54 of 68 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars
This is a bi-partisan book, and a 'must read' for all who truly care about the future of America, January 4, 2009
This review is from: The End of Prosperity: How Higher Taxes Will Doom the Economy--If We Let It Happen (Hardcover)
(Note: I own and have READ all of this book) (...)
This is a bi-partisan book, and a 'must read' for all who truly care about the future of America.
Not often that I suffer that particular effect, but this book leaves me with an uncomfortable feeling. The future sounds a bit scary.
Very well written, with a wry sort of 'quietly despairing' humor that entertained me frequently. Good prose. Often dry and witty.
I will give you a short review first, and then a long review. Take your pick. That tells you perhaps I took the issues this book raises seriously. (Disclaimer: I don't want to upset anybody. Don't get mad. I'm just offering a working class grunt's opinion. I apologize for any perceived mockery of the Great Ones, the Federal Elite, who -of course- know what is best for me, and how best to spend my money for me.)
Short review:
Well written. Bang up to date. Touches intimately on political decisions and ATTITUDES, past and ongoing, that affect us all. Quite funny-sad-infuriating at times. Highly qualified writers/economists. You can argue if you want to that they are bone-headed wrong, dumb schmucks from the Rabid Right, but you can't deny they are shakers and movers. These three boys have been in the thick of it all for a long time. If you care about America, about people and their jobs and families, then -please- just for this one book, lay any and all prejudices and political bias to one side. Stop. Take a deep breath, and plow right on in. With an open mind.
Again, I'm not suggesting you should agree, but PLEASE, at least quietly consider the issues. They are of monumental importance to us real, live, breathing little human beings. If you know of a book that directly opposes this book's conclusions, I'd like to hear any suggestions...
Long review:
At issue, front and center, in this seminal work is the economy, and government intervention. Capitalism, free markets, laissez faire versus the Federal Government regulators, federal deficits, public works, taxation, monetary policies, etc. It asks searching questions.
When did it work? When did it not work? When was the economy sound? When not? Who damn well screwed it up? The greedy Rich? Left wing idealogues? Utopian reformers from Cloud Cuckoo land? Well meaning, sincere, but sadly misinformed politicians? Corrupt and lazy politicians, who couldn't (can't) be even BOTHERED to study economics, and who didn't (don't) give a damn, as long as they themselves were (are) all right, got (get) the votes, and got (get) re-elected? A gaggle of pompous Harvard trained politico career lawyers with a fee-feeble understanding of buh-basic economic principles? (okay, okay, I embellished that one a bit) Which President was the sharpest? Who was the absolute dumbest? How does the economy work? What keys on the economic piano should you hit, and when should you hit them? Can you achieve success just by hitting the right individual notes, or must you learn to play the right combination of notes, and hit the right economic recovery "chord"? How much harm can Mister Stoopid actually do? (A lot). Is uncontrolled Welfare undermining the American work ethic? Are we faced with "unintended consequences" from well meaning but naive policies? Or are we too thick skulled to read History, and therefore doomed to repeat the same boondoggling fiasco? Are massive public works, bail outs and federal spending the answer? Has Mr Obama seriously studied History? Economics? Has he considered the arguments in this book? Has he maybe even read this book? (I hope so) Has he chosen advisers who have a track record in the past of having been correct in their economic forecasts? Who are his economic advisers? Where do they stand on supply side economic theory? All of these issues and more, are carefully examined in this book.
To my delight, I discovered that this book was avowedly bi-partisan in many ways. Let me say that again: "this is a bi-partisan book." You can't just 'cop out', take the easy route, and avoid the undoubted serious cerebral effort of digesting this book, by conveniently plastering some 'right wing' label on it. It's not. Some of the other "reviewers" -obviously- did not take the trouble and make the effort to read it. One at least is vaguely honest, and right at the end of a rather long discourse, he tells us he only read the first chapter (!!), a few random pages, and relied on "Wikipedia" to fill in any gaps in his understanding. That seems to me a rejection of this books merits "in advance". Such a pity. This is a centrist book, that examines the issues, ("It's the economy, stupid!") and cuts right across party political lines. This isn't dogma. It's not faith. It's about the examination of historical events, past and ongoing. Some of it is factual, no debate. Some of it is interpretative, big debate. Great. Everybody involved. Both parties.
And that is another reason it should appeal to readers on ALL sides of the debate. You don't believe me?
Some examples: the authors cheerfully rain down fire on the "four stooges". Namely Presidents LBJ, Richard Nixon, Gerry Ford and Jimmy Carter. Two Democrats, two Republicans. Chapter 4 ("Honey, we shrunk the economy") (pages 61-83) goes into depth on their economic policies, and the results. This chapter pulls no punches, and soundly thrashes both Republican and Democrat economic policies. Chapter 4 alone contains lots and lots of thought challenging quotes, and you can agree or vehemently disagree, but I guarantee... it will get you thinking. I'll give you a sample below:
(page 65) "Two Democrats, two Republicans. Four presidents emitting one dimwitted economic policy after another in what was the largest assemblage of bipartisan ignorance ever. We'd say that from an economic policy perspective, it just doesn't get a lot worse than these four..."
