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Factions and Finance in China [Kindle Edition]

4.4 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (7 customer reviews)

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Book Description

The contemporary Chinese financial system encapsulates two possible futures for China's economy. On the one hand, extremely rapid financial deepening accompanied by relatively stable prices are both manifestations of a vigorous growth trajectory that will one day make China the world's largest economy. On the other hand, the colossal store of non-performing loans in the banking sector augurs a troubling future. Factions and Finance in China inquires how elite factional politics has given rise to both of these outcomes since the reform in 1978. The competition between generalists in the Chinese Communist Party and politically engaged technocrats over monetary policies has time and time again prevented inflation from spinning out of control. Shih shows that elite politics has exerted a profound impact on monetary policies and banking institutions in contemporary China.

Editorial Reviews


"This impressive new book makes several important contributions: the case studies provide never before available accounts of elite politics, with vivid details of the personal and political differences among top leaders; the model of inflationary cycles provides new insights into how financial policy changed to cool an over-heating economy. It is both a fascinating portrait of elite politics in China and a rigorous test of an analytical model. Most scholars are good at one approach or the other. Shih shows he is equally gifted at both."
Bruce Dickson, George Washington University

"Shih offers a political-economic explanation of a dual feature of the post-reform Chinese financial system-an inflationary cycle and a large amount of non-performing loans. This book will make a valuable contribution to understanding the Chinese financial system and the reasons for the lack of reform thereof."
Chung Lee, University of Hawaii at Manoa

"In this forthcoming book, Northwestern University Professor Victor Shih presents a compelling alternate framework for a key slice of Chinese politics-economic and financial policy making. He argues that rather than a duel between conservatives and reformists, Chinese policy making represents a series of compromises between a "generalist" faction that derives support from local provincial authorities vying with a "technocrat" faction supported by central government bureaucrats seeking to consolidate control in Beijing...Prof. Shih presents a statistical model that aims to prove his theory, but the book comes to life when he launches into a narrative depicting the post-1978 struggles among China's political elite...As China's role in buoying the global economy continues to deepen, building a proper framework for understanding that push and pull in elite politics-and using those tools to foresee possible outcomes of Chinese policy becomes essential. Prof. Shih's work makes an important contribution to that effort."
Rick Carew, Dow Jones Newswires, Far Eastern Economic Review

"Shih's elegant factional model provides a novel explanation for the monetary and policy fluctuations under Deng Xiaoping and Jiang Zemin...Factions and Finance in China offers an invaluable window into the workings of elite politics in a regime better known for its opacity, and will soon become a staple in literature on China's contemporary political economy."
Kellee S. Tsai, Johns Hopkins University, Perspectives on Politics

Book Description

Nearly all financial institutions in China are managed by members of the Communist Party, yet economists do not have a framework with which to analyze the links between banking and politics. This book is the first to develop a framework with which to analyze how elite politics impact both monetary and banking policies.

Product Details

  • File Size: 907 KB
  • Print Length: 268 pages
  • Simultaneous Device Usage: Up to 4 simultaneous devices, per publisher limits
  • Publisher: Cambridge University Press; 1 edition (November 30, 2007)
  • Sold by: Amazon Digital Services, Inc.
  • Language: English
  • ASIN: B000SF3LIA
  • Text-to-Speech: Enabled
  • X-Ray:
  • Lending: Enabled
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #386,412 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)
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Customer Reviews

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20 of 20 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Engaging and thorough January 1, 2008
By katiek
As someone with some knowledge of China, I picked up this book because the title sounded interesting. Also, I wanted to know more about the financial system in China. It was kind of a whim, but I am so glad I got the book. Dr. Shih provides an insightful and poignant analysis unveiling the deep interdependencies between Chinese banking policy of the last two decades and the evolving political landscape of the Chinese Communist Party. First of all, I learned a LOT about the banking system in China, probably more than I ever needed to know. It's really stunning how much the Communist Party in China still controls the banks. Although parts of the book are too theoretical and pedantic (all the stats!), the book as a whole is nuanced, elegant, and backed by a rich set of primary data, including really detailed accounts of high-level intrigue. I was really impressed that Dr. Shih used classified Chinese government sources to construct behind-the-scene accounts. For example, top level technocrats used anti-corruption campaigns to stop inflation! That's not something you read in the Wall Street Journal. In sum, this book offers experts and laypersons alike a compelling framework for understanding financial policy decisions in China and their longer-term implications. Once you get past all the theory and stats (chapters 4 and 5), it's an engaging read that offers a lot of useful and interesting information about the financial sector and elite politics.
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6 of 6 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Brilliant June 9, 2010
By Awolfe
Format:Kindle Edition
Shih's model is simple and brilliant. Though it complicates the normal factional model that I've seen elsewhere, Shih is convincing in his historical rooting of the actors. The only thing I wish he had explored with a bit more gusto would have been the role that institutionalization of power in China has weakened factional competition, and whether or not this could lead to reform of the financial sector. But even without this, I have to give Shih 5 stars.
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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful
Shih's book is a very clear, well-researched explanation of the dynamic driving China's reforms. It is especially good as a companion to Yasheng Huang, Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics(2008). Where Huang laments that China's reforms imploded in an orgy of statist meddling, Shih allows us to see the compelling motivations for why reform took the path it did.

According to Shih, the many committees of China are naturally divided into factions. There are many of these, but we are interested in two categories of factions, the "generalist" and the "technocratic" (both of which are, after a fashion, reformers). The generalists belong to regional groupings, such as first secretaries in provincial governments (1) or the mayor of Shanghai. The generalists favor an aggressive developmentalist agenda, with decentralized control over the money supply; the technocrats, represented by members of the State Council, favor centralized control over the money supply. Until quite recently, the contest was over control of the People's Bank of China (PBoC), the central bank and one-time universal bank (2). The PBoC, like the early Federal Reserve (1913-1933), was decentralized, with provinces having considerable influence over the money-creating powers of their branch.

During the first phase of the reform period, the two leading reformers were Deng Xiaoping and Chen Yun; both were major figures of the Chinese Civil War (1947-1949) and architects of the planned economy (1949-1957), and both were purged in the Cultural Revolution (Deng, twice). Deng led the largest faction of market reformers in the Central Committee, while Chen led the main technocratic faction.
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5 of 6 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars fascinating! August 1, 2010
Format:Hardcover|Verified Purchase
great look into China's politics and banking, actually explains quite about about China's inability to switch from an export based, dollar propping up economy to a consumer society. This, combined with the more recent articles coming out of China really put to lie the idea that the Communist Party is some cool, calculating entity that is able to think 10 moves ahead of the decadent and shortsighted West.
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