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Forecasting Oracle Performance
 
 
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Forecasting Oracle Performance [Hardcover]

Craig Shallahamer (Author)
5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (6 customer reviews)

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Book Description

1590598024 978-1590598023 April 20, 2007 1st ed. 2007. Corr. 2nd printing

Craig Shallahamer’s Forecasting Oracle Performance is the first, Oracle-specific book to provide database administrators with help in forecasting future performance of new and existing database systems. Most (if not all) Oracle performance optimization books on the market today focus on troubleshooting acute problems such as a poorly performing report. The other side of the coin however, lies in forecasting: Will the current hardware last the year? What happens when we merge the employees from a newly acquired company? Will the current system keep up with the demands of a new application? These are strategic questions that database administrators are expected to answer. Until now, there has been no book to help them.

Of all the problems that an Oracle database administrator has to worry about, those dealing with performance often provoke the most stress, thus providing the greatest impetus for administrators to seek help in the form of books. This book shows administrators how to create a model of a database system. Different types of models are introduced: mathematical, simulation, benchmark. Administrators learn how to create the right model for the risks they seek to mitigate. They learn to validate their model. They learn to interpret the results in the form of a forecast. This book gives administrators the knowledge they need to confidently work with business management in preparing for the future of their systems.


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Editorial Reviews

About the Author

Craig Shallahamer has over 18 years experience working in Oracle, empowering others to maximize their Oracle investment, efficiencies, and performance. In addition to being a consultant, researcher, writer, and keynoting at Oracle conferences, he is the designer and developer of OraPub’s Advanced Reactive Performance Management and Forecasting Oracle Performance classes. He is also the architect of HoriZone, OraPub’s service level management product.

Prior to founding OraPub in 1998, Craig served for nine years at Oracle Corporation as one of the company’s leading system performance experts. At Oracle he co-founded a number of leading performance groups including the Core Technologies Group and the System Performance Group. His love for teaching has allowed him to personally train thousands of DBAs on five continents in fourteen countries.

When not maximizing efficiency, Craig is fly fishing, praying, backpacking, playing guitar, or just relaxing around a fire.


Product Details

  • Hardcover: 296 pages
  • Publisher: Apress; 1st ed. 2007. Corr. 2nd printing edition (April 20, 2007)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 1590598024
  • ISBN-13: 978-1590598023
  • Product Dimensions: 10.1 x 7.1 x 0.9 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1.5 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (6 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #217,320 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Customer Reviews

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4 of 5 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Very good, May 24, 2008
This review is from: Forecasting Oracle Performance (Hardcover)
This is not a book about Oracle Performance tuning. This is a book about Oracle Performance Forecasting. This should be evident after carefully reading the book.

Good books, like good professionals, are rare. This is why I have developed a tendency to choose carefully before buying one and, in the Oracle area in particular, I can smell the author's intellectual honesty and trustworthiness from the first page.

Forecasting Oracle Performance is one of those. I enjoyed the fluid style and closeness of the author. I enjoyed the simplicity and clarity, almost reminding me of Wittgenstein's famous quote ("everything that can be said can be said clearly"). I also enjoyed these short touches of humanism (cf Erlang Krarup's life).
On the forecasting subject, I liked the book construction and the quality of the examples.

Chapter 1 gives a landscape picture of Oracle forecasting and puts the reader in scope and context.
Chapter 2 introduces the reader to the basics of forecasting and the basic concepts over which the book is built: Transactions, response time, arrival time and basic formulas are described here.
Chapter 3 shows the limits of basic forecasting (essential formulas) and the problem of baseline and model selection. It shows how to increase forecasting precision with ErlangC or weighted averages. Most importantly, it shows why it is essential to understand the concepts and implications of the application of a given formula, model or method. The author is very careful in the choice of terms and always clears potential ambiguities. Those who know how difficult it can be to forecast will appreciate it.
Chapter 4 introduces to statistics applied to forecasting.
Chapter 5, on practical queuing theory, is probably the biggest chapter of the book. After a brief introduction to queuing theory, Little's law and Kendall notation, this chapter provides such a diverse set of examples (27!) making the topic very intuitive to non-specialists.
Chapters 6 & 7 describe forecasting methodology and workload characterization. The first describes the steps across a solid performance forecasting methodology, from the initial question to the actual forecast. The second deals with workload characterization: how to get system and Oracle data, how to choose the source and peak. It describes the workload modelling and the risks of data collection.
Chapters 8 and 9 are about models: ratio and linear regression models. They describe their respective foundations, limitations and advantages. Each chapter also contain several examples and case studies to illustrate the subject.
The last chapter deals with scalability models and their relationship with forecasting models.

Overall, I found this book very useful. You will find additional resources at the author's website (there is also a discussion forum on forecasting). The errata page is always up-to-date and some examples have even been extended. Great work!
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3 of 4 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Fantastic!, August 18, 2008
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This review is from: Forecasting Oracle Performance (Hardcover)
A fantastic book. Not one of those that you'll be able to get through over a weekend but is one of those books that you constantly go back to for reference or validation. Some of the techniques take the mystery out of capacity planning and forecasting performance. Excellent.
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5.0 out of 5 stars It's something fresh about forgotten old, August 16, 2011
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This review is from: Forecasting Oracle Performance (Hardcover)
Being an IT person I like to read such methodological books to refresh myself.
Before starting this book I had a feeling that it was little bit opposed to the secret of Stephen Hawking books where he had just used one famous formula E=mc^2. This book looked full of overwhelming mathematical formulas.
However, author presented material in a very easy to digest way. All formulas are absolutely necessary for understanding the Forecasting approaches.
These approaches are universal and don't depend on particular Oracle version. It's everything about applying proper forecasting models depending on the Forecasting question and workload data collected against complex Oracle environment. It's very straightforward if you read it fully.
It's MUST for those who are facing questions like" What would happen if the workload was doubled in three months? Does it make sense to buy 6 more CPUs to maintain agreed SLA? etc etc.
Book audience is
1) Oracle DBAs
2) Project managers/ Architects
3) Oracle developers

This book is quite unique on a market, because most of existing Oracle books describe Performance Troubleshooting.
Knowledge from this book will not become obsolete with new version of Oracle.
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Inside This Book (learn more)
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
response time tolerance, concurrent batch processes, concurrent batch jobs, seriality parameter, ratio modeling technique, main data trend, weighted average service time, forecasted utilization, time curve shift, forecast model input, system arrival rate, response time curve, response time formula, characterizing the workload, forecast precision, stnd dev, forecasting mathematics, theory spreadsheet, average queue time, lambda scale, forecasting formulas, queuing configurations, scalability model, sesstat view, scalability parameters
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
Server Arrival, System Arrival, Little's Law, Values Values, Erlang C-based, Queuing Model Data Entry, Predicted Values Figure, Goal Seek, Oracle Manufacturing, Predicted Value Figure, Microsoft Excel, Description Unit, Erlang C-enabled, Utilization Service, Zip Zap, Description Case, Shallahamer More Precise Queueing Mathematics, Scalability Fit Graphs, Values Case, Forecast Model Figure, Peak Utilization
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