High Probability trading (Hardcover)

by Marcel Link (Author) "How To Make Money Performing Vascular Surgery Using Household Tools and Kitchen Utensils..." (more)
Key Phrases: using oscillators, system trading, multiple time frames, Helpful Questions, The Inner Side of Trading, The Tuition of Trading (more...)

Editorial Reviews

Product Description
A common denominator among most new traders is that, within six months of launching their new pursuit, they are out of money and out of trading. High-Probability Trading softens the impact of this "trader's tuition," detailing a comprehensive program for weathering those perilous first months and becoming a profitable trader.

This no-nonsense book takes a uniquely blunt look at the realities of trading. Filled with real-life examples and intended for use by both short- and long-term traders, it explores each aspect of successful trading.

From the Back Cover
"The Goal Is to Teach All Traders to Think with the Mindset of a Successful Trader..."

While successful trading requires tremendous skill and knowledge, it begins and ends with mindset. What do exceptional traders think when they purchase a quality stock and the price immediately plummets? How do they keep one bad trade from destroying their confidence--and bankroll? What do they know that the rest of us don't?

"Some trades are not worth the risk and should never be done."

High Probability Trading shows you how to trade only when the odds are in your favor. From descriptions of the software and equipment an exceptional trader needs to high probability signals that either a top or bottom has been reached, it is today's most complete guidebook to thinking like an exceptional trader--every day, on every trade.

"It's not how good you are at one individual thing, but it's the culmination of every aspect of trading that makes one successful."

Before he became a successful trader, Marcel Link spent years wading from one system to the next, using trial and error to figure out what worked, what didn't, and why. In High Probability Trading, Link reveals the steps he took to become a consistent, patient, and winning trader--by learning what to watch for, what to watch out for, and what to do to make each trade a high probability trade.

"Why do a select few traders repeatedly make money while the masses lose? What do bad traders do that good traders avoid, and what do winning traders do that is different? Throughout this book I will detail how successful traders behave differently and consistently make money by making high probability trades and avoiding common pitfalls..."--From the preface

Within 6 months of beginning their careers full of promise and hope, most traders are literally out of money and out of trading. High Probability Trading reduces the likelihood that you will have to pay this "traders' tuition," by detailing a market-proven program for weathering those first few months and becoming a profitable trader from the beginning.

Combining a uniquely blunt look at the realities of trading with examples, charts, and case studies detailