Energy needs... oil supplies... inflation rates... the demand for new homes... in concerns like these, forecasting plays a crucial role. Forecasts not only determine how billions of dollars will be spent but also commit national policies far into the future; yet, no one really knows how to judge the reliability of forecasts. In this innovative study, William Ascher examines the records of expert forecasting of national trends in population, economics, energy, transportation, and technology over a fifty-year period. The results help to identify both the accuracies and hidden biases of forecasting techniques, information that should be of vital interest to all policy-makers and planners.
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Book Description
--This text refers to the
Paperback
edition.
Product Details
Would you like to update product info or give feedback on images?
|
More About the Author
Discover books, learn about writers, read author blogs, and more.
Customer Reviews
|
Share your thoughts with other customers:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Most Helpful Customer Reviews
4.0 out of 5 stars
ITS GOOD,
By Gustavo (Mexico) - See all my reviews
This review is from: Forecasting: An Appraisal for Policy-Makers and Planners (Paperback)
This books is enough to understand the forecast in policy analysis. Anyway, I was hoping a more systematic overview.
Share your thoughts with other customers: Create your own review
|
|
Inside This Book
(learn more)
Browse and search another edition of this book.
Browse and search another edition of this book.
First Sentence:
Because of past failures to foresee or acknowledge trends, many of the problems now facing the United States seem worse than they might otherwise have been. Read the first page Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
Census Bureau, World War, Government Printing Office, Aerospace Systems, Defense Department, United States, Club of Rome, Department of Transportation, Paley Report, Electrical World, Geological Survey, Economics Department, Federal Aviation Administration, National Planning Association, Bureau of Mines, Federal Highway Administration, Korean War, Domestic Airline Revenue-Passenger-Miles Forecasts, Fiscal Years, French Medical, National Petroleum News, Commerce Dept, Erich Jantsch, Flight Transportation Laboratory, Joseph Martino New!
Concordance | Text Stats Browse Sample Pages:
Front Cover | Table of Contents | First Pages | Index | Back Cover | Surprise Me!
Because of past failures to foresee or acknowledge trends, many of the problems now facing the United States seem worse than they might otherwise have been. Read the first page Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
Census Bureau, World War, Government Printing Office, Aerospace Systems, Defense Department, United States, Club of Rome, Department of Transportation, Paley Report, Electrical World, Geological Survey, Economics Department, Federal Aviation Administration, National Planning Association, Bureau of Mines, Federal Highway Administration, Korean War, Domestic Airline Revenue-Passenger-Miles Forecasts, Fiscal Years, French Medical, National Petroleum News, Commerce Dept, Erich Jantsch, Flight Transportation Laboratory, Joseph Martino New!
Concordance | Text Stats Browse Sample Pages:
Front Cover | Table of Contents | First Pages | Index | Back Cover | Surprise Me!
Citations (learn more)
This book cites 31
books:
See all 31 books this book cites
20
books
cite this book:
See all 20 books citing this book
- Technological Forecasting for Decision Making by Joseph P. Martino in Back Matter (1), Back Matter (2), and Back Matter (3)
- The Sociology of Invention by S.C. Gilfillan on page 197, Back Matter (1), and Back Matter (2)
- Nuclear Energy by Scientific American in Back Matter (1), Back Matter (2), and Back Matter (3)
- Corporate Planning Models (Addison-Wesley Microcomputer Books Popular Series) by Thomas Herbert Naylor in Back Matter (1), and Back Matter (2)
- Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update by Donella H. Meadows on page 34, and Back Matter
See all 31 books this book cites
- The Logic of Intuitive Decision Making: A Research-Based Approach for Top Management by Weston H. Agor on page 105, and Back Matter
- Reasoned Argument in Social Science: Linking Research to Policy (Contributions in Political Science) by Eugene J. Meehan on page 83, and Back Matter
- Toward a More Exact Ecology: 30th Symposium of the British Ecological Society (Symposia of the British Ecological Society) by Peter J. Grubb on page 436
- Systems in Crisis: New Imperatives of High Politics at Century's End (Cambridge Studies in International Relations) by Charles F. Doran in Back Matter
- Budgetary Forecasting in Local Government: New Tools and Techniques by Howard A. Frank in Back Matter
See all 20 books citing this book
Tag this product(What's this?)Think of a tag as a keyword or label you consider is strongly related to this product.
Tags will help all customers organize and find favorite items. |
Sell a Digital Version of This Book in the Kindle Store
If you are a publisher or author and hold the digital rights to a book, you can sell a digital version of it in our Kindle Store.
Learn more
Customer Discussions
|
This product's forum
Active discussions in related forums
Search Customer Discussions
|
Related forums
|
