfred Marshall, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Time Warner, Bureau of the Census, Des Plaines, Filene's Basement, Great Depression, Jack Welch, National Bureau of Economic Research, Nielsen Media Research
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