Most Helpful Customer Reviews
121 of 129 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars
There are no magic bullets..., September 12, 2008
This review is from: The Gone Fishin' Portfolio: Get Wise, Get Wealthy...and Get on With Your Life (Agora Series) (Hardcover)
I just finished reading this book and thought it was pretty good overall. However, as an experienced investor, I know that there are no magic bullets in investing. The book shows performance of the portfolio over the past seven or so years. In those years, the S&P 500 (domestic stocks) performed rather poorly while gold, other commodities, real estate and foreign investments did exceedingly well. This portfolio stays invested at all times in all of these asset classes.
I took the liberty of backtesting the same portfolio for the ten years preceeding the 2000's, and the S&P 500 way outperformed this portfolio. This did not surprise me given the fact that we were in a full blown bull market. Those other asset classes underperformed, some badly.
I think that the Gone Fishin Portfolio will perform relatively well in more uncertain markets. However, I am not convinced that will happen when the domestic markets rally strongly.
My point here is that the oversimplification will lure rookie investors into a false sense of security.
I am sorry, but even if you are using a broadly diversified portfolio of mutual funds or ETF's, you must pay attention and understand the weakness of such a simplified approach. You will have to spend more time on your portfolio than 20 minutes a year.
Help other customers find the most helpful reviews
Was this review helpful to you? Yes
No
95 of 104 people found the following review helpful:
3.0 out of 5 stars
Gone Fishin' Portfolio down 23.25% - no silver bullet, October 2, 2008
This review is from: The Gone Fishin' Portfolio: Get Wise, Get Wealthy...and Get on With Your Life (Agora Series) (Hardcover)
Like so many business books, this book could be condensed into a single page. Here are some of the key bullet points:
* Save more money. i.e. stop drinking starbucks coffee everyday.
* Expect to be able to withdraw 4% of your assets annually after you retire i.e. you need $1 million to generate $40,000 a year in pre-tax income. Some people would say withdrawing 3% would be more conservative.
* Perform asset allocation across 10 Vanguard (index) funds (low cost)as follows: 15% VTSMX; 15% NAESX; 10% VEIEX; 10% VEURX; 10% VPACX; 10% VWEHX; 10% VFSTX; 10% VIPSX; 5% VGSIX; 5% VGPMX.
* This represents a 70% stock, 30% bond portfolio with heavy international slant
* Re-balance every 12-18 months
* Don't use brokers/investment advisors with their 1%+ annual fee
* Don't try to time the market
Good advice. Now how is the portfolio doing? From January 2, 2008 to August 9, 2009, it is down 23.25%. How is that doing relative to a 70% stock 30% bond portfolio (in the case of 70% VTSMX and 30% VIPSX), that would have returned -23.67%. You'd have to compare risk in the portfolio, but I suspect that you'd find that the "Going Fishin'" portfolio will deliver you a basic risk adjusted market return. Nothing fancy. We're not talking endowment fund returns.
[...] [...] [...] What readers should really care about is, if I took the [...] advice, how would I have done. And the answer is - same as any portfolio with similar risk and reasonable diversification. That's not a negative, it just does not live up to any hype.
Help other customers find the most helpful reviews
Was this review helpful to you? Yes
No
16 of 16 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars
Couldn't Pass It Up, October 18, 2008
This review is from: The Gone Fishin' Portfolio: Get Wise, Get Wealthy...and Get on With Your Life (Agora Series) (Hardcover)
Why?
Recently I sold my business, or as the financial community would have it, I experienced a "liquidity event".
The proceeds of the deal now need to be cleverly invested. But what I really want to do is master the art of fly fishing. This seems a lot more enticing than delving into the intricacies of correlation, beta, derivatives, hedge funds, ETFs, active management etc etc etc.
Otherwise stated, going after that lunker rainbow seems a lot more engaging than the quest for the evanescent and elusive alpha.
Enter author Alexander Green and The Gone Fishin' Portfolio. His premise (promise?): a proven method to manage your own money in twenty minutes per year and outperform the great majority of highly compensated managers.
Sound preposterous? Maybe, but after reading The Gone Fishin' Portfolio I'm considering giving it a whirl.
The first part of the book (Get Wise) presents straightforward principles about money and investing. Some examples -
* "Unlike the performance of the stock market, saving is something that is under your control".
* "In most walks of life you get what you pay for. This is emphatically not the case with investment advisors".
* "Experience tells us that it's humility - not superior knowledge - that paves the way to successful investing".
In Part 2 (Get Wealthy) Green talks about long term equity investment and the pitfalls of attempting to time the market. He then debunks active management, making the case that after fees and expenses the great majority of managers fail to match the performance of the overall market. This sets the stage for a discussion of index funds as a low cost, tax efficient approach to equity investing.
Next the author details the Gone Fishing Portfolio itself - an asset allocation of index funds covering domestic and international stocks, various categories of bonds, as well as real estate and gold mining shares as alternative investments.
What about the twenty minutes per year? That's the time it takes to rebalance the portfolio, making sure that the percentages devoted to each asset class remain consistent over time. This simple process makes great sense. It forces the discipline to buy low and sell high. That's because the assets that will be sold in the course of rebalancing are those that have appreciated in value while those that are bought (to bring their value up to that required percentage of the total) will typically be those that have declined.
Simple but powerful principles.
In Part 3 (Get On With Your Life) the author talks about just that. He reminds us of what's really important, writing, "Time, not money, is your most precious resource. It is perishable, irreplaceable, and, unlike money, cannot be saved. The beauty of the Gone Fishin' Portfolio is that it allows you to redirect your time to high-value activities, whether it's work you enjoy, time spent pursuing your favorite activities, or just relaxing with your friends and family".
OK. That's what I needed to hear. To quote our President, "Bring 'em on" (the trout that is).
Help other customers find the most helpful reviews
Was this review helpful to you? Yes
No
|