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Dire Predictions: Understanding Global Warming - The Illustrated Guide to the Findings of the IPCC Paperback – July 21, 2008

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Editorial Reviews

Review

"This rendering of meticulous, documented climate research, stunning crisp photos, remarkable artwork, and easy to read charts strikes clear, individual notes, while still managing to come together fully in the glossy pages like a stirring symphony of popular science." -- DailyKos.com, July 2008

Dire Predictions is a must read for anyone who wants the straight facts on global warming. It cuts to the heart of the massive 2007 IPCC report, presenting major scientific findings in easy to understand language and graphics. Written by two of the scientific community's most thoughtful researchers, Dire Predictions' unbiased message about global warming arrives at a time when people need it most! -- Heidi Cullen, The Weather Channel

Here's a powerful, straight-forward guide to how scientists, economists, and engineers really understand the problem of global warming. It makes 20 years of research and consensus-building completely accessible to anyone who cares to know the truth--and to do something about it. -- Bill McKibben, author of The End of Nature

About the Author

Michael E. Mann and Lee R. Kump are esteemed climate scientists.

--This text refers to an alternate Paperback edition.
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Product Details

  • Paperback: 208 pages
  • Publisher: DK Publishing; Edition Unstated edition (July 21, 2008)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 9780756639952
  • ISBN-13: 978-0756639952
  • ASIN: 0756639956
  • Product Dimensions: 7 x 0.5 x 9.1 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1.3 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 4.3 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (49 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #483,451 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

More About the Author

Dr. Michael E. Mann is Distinguished Professor of Meteorology at Penn State University, with joint appointments in the Department of Geosciences and the Earth and Environmental Systems Institute (EESI). He is also director of the Penn State Earth System Science Center (ESSC).

Dr. Mann received his undergraduate degrees in Physics and Applied Math from the University of California at Berkeley, an M.S. degree in Physics from Yale University, and a Ph.D. in Geology & Geophysics from Yale University. His research involves the use of theoretical models and observational data to better understand Earth's climate system.

Dr. Mann was a Lead Author on the Observed Climate Variability and Change chapter of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Scientific Assessment Report in 2001 and was organizing committee chair for the National Academy of Sciences Frontiers of Science in 2003. He has received a number of honors and awards including NOAA's outstanding publication award in 2002 and selection by Scientific American as one of the fifty leading visionaries in science and technology in 2002. He contributed, with other IPCC authors, to the award of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize. He was awarded the Hans Oeschger Medal of the European Geosciences Union in 2012 and was awarded the National Conservation Achievement Award for science by the National Wildlife Federation in 2013. He made Bloomberg News' list of fifty most influential people in 2013. In 2014, he was named Highly Cited Researcher by the Institute for Scientific Information (ISI) and received the Friend of the Planet Award from the National Center for Science Education. He is a Fellow of both the American Geophysical Union and the American Meteorological Society.

Dr. Mann is author of more than 180 peer-reviewed and edited publications, and has published two books: Dire Predictions: Understanding Global Warming in 2008 and The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines, in 2012. He is also a co-founder of the award-winning website "RealClimate.org".

Customer Reviews

Most Helpful Customer Reviews

14 of 14 people found the following review helpful By L. Lazar on June 21, 2015
Format: Paperback
“Leave science to the scientists” says Rick Santorum, a devout Catholic and conservative candidate in the 2016 US Presidential election about Pope Francis who, unlike Santorum, actually has some scientific training. Santorum made his statement after the Vatican issued an Encyclical calling for world leaders to take swift and aggressive global efforts to reduce the consequences of human caused climate change.

What Santorum failed to include in his advice to Pope Francis, is the importance of LISTENING to scientists, and working to UNDERSTAND what they are saying so that you can make well-informed actions. This is no different than one would do on other important matters, like healthcare, where education, experience and expertise is valued.

Candidate Santorum is unlikely to heed this advice since the actual science opposes his worldview, but if he did seek out the views of scientists, like Pope Francis did, and actually tried to understand the science of climate change, than the 2nd edition of “Dire Predictions” would be a great place for him and others to start.

Authors Dr. Michael Mann and Dr. Lee R. Kump use simple language and beautiful illustrations to clearly explain what the world’s leading scientific experts are saying about the causes of climate change and its effects on the earth and its inhabitants. There are also chapters on what we can do about it (like transition to renewable energy) as well as the likely economic impacts of mitigation (the transition away from fossil fuels ultimately saves money as well as lives).

The closing chapter is about the urgency of climate change – and why we must act now. This chapter brings to my mind this quote from civil rights leader Martin Luther King Jr. “We are now faced with the fact that tomorrow is today.
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83 of 101 people found the following review helpful By Kerry Walters VINE VOICE on July 28, 2008
Format: Paperback Verified Purchase
If you're like me, you've longed for a user-friendly book to both clarify your own thoughts about global warming and to recommend to those acquaintances, friends, relatives, and colleagues who are either indifferent to climate change or think it's a bunch of tree-hugging hooey. Believe me, Dire Predictions is the book we've been waiting for. I rarely gush in the reviews I write. But I'm gushing in this one.

Authors Michael Mann and Lee Kump, the former a weather scientist and the latter a geoscientist, have put together a primer on global warming drawn from IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) reports that offers incredibly helpful illustrations and graphs, beautiful photographs, and informative, to the point text. The explanations are concise, typically a single topic to a page fold, and they focus on exactly the kinds of questions and issues that most of us have wondered about--for example, Is our atmosphere really warming?; How to build a climate model; Back to the future: Deep time holds clues to climate change; Fingerprints distinguish human and natural impacts on climage; Why is it called greenhouse effect? and Couldn't the increase in atmosphere CO2 be the result of natural cycles?

The book is divided into 5 parts:

1. Climate Change Basics
2. Projections of Future Climate Change
3. Impacts of Climate Change
4. Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change
5. Solving Global Warming

One of the best features of the Mann and Kump's approach is that they don't hesitate to respond directly to the "debunkers" of global warming that have become popular of late.

A wonderful book, exactly the sort of popular science approach that citizens, community activists, public policy makers, and presidential candidates need to get clear on the facts and implications of global warming. Highly recommended. Six stars.
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15 of 16 people found the following review helpful By Gregory T. Laden on June 2, 2015
Format: Paperback
For this review, I read a reviewer’s copy of the Second Edition supplied by the publisher, then interviewed author Michael Mann. The Second Edition is much like the First Edition but updated to reflect changes in the most recent IPCC report. I ask Mann more about the differences in the interview, below.

Dire Predictions: Understanding Global Warming by Michael Mann and Lee Kump is everyperson’s guide to the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report. The IPCC issues a periodic set of reports on the state of global climate change, and has been doing so for almost two decades. It is a massive undertaking and few have the time or training to read though and absorb it, yet it is very important that every citizen understands the reports’ implications. Why? Because human caused climate change has emerged as the number one existential issue of the day, and individuals, corporations, and governments must act to implement sensible and workable changes in behavior and policy or there will be dire consequences.

Dire Predictions is a DK Publishing product, which means it is very visual, succinct, and as is the case with all the DK products I’ve seen, well done. This is the second edition of the book, updated to reflect the most recent IPCC findings. The book gives a basic background on climate change, describes scientific projections and how they are developed, discuses impacts of climate change, and outlines vulnerability and modes of adaptation to change. The book finishes with a panoply of suggestions for solving the climate change crisis. Since Dire Predictions reflects the IPCC reports, it can be used as a primer in understanding the much more extensive and intensive original document, but it can also be used entirely on its own.
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