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Forecasting with Dynamic Regression Models [Hardcover]

Alan Pankratz (Author)
5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (3 customer reviews)

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Book Description

0471615285 978-0471615286 October 10, 1991 1
One of the most widely used tools in statistical forecasting, single equation regression models is examined here. A companion to the author's earlier work, Forecasting with Univariate Box-Jenkins Models: Concepts and Cases, the present text pulls together recent time series ideas and gives special attention to possible intertemporal patterns, distributed lag responses of output to input series and the auto correlation patterns of regression disturbance. It also includes six case studies.

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From the Publisher

One of the most widely used tools in statistical forecasting, single equation regression models is examined here. A companion to the author's earlier work, Forecasting with Univariate Box-Jenkins Models: Concepts and Cases, the present text pulls together recent time series ideas and gives special attention to possible intertemporal patterns, distributed lag responses of output to input series and the auto correlation patterns of regression disturbance. It also includes six case studies.

Product Details

  • Hardcover: 400 pages
  • Publisher: Wiley-Interscience; 1 edition (October 10, 1991)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0471615285
  • ISBN-13: 978-0471615286
  • Product Dimensions: 9.6 x 6.4 x 1 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1.6 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (3 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #1,421,366 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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6 of 6 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Time Series Analysis for beginner, November 12, 2000
By 
"goi_k" (Stillwater,OK USA) - See all my reviews
This review is from: Forecasting with Dynamic Regression Models (Hardcover)
It is an excellent book for understanding time series analysis, well written and clearly explained. Readers should have some knowledge of univariate ARIMA model but no expertise is required. The book focuses on how, why, and when to combine the effect of other variables and the univariate ARIMA model. The suggested methods are demonstrated by a well-explained example. The author describes each step in the analysis in detail, this greatly helps in understanding the logic. Therefore, I highly recommend this book for students or persons who have a preliminary knowledge of the time series analysis technique, and who want to develop a more in-depth understanding of the subject. In addition, it is a must-have reference book for all time-series analyst.
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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars tharit, September 14, 2006
This review is from: Forecasting with Dynamic Regression Models (Hardcover)
I was assigned to develop a stochastic model for air pollution (well, back to 3 weeks before, I had no idea what time series analysis was !!!). After spend some time searching around for an easy-to-understand textbook dealing with time series data, I found this book is the best. It is comprehensive and clearly explain with many good excercises. What you need is some basic knowledge in ARIMA (which could be find from general econometrics textbook or SPSS guideline) and simple linear regression and then you will love this book as I am now.
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5.0 out of 5 stars excellent, January 7, 2003
This review is from: Forecasting with Dynamic Regression Models (Hardcover)
Being a noive to Box Jenkin method, the clear, and well organized exposition of this book took me step by step to a firm understanding of the method within a short time span, and keys to practice it. After finishing reading a copy from the library, I find it worths to purchase one for reference.
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Inside This Book (learn more)
First Sentence:
Comedian George Carlin has noticed that "If there were no such thing as time, everything would happen all at once." Read the first page
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
rational form transfer function, government receipts data, sample impulse response function, rational distributed lag models, saving rate data, backshift form, business inventories data, random shock series, inadequate transfer function, leading indicator data, trading day variables, intervention transfer function, pulse intervention, nonseasonal part, disturbance series, ordinary algebraic variable, transfer function part, backshift notation, constant overall mean, perfect colinearity, leading indicator model, distributed lag response, redundant coefficients, infinitely high order, metric forecasts
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
Data Appendix, Residuals Figure, Lydia Pinkham, Parameter Estimate Standard Error, United States, Correlation Matrix of Parameter Estimates, Commerce Department, Coefficient Correlation Matrix
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