To a growing number of analysts (see James Glassman and Kevin Hassett's Dow 36,000 and Charles W. Kadlec's Dow 100,000), it's not a question of if the Dow Jones Industrial Average will blast into the financial stratosphere, but how high it will go.
One such lofty projection comes from financial advisor and author David Elias, who believes that the Dow's collection of blue chips are poised to reach unprecedented levels, hitting 40,000 by the year 2016. It's heady stuff, to be sure, but not, as Elias carefully documents, if a record-setting bull market continues its mad charge into the new millennium. Formed in May 1896, the Dow took 76 years to reach the 1,000 plateau. After striking 4,000 in 1995, the market has required less than one year for each new 1,000-point milestone, touching 10,000 in March 1999. The Dow needs 9 percent annual growth to hit 40,000 in 2016, but how can the economy sustain this growth? Elias believes that forces such as direct foreign investment, domestic savings, and cooperative central-banking policies will drive this vigorous market, as will the dynamics of the New Economy, which allows for the coexistence of high economic growth, low interest rates, and low inflation. Elias describes the changing economic landscape as "unlike any seen in the twentieth century. In fact, the New Economy idea is heavily contingent on continued global growth and capitalization. New and expanding markets are opening their doors to the world, and investors will profit."
After building his case for the Dow's ascent--which includes a lucid study of classical and contemporary economic concepts--Elias looks at massive opportunities for new-millennium investors. He lists his criteria for investing in a company: seasoned management, experience in the global marketplace, brand-name recognition, a frontrunner position of in a specific industry, and financial strength to weather turbulence. Finally, Elias offers 12 sample portfolios, drawing from three sectors that he believes will lead the marketplace: technology, financial services, and health care. His "Rip Van Winkle" portfolio--one that an investor can buy and ignore for a year--includes Merck & Co., Citigroup Inc., and AT&T Corp. Of course, as with individual stocks themselves, it's impossible to predict what new levels the Dow will reach, but by book's end, 40,000 looks attainable. --Rob McDonald
From the Back Cover
Well-Researched Strategies to Soar with the Dow to 40,000-and Beyond! Date: June 2, 2016. DOW BREAKS 40,000! "The Dow Jones Industrial Average, for the first time in history, today broke through the once unthinkable 40,000 barrier. Leading market experts predict the market will continue to rocket upward. This new milestone was cheered by the millions of Americans who have ridden this unprecedented bull run to fabulous wealth. In other news..." Where will you be in 2016? If you start today to follow the strategies, techniques, and stock picks in Dow 40,000, you will be wealthy. Very wealthy. All because you learned how to take charge of your investments, and squeezed every dollar possible out of the ongoing stock market phenomenon. Dow 40,000 shows you investment strategies and stock holdings that should allow you to match and even outpace the Dow, building a portfolio that will guide you comfortably through your lifetime and into your retirement years. Look here for: Top 12 stock picks-Core holdings upon which to build a rock-solid portfolio. Eight model portfolios-Strategic stock combinations that should outpace the Dow Mutual fund strategies-How to use mutual funds for diversification and profit. Think forward 15 years. Will you be happy you took advantage of the most accessible bull market in history-or will you regret your inaction? Read Dow 40,000 today, and tomorrow you will thank yourself for finally taking the bull market by the horns-and building wealth in history's greatest financial opportunity.