How will global warming affect developing countries, which rely heavily on agriculture as a source of economic growth? William Cline asserts that developing countries have more at risk than industrial countries as global warming worsens. Using general circulation and agricultural impact models, Cline boldly examines 2070-99 to forecast the effects of global warming and its economic impact. This detailed study: outlines existing studies on the agricultural impact of climate change; estimates projected changes in temperature, precipitation, and agricultural capacity; and concludes with policy recommendations. Cline finds that agricultural production in developing countries may fall between 10 and 25 percent, and if global warming progresses unabated, India s agricultural capacity could fall as much as 40 percent. Thus, policymakers should address this phenomenon now before the world s developing countries are adversely and irreversibly affected.
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"Bill Cline has been a pioneer in the study of the economic effects of global warming. His latest book on the effects on agriculture is of great importance and has provided another important landmark in the study of this crucial issue." --Sir Nicholas Stern, I.G. Patel Chair, London School of Economics and Political Science
"For too long environmentalists and earth scientists in the rich world have had an unforntunate near-monopoly on serious concern about climate change and its mitigation.This book will help change that." --James Gustave Speth, Dean, Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies
"For too long environmentalists and earth scientists in the rich world have had an unforntunate near-monopoly on serious concern about climate change and its mitigation.This book will help change that." --James Gustave Speth, Dean, Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies
About the Author
William R. Cline is a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. He has been a senior fellow at the Institute since its inception in 1981. During 1996-2001, while on leave from the Institute, he was deputy managing director and chief economist at the Institute of International Finance. He was a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution (1973-81); deputy director of development and trade research, office of the assistant secretary for international affairs, US Treasury Department (1971-73); Ford Foundation visiting professor in Brazil (1970-71); and lecturer and assistant professor of economics at Princeton University (1967-70). His publications include The United States as a Debtor Nation (2005), Trade Policy and Global Poverty (2004), Trade and Income Distribution (1997), International Debt Reexamined (1995), International Economic Policy in the 1990s (1994), The Economics of Global Warming (1992), United States External Adjustment and the World Economy (1989), The Future of World Trade in Textiles and Apparel (1987), Mobilizing Bank Lending to Debtor Countries (1987), The US-Japan Economic Problem (1985), Exports of Manufactures from Developing Countries (1984), and International Debt: Systemic Risk and Policy Response (1984).
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3.0 out of 5 stars
The human impact of global warming,
By Future Watch Writer (Washington, D.C. Area) - See all my reviews
This review is from: Global Warming and Agriculture: Impact Estimates by Country (Paperback)
Too often global warming is discussed in abstract terms. This book gets down to business. If the crop damage predicted here takes place, we are going to be talking about hundreds of millions of people dead. It's that basic. Be aware that most of the predictions here are on the optimistic side of estimates. Check this book out. You might also want to read Plan B 3.0: Mobilizing to Save Civilization, Third Edition which discusses global warming and agriculture. I also have a Listmania list on agriculture.
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Inside This Book
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Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs):
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crop model estimates, including carbon fertilization, carbon fertilization effect, agricultural impact models, crop model results, ocean thermal lag, rental equivalent, climate projections, average net revenue, climate estimates, preferred estimates, crop models, agricultural effects, millimeters per day, impact estimates, output per hectare, agricultural capacity, central estimate, output potential, fertilization fertilization, reduced form model, fertilization effects, agricultural losses, climate models Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
United States, Latin America, World Bank, New Zealand, Soviet Union, South Africa, United Kingdom, Far East Asia, Intergovernmental Panel, Southwest Plains, Burkina Faso, Democratic Republic, Ivory Coast, Northeast Asia, Other Equatorial Africa, Other Horn of Africa, Other Southern Africa, Other West Africa, Pacific Northwest, South Central, Stern Review, United Nations, Estimate Estimate, Ricardian Crop, Robert Mendelsohn New!
Concordance | Text Stats Browse Sample Pages:
Front Cover | Table of Contents | First Pages | Index | Back Cover | Surprise Me!
crop model estimates, including carbon fertilization, carbon fertilization effect, agricultural impact models, crop model results, ocean thermal lag, rental equivalent, climate projections, average net revenue, climate estimates, preferred estimates, crop models, agricultural effects, millimeters per day, impact estimates, output per hectare, agricultural capacity, central estimate, output potential, fertilization fertilization, reduced form model, fertilization effects, agricultural losses, climate models Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
United States, Latin America, World Bank, New Zealand, Soviet Union, South Africa, United Kingdom, Far East Asia, Intergovernmental Panel, Southwest Plains, Burkina Faso, Democratic Republic, Ivory Coast, Northeast Asia, Other Equatorial Africa, Other Horn of Africa, Other Southern Africa, Other West Africa, Pacific Northwest, South Central, Stern Review, United Nations, Estimate Estimate, Ricardian Crop, Robert Mendelsohn New!
Concordance | Text Stats Browse Sample Pages:
Front Cover | Table of Contents | First Pages | Index | Back Cover | Surprise Me!
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