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Forecasting Oracle Performance [Hardcover]

Craig Shallahamer
5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (5 customer reviews)

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Book Description

April 20, 2007 1590598024 978-1590598023 1

What makes seasoned IT professionals run for cover? Answer: Forecasting Oracle Performance! Craig Shallahamer is an Oracle performance expert with over 18 years of experience. His book is the first to focus not on the problem of solving today's problem, but squarely on the problem of forecasting the future performance of an Oracle database. Other Oracle performance books are good for putting out fires; Craig's book helps you avoid all the heat in the first place.

If you’re an IT practioner who appreciates application over mathematical proofs than you’ll be pleasantly surprised! Each chapter is filled with examples to transform the theory, mathematics, and methods into something you can practically apply. Craig's goal is to teach you about real-word Oracle performance forecasting. Period. There is no hidden agenda.

This book is a kind of training course. After reading, studying, and practicing the material covered in this book, you to be able to confidently, responsibly, and professionally forecast performance and system capacity in a wide variety of real-life situations.

If you are more management-minded (or want to be), you will be delighted with the service level management focus. Forecasting makes good business sense because it maximizes the return on IT investment and minimizes unplanned down time. To those who think forecasting is a waste of money: well...obviously, they’ve never been on the evening news because their company lost millions of dollars in revenue and brand destruction because of poorly performing or unavailable systems.

Without a doubt, you will be equipped to deal with the realities of forecasting Oracle performance. But this book gives you more. Not only will you receive a technical and mathematical perspective, but also a communication, a presentation, and a management perspective. This is career building stuff and immensely satisfying!

What you’ll learn

This book is a “how-to” book filled with examples to transform theory and mathematics into something you can practically apply. You will learn how to use a variety of forecasting models, which will enable you to methodically:

  • Help manage service levels from a business value perspective
  • Identify the risk of over utilized resources
  • Predict what component of an architecture is at risk
  • Predict when a system will be at risk
  • Develop multiple risk mitigating strategies to ensure service levels are maintained
  • Characterize a complex Oracle workload

Who this book is for

IT professionals who must ensure their production Oracle systems are meeting service levels, in part, through forecasting performance, identifying risk, and developing solutions to ensure systems are available without wasting budget. Readers include database administrators, IT managers, developers, capacity planners, systems architects, systems integrators.


Frequently Bought Together

Forecasting Oracle Performance + Expert Oracle Database Architecture: Oracle Database 9i, 10g, and 11g Programming Techniques and Solutions + Oracle Database 11g Release 2 Performance Tuning Tips & Techniques (Oracle Press)
Price for all three: $121.18

Buy the selected items together


Editorial Reviews

About the Author

Craig Shallahamer has over 18 years of experience working in Oracle, empowering others to maximize their Oracle investment, efficiencies, and performance. In addition to being a consultant, researcher, writer, and keynote speaker at Oracle conferences, he is the designer and developer of OraPub's Advanced Reactive Performance Management and Forecasting Oracle Performance classes. He is also the architect of HoriZone, OraPub's service-level management product.

Product Details

  • Hardcover: 269 pages
  • Publisher: Apress; 1 edition (April 20, 2007)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 1590598024
  • ISBN-13: 978-1590598023
  • Product Dimensions: 7.1 x 0.9 x 9.1 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1.5 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (5 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #1,446,524 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Customer Reviews

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It's very straightforward if you read it fully. Sergey  |  3 reviewers made a similar statement
It describes the workload modelling and the risks of data collection. Alexis Gil Gonzales  |  2 reviewers made a similar statement
Most Helpful Customer Reviews
5 of 6 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Fantastic! August 18, 2008
By Stevie
Format:Hardcover|Amazon Verified Purchase
A fantastic book. Not one of those that you'll be able to get through over a weekend but is one of those books that you constantly go back to for reference or validation. Some of the techniques take the mystery out of capacity planning and forecasting performance. Excellent.
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7 of 9 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Very good May 24, 2008
Format:Hardcover
This is not a book about Oracle Performance tuning. This is a book about Oracle Performance Forecasting. This should be evident after carefully reading the book.

Good books, like good professionals, are rare. This is why I have developed a tendency to choose carefully before buying one and, in the Oracle area in particular, I can smell the author's intellectual honesty and trustworthiness from the first page.

Forecasting Oracle Performance is one of those. I enjoyed the fluid style and closeness of the author. I enjoyed the simplicity and clarity, almost reminding me of Wittgenstein's famous quote ("everything that can be said can be said clearly"). I also enjoyed these short touches of humanism (cf Erlang Krarup's life).
On the forecasting subject, I liked the book construction and the quality of the examples.

Chapter 1 gives a landscape picture of Oracle forecasting and puts the reader in scope and context.
Chapter 2 introduces the reader to the basics of forecasting and the basic concepts over which the book is built: Transactions, response time, arrival time and basic formulas are described here.
Chapter 3 shows the limits of basic forecasting (essential formulas) and the problem of baseline and model selection. It shows how to increase forecasting precision with ErlangC or weighted averages. Most importantly, it shows why it is essential to understand the concepts and implications of the application of a given formula, model or method. The author is very careful in the choice of terms and always clears potential ambiguities. Those who know how difficult it can be to forecast will appreciate it.
Chapter 4 introduces to statistics applied to forecasting.
... Read more ›
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2 of 3 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars It's something fresh about forgotten old August 16, 2011
By Sergey
Format:Hardcover|Amazon Verified Purchase
Being an IT person I like to read such methodological books to refresh myself.
Before starting this book I had a feeling that it was little bit opposed to the secret of Stephen Hawking books where he had just used one famous formula E=mc^2. This book looked full of overwhelming mathematical formulas.
However, author presented material in a very easy to digest way. All formulas are absolutely necessary for understanding the Forecasting approaches.
These approaches are universal and don't depend on particular Oracle version. It's everything about applying proper forecasting models depending on the Forecasting question and workload data collected against complex Oracle environment. It's very straightforward if you read it fully.
It's MUST for those who are facing questions like" What would happen if the workload was doubled in three months? Does it make sense to buy 6 more CPUs to maintain agreed SLA? etc etc.
Book audience is
1) Oracle DBAs
2) Project managers/ Architects
3) Oracle developers

This book is quite unique on a market, because most of existing Oracle books describe Performance Troubleshooting.
Knowledge from this book will not become obsolete with new version of Oracle.
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5 of 8 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Not a tunning book September 24, 2007
Format:Hardcover|Amazon Verified Purchase
This is a great book to do FORECASTING, that is, if you already have a tunning problem you will not find the solution here. If you are in calm times regarding your application speed, this is when you have to do Performance Forecasting, for which this book is excelent. Very practical and just enough technicall to grasp the priciples.
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4 of 9 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Outstanding coverage of an important topic January 16, 2008
Format:Hardcover|Amazon Verified Purchase
I've always been a fan of Craig Shallahamer, an author who explains complex concepts in plain English.

This is not a trivial book, but it's an excellent book for performance tuning, a worthy book for the worthy scholar.

Oracle STATSPACK and the automated workload repository have provided a gold mine for the Oracle DBA to forecast future performance, and this is a great "get started" book to the statistical techniques that are required to perform performance forecasting.
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