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The Emerging Republican Majority Hardcover – 1969

4.7 out of 5 stars 3 customer reviews

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Product Details

  • Hardcover: 482 pages
  • Publisher: Arlington House; First Edition edition (1969)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0870000586
  • ISBN-13: 978-0870000584
  • Product Dimensions: 9 x 5.9 x 1.6 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1.8 pounds
  • Average Customer Review: 4.7 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (3 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #1,258,624 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Format: Hardcover
...but maybe they should. Kevin Phillips' 1969 classic, The Emerging Republican Majority, remains the most concise and dependable guide to historical voting trends in the United States in the 20th century. The book itself is notorious for urging that Republicans pursue a "Southern strategy" and abandon the liberal establishmentarian constituencies in the northeast that had previously held sway over the party, but its real value is in the rich historical background Phillips provides. Phillips can be said to have been successful in spotting a realignment that was then very recent (first manifesting itself in 1964) and proclaiming its continuation well into the future. Other tectonic shifts in American politics have not proven so long-lasting. In many ways, the Eisenhower coalition of 1952 and 1956 seemed more formidable than the coalition Phillips describes, but it could not be sustained without the former General's personal appeal. More recently, one also recalls Arthur Schlesinger's 1992 prediction that Bill Clinton's election augured the beginning of a new 30-year cycle of liberal governance, a hope which would be dashed by the Republican takeover of Congress 24 months later.
Above all, what I learned from The Emerging Republican Majority is that most shifts in voting behavior from election to election really do have rational explanations rooted in policy and in the candidates' important personal traits. Those who have been able to anticipate these coming shifts have a distinct advantage in winning elections.
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Format: Hardcover
Kevin Phillips wrote this perceptive book about U.S. politics and a rising conservative trend right after the 1968 Presidential Election. Phillips notes that Richard Nixon's razor-thin (44-43%) victory over Democrat Hubert Humphrey that year was more conservative than realized once you factor the 13% that went to George Wallace. Phillips suggests that his Republican party cast off its remaining northeastern liberalism and court southern whites. Such policy alienated many liberals and blacks, and seemed semi-racist even to moderates. Still, it's effectiveness is apparent. Southern whites have helped the GOP win seven of the last ten Presidential elections. From 1968-2004 no Democrat other than southerners Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton has won a single electoral vote in the deep south (or reached the White House). The lasting effectiveness of Phillip's strategy shows in the close elections of 2000 and 2004. Nearly 70% of white voters in the South and Border states supported George W. Bush over Al Gore and John Kerry, helping Bush sweep the region's 15 states and 179 (2000) or 184 (2004) electoral votes.

Author Kevin Phillips is a former Nixon staffer and current radio/tv commentator who left the Republican fold in disgust for the Party's adherence to war, oil, and the religious right. Whatever your politics, you can learn from his perceptive if slightly thick prose. Readers might also enjoy his recent book AMERICAN THEOCRACY.
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Format: Hardcover Verified Purchase
An underrated classic of American political science. It should be read by anyone interested in political sociology or US elections, both voting behaviour and campaigns.
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