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5.0 out of 5 stars
Touch a lucky paper duck in a Chinese restaurant and win!, October 25, 2008
This review is from: Duck That Won the Lottery (Hardcover)
I like Julian Baggini's writing style. If you're unfamiliar with his works, he's possibly Britain's best-loved contemporary philosopher, and his work encompasses a wide range of interests and styles. He was awarded a PhD from University College London for his thesis on the philosophy of personal identity in 1996, then went on to found 'The Philosophers' Magazine' with Jeremy Stangroom, supporting himself with a portfolio of jobs that included teaching and, increasingly, journalism and writing.
His writing bore fruit in 2002, when five books he wrote, co-wrote or co-edited were published. In his newest offering
The Duck That Won the Lottery, he presents us with a series of brief, thought-provoking and usually entertaining philosophical ideas to ponder. This is said to be the companion piece to his 2006 offering
The Pig That Wants to Be Eaten, an excellent book that I reviewed earlier. This one is a sequel that continues his exploration of philosophical problems through interesting sketches and thought experiments.
His focus this time is on the 'bad arguments' that people use all the time, in the media, on the 'Net, in politics, and in everyday life. There are a hundred of them, and each entry takes an example of questionable logic as its origin, from which the author examines the argument, then invites the reader to do the same with other examples, and he manages to do it with his characteristic precision and sense of humor.
The title alludes to 'post hoc ergo propter hoc' misleading notion that if you touched a lucky paper duck in a Chinese restaurant, then won the lottery, it was therefore the duck made you win. The 'post hoc ergo propter hoc' term is Latin for "after this, therefore because of this", and is a logical fallacy (of the questionable cause variety) which states, "Since that event followed this one, that event must have been caused by this one."
And this analogy reminds this reader of a particular and familiar quotation:
"Even the skeptical mind must be prepared to accept the unacceptable when there is no alternative. If it looks like a duck, and quacks like a duck, we have at least to consider the possibility that we have a small aquatic bird of the family Anatidae on our hands."
~ Douglas Adams, in 'Dirk Gently's Holistic Detective Agency'
But isn't also possible to suppose that the duck was just a decoy?
Read this book, explore the examples, and become skilled at spotting 'un-flagrant contradictions', 'gambler's fallacies' and 'false dichotomies'. You'll be able to recognize media people (and spin doctors) carrying out the 'fallacy of the complex question' and 'implicit redefinitions of words.' You'll catch your associates 'loading the dice', and add 'slippery slopes', 'straw men' and 'post hoc fallacies' to your rhetorical arsenal.
Baggini's chapters may be familiar ground to some of his regular readers, especially in the UK. Many of them are based on ideas that the author wrote on the 'Butterflies and Wheels' Website, and still appear in their Dispatches section in his columns entitled "Bad Moves", where the author wrote columns on bad argumentative moves, noting that it was "an essential resource for detecting woolly arguments in all their guises."
If you find books like this stimulating, then you might also wish to look into some of his other works:
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What's It All About?: Philosophy and the Meaning of Life
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The Pig That Wants to Be Eaten
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Welcome to Everytown: A Journey into the English Mind
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Making Sense: Philosophy behind the Headlines
Skepticism abounds here in 'The Duck That Won the Lottery', and affable criticism is dished out, mainly to journalists and others in the media, along with bloggers and 'Net mavens. Dr. Baggini offers us the chance to come across the trick of the spin doctors under controlled conditions, so that we might better recognize them in their natural environments, including in the politicians' speeches that abound today.
It's a worthwhile read, and remember, if it looks like a duck, and quacks like a duck, it's possible that it could be a decoy... or it just might be a duck.
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