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The Future in Plain Sight: The Rise of the "True Believers" and Other Clues to the Coming Instability
 
 
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The Future in Plain Sight: The Rise of the "True Believers" and Other Clues to the Coming Instability [Paperback]

Eugene Linden (Author), Eugene Linden (Author)
3.9 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (18 customer reviews)

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Book Description

January 29, 2002
For more than half a century, our planet has enjoyed a prolonged period of privilege and stability. Recent decades have seen some of the most extraordinary prosperity in all of human history, and we have come to view this as the norm.

But what if instability returned?

And what can we do to prevent that from happening?

In The Future in Plain Sight, author Eugene Linden lays out the nine factors that are symptomatic of instability in today's world. They include overpopulation, the widening gap between rich and poor, the resurgence of infectious disease, and the effects of a changing global climate. Linden explores these and other destabilizing forces and tells us what we can do to plan and prepare for life in an unsettled and unsettling universe.

From crises in the world's financial markets to the breakdown of natural systems that support human life, The Future in Plain Sight is a powerful look at what lies in store for us in the coming decades.

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Editorial Reviews

Amazon.com Review

Forget the year 2000 bug, says Eugene Linden, the world's in for something much bigger than power outages and fouled-up databases. The clues are everywhere, but what do they all mean? The Future in Plain Sight argues that the history of the world is full of ebbs and flows, periods of stability followed by instability. Every now and again, everything changes: the climate, the social order, the shape of the terrain. Linden outlines the nine major indications that the world is ready for another round of instability, claiming that the political, social, economic, environmental, and biological problems we all face today are not as unrelated or as random as they may seem.

Yet Linden actively discredits most doomsday scenarios, which usually seem to blame some outside force for bringing on disaster. In his view, the existing problems will continue to feed upon and exacerbate each other. Crowded cities, for example, put further stress on a sick, polluted environment, allowing diseases to spread faster, while social and political unrest causes native populations to uproot and immigrate to other countries, creating new cycles of poverty, disease, and overpopulation.

Linden doesn't pretend to know how the human race will deal with these issues, nor does he claim to know all the answers. But The Future in Plain Sight tells a compelling and frightening story that deserves to be heard out. --Elisabeth Higgins --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.

From Publishers Weekly

In one of eight near-future scenarios envisioned by Time science and environmental writer Linden (Apes, Men and Language), New York's rampant consumer culture has given way to a more civic-minded, moralistic city ravaged by AIDS and other plagues, where people wear flowing robes that are a convenient way to cope with frequent, cumbersome sterilization procedures in the workplace. Far-fetched as that may seem, it's a very real consequence of what Linden sees as the destabilizing political, economic, biological factors transforming the world in the next half century. In this wide-ranging look at contemporary global trends, he shows how the volatility of the financial markets, massive internal migration of the poor to mega-cities, resurgent infectious diseases, loss of biodiversity and the widening gap both between rich and poor nations and between a technocratic elite and surplus workers are leading to an age of greater instability. Not all of these trends are cause for despair. Other futurscapes Linden outlines are a London that has supplanted Wall Street as the world's financial capital; Kansas farmlands that rely on bioengineered seeds; a central Africa that reels from epidemics; an Antarctica that sheds its ice cover; and a once-poor Mexican village that thrives with the help of small power plants and family planning. Linden's speculative forecasts are cautionary tales stressing the need for ecological sanity. Although his ideas are often so sketchy and his prognoses so fanciful as to seem science fictional, Linden's attention to the large and small-scale events transforming our planet are sufficiently down-to-earth to make his crystal-ball vision of the new millennium less outlandish than it might otherwise seem.
Copyright 1998 Reed Business Information, Inc. --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.