(page 65) (on LBJ) "But the real economic poison pill was that for the first time in American history, at the same time we were spending more money for guns to win in Vietnam, LBJ unleashed a huge new spending barrage on butter, i.e. domestic programs. In 1965 LBJ launched the Great Society social welfare state "to end poverty in America". The grand failure of the welfare state would plague America for the next thirty years- not just in the $5.4 trillion in budget costs that were poured down this rat hole, according to the Heritage Foundation's cost estimate, but also in ill-designed programs that depreciated the value of work and family cohesion and created several generations of a permanent American underclass who were sucked into a cycle of welfare dependency. Poor families on welfare were pushed into 100 per cent plus effective tax rates, because they could lose more money in government benefits from working than they could earn on the job..."
(page 70) (on Richard Nixon) "To impose wage and price controls so that prices of goods and services could not rise exposed a fundamental lack of understanding of how the pricing system in a free market operates to allocate and place value on output..."
(page 71) (on Richard Nixon) "Next came Nixon's big spending proclivities - the budget ran wild during his tenure, much of this facilitated and urged by a spendthrift Congress. In 1970 the federal budget stood at $196 billion. By 1974 the budget had increased to $269 billion, an increase of almost 30 per cent. Nixon saw federal spending as stimulatory for the economy, and that is when he declared himself a Keynesian...."
(page 71) (on Richard Nixon) "This was a formal surrender in the fight to control government expenditures".
(page 73) (on Gerry Ford) "Ford's biggest failing was in misunderstanding how to combat inflation, which was still raging. Ford asked the nation in October 1975 to be "energy savers" and to wear the Whip Inflation Now (WIN) buttons to try and slay the inflation beast, as if inflation were a state of mind, rather than the result of monetary policy run amok".
(page 73) (on Carter) "....Jimmy Carter, who had run on an appealing anti-Washington, anti-big government,pro-balanced budget message. He was to be a new-era Democrat. It was a brilliantly crafted slogan for the times, yet once Carter was in the White House it became clear he had no idea how to lead the nation out of its deepening economic troubles.
(page 74) (on Carter) "Carter had promised to restrain the federal budget, but it stampeded on his watch...."
(page 74) (on Carter) "Lacking a core pillar of ideology, Carter proved to be a micromanager and a constant vacillator on policy. In his one term he launched seven major economic programs, none of which worked and some of which contradicted each other..."
(page 79) "It wasn't just high energy prices that flummoxed Jimmy Carter- but the rise in all prices seemed an irresistible force of nature during his presidency. He was a convert to the Phillips-Curve religion that high inflation had to be tolerated to put people to work, so even with the money supply rising by 11 per cent a year in 1977, he and his cadre of economists urged the Federal Reserve bank to lower interest rates and quicken the pace of the printing presses to push more dollars into the economy."
I hope these quotes show that the writers are not party biased, and that everybody gets a sock on the nose who they feel deserves it. (Oh, and by the way, Mr Laffer voted for Bill Clinton twice.) I hope also it suggests you cannot solve economic problems with good intentions, fine speeches, lofty ideals, massive spending, lots of free lunches. party political dogma, nailing the Rich, or by an extensive background in Law. It really is a must to have seriously read History, studied Economics, and to have listened (....) to alternative economic points of view. (Yes, how about... that Laffer curve thingie?)
Plenty of...
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21 of 25 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars
We can't say that we were not warned, November 21, 2008
This review is from: The End of Prosperity: How Higher Taxes Will Doom the Economy--If We Let It Happen (Hardcover)
This book was pretty much what I expected: a loud siren acting as a wake-up call to the Obama administration. But, to my surprise, it turned out to be a lot more. I learned a great deal here.
The most surprising thing: JFK was a supply-sider! Back in the early 60s, Democratic President John F. Kennedy was proposing tax cuts to get the economy moving, and the NAY-SAYERS were a bunch of curmudgeonly Republicans. (In a similar vein, you will be astonished to learn that this story goes back all the way to Warren Harding!)
Kennedy got his tax-cut package passed (just as Ronald Reagan did) and the economy took off. Tragically, Kennedy was shot dead, and America unfortunately entered what the authors call the "Four Stooges" period of the American Presidency: LBJ, Nixon, Ford, and Carter. Particularly interesting was the slicing-and-dicing of Richard Nixon. He has become known as "The Watergate Villain," and almost nobody remembers his disastrous, idiotic mismanagement of the economy. Wage and price controls, anyone? "We are all Keynesians now?" Ford and his silly WIN buttons helped not a bit, and then Jimmy Carter managed to drive the misery index to its highest level in decades. The Four Stooges, indeed.
I haven't finished this book yet, but I've already learned so much from it that I thought I should post this review. And I will close with a single image, which may be helpful to those who still think that the U.S. President can do as he pleases. This is Bill Clinton, who is getting sound advice that his re-election depends on maintaining credibility with key financial markets.
Clinton is so angry he pounds his desk, and shouts, "You mean to tell me that the success of the program and my re-election depends on the Federal Reserve and a bunch of *(%@&(% bond-traders??!!"
I suspect that this Clinton Moment is due for a replay in the very near future.
In the meantime, read this book. It is excellent in every way.
I sometimes wonder why we don't teach economics in high school!
As for those who think this is a "pro-Republican book," or an "anti-Democrat book," please go back and read this review again. The book heaps praises on JFK, trashes LBJ, Nixon, Ford & Carter, praises Bush Senior until his tax-betrayal -- and, in sum, is almost totally indifferent to partisan politics. What counts, for the authors, is how we will manage our economy.
Can we find a candidate willing to commit to a goal of economic growth? I suspect the White House is waiting for him.
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