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Exploring and Shaping International Futures [Hardcover]

Barry B. Hughes (Author), Evan E. Hillebrand (Author)

Price: $117.00 & this item ships for FREE with Super Saver Shipping. Details
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Book Description

February 2006
What will be the long-term impact of AIDS in Africa or concentration of global oil production in the Middle East? Exploring and Shaping International Futures helps readers understand such global trends in demographic, economic, energy, food, environmental, and socio-political systems. It allows businesspeople, government officials, and others to think concretely about global futures in each of these areas. It is the only book in the market that allows readers to use a computer simulation to track global trends and to develop alternative scenarios around those trends. It is one of relatively few books that really brings computer technology into the classroom, boardroom, or policy planning commission.

The International Futures (IFs) computer simulation, around which the book is built, is now widely used in policy analysis as well as education. It has been instrumental in projects undertaken by such groups as the European Commission, the U.S. National Intelligence Council, and the United Nations. After three decades of development and refinement, the computer model is now easy to access and use. Readers can access the website with the IFs computer model at: www.ifs.du.edu

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Editorial Reviews

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"This is an essential guide to understanding current trends and to mapping the future. Only the integration of economic, social, and environmental trends can give us a sufficient understanding of each." -- Peter Johnston

From the Publisher

"This is an essential guide to understanding current trends and to mapping the future. Only the integration of economic, social, and environmental trends can give us a sufficient understanding of each." —Peter Johnston, European Commission and the Club of Rome.

"This large-scale integrated global simulation modeling system is a user-friendly, professional tool for long-term policy analysis and education."

—Pentti Malaska, Professor emeritus, Turku School of Economics and Business Administrationof, Honorary member of the Club of Rome

"No other text covers the major transformations shaping the global future with as strong an empirical base and with as much room for students and others to determine for themselves which of these are problems, which are solutions, and what should be done with them to improve our joint future."

—Peter C. Bishop, Ph.D, Founding Member, Association of Professional Futurists

"Barry Hughes’ seminal efforts over the last 20 years have addressed the challenge to global systems modelers initiated by Jay Forrester’s World Dynamics. Together the text and the IFs computer model offer a fascinating compendium of theories, data, and formal modeling. The new book with Evan Hillebrand provides a wonderful learning environment as well as a valued test bed for debate about practical policy."

—Sam Cole, Professor, University at Buffalo, former North American editor, Futures

"This is truly a book for a new millennium. It allows the reader to explore future global issues and to investigate the impact of possible policy changes."

—Dennis Pirages, Harrison Professor of International Environmental Politics at the University of Maryland, board member of the World Future Society


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First Sentence:
In a remarkable period between the fifteenth and eighteenth centuries, Europeans explored, and from their own point of view discovered, the rest of the world. Read the first page
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
United States, Year Figure, United Nations, World Bank, Latin America, Soviet Union, World Development Indicators, World War, Cold War, Data Analysis, Self-Managed Display, South Africa, World Resources Institute, Angus Maddison, Basic Report, Development Profile, Millennial Perspective, Packaged Displays, Climate Change, East Asia, Environmental Uncertainties, Intergovernmental Panel, Millennium Development Goals, Research Suggestions, Status Box
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