Product Details

  • Paperback: 288 pages
  • Publisher: Plume; 1st edition (January 29, 2002)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0452282993
  • ISBN-13: 978-0452282995
  • Product Dimensions: 5.4 x 0.8 x 8 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 9 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 3.9 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (18 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #1,400,905 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Average Customer Review
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Most Helpful Customer Reviews

15 of 15 people found the following review helpful:
3.0 out of 5 stars A Solid Effort!, May 29, 2001
Eugene Linden explains that most of civilization's history has included long periods of remarkable stability, including the last few decades. However, stability is not the norm and indications show it is ending. Thanks to overpopulation, technological change and environmental degradation, profound instability is likely in this century. The clues to future instability are in plain sight. You can see them when you compare what has happened in the past to what is likely to happen in the future.

In the first half of this book, Linden makes a persuasive case for some of his basic predictions, though he is definitely a pessimist. The scenarios in the second half of the book, intended to illustrate what will happen if these predictions come true, are really speculative fiction masquerading as futurology. Still, Linden's basic premise is sound and his warnings should be taken seriously. We... recommend the book to those involved in long-range business planning and trend research.

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11 of 11 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars A very prescient,, important book, August 12, 2002
By 
Jerald R Lovell (Clinton Township, Michigan United States) - See all my reviews
(REAL NAME)   
This review is from: The Future in Plain Sight: The Rise of the "True Believers" and Other Clues to the Coming Instability (Paperback)
Author Linden's basic premise is that history fluctuates between periods of stability and instability. The last half of the 20th century was stable. The first half of the 21st promises to be anything but stable. The book is tremendously well thought out, and persuasive.

Linden visits nine areas, including climate change, increased population and larger cities, resource depletion, environmental degradation, religious fundamentalism/fanaticism, economic instability, etc. These analyses are then followed by realistic, but speculative, scenarios describing life in the event of the anticipated change. Author Linden does an excellent job in avoiding the Cassandra-style, apocalyptic language so common to writers in this area. Surely, the facts alone are sufficient, and Linden is to be praised for discerning the difference.

All are well done, but I was particularly impressed by the chapter on religious fundmentalism. As Linden so carefully describes matters, this fundamentalism, Christian or Muslim, is a response to the scientific and economic uncertainty of today's society. The true believer yearns to return to a simpler, more certain, time, and is perfectly willing to throw out the baby with the bath water to get it, including equal rights, scientific advances, better living conditions, etc. Anyone skeptical of this statement is invited to consider Iran, the Taliban, Creationism, and the like. I have not found Linden's peer in describing the origin and effects of religious fundamentalism on society as we know it. The whole book is more than worth it for this one chapter alone. Every thinking person should read it.

In short, the book is an outstanding addition to anyone's library. I recommend it very highly.

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7 of 7 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Heed the warnings, November 28, 1998
By 
petlu@concentric.net (Bainbridge Island, WA) - See all my reviews
Dispelling the cyber-utopian and financial boom scenarios, exemplified by Wired Magazine and Harry Dent respectively, Mr. Linden describes possible (and all too probable) flashpoints and meltdowns of the 21st century. All of them exist currently in their incipient forms and threaten, singly or in unison, to plunge the planet into ecological and financial chaos and anarchy. First these problems are described and analyzed, then woven into fictional stories of the year 2050. The author finally provides a glimmer of hope in the assertion that humans are a resourceful species and have extricated themselves from difficult situations before. Perhaps he can influence politicians, business people, scientists and the rest of us to make critical changes in our way of life.
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Inside This Book (learn more)
First Sentence:
DURING AN EXTRAORDINARY FOURTH-month period starting on June 27, 1997, the currencies of Thailand, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Indonesia, Taiwan, and Korea all went into a free fall. Read the first page
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
climate specialists, integrated global market, destabilizing aspects, integrated global economy, climate instability, human numbers
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
United States, New York, Las Vegas, Federal Reserve, Green Revolution, Mexico City, Latin America, World Bank, New Age, North America, North Atlantic, North Pacific, Muir Woods, United Kingdom, Southeast Asia, West Antarctic Ice Sheet, World War, Earth Summit, Northern Hemisphere, Rio de Janeiro, Rita Colwell, South America
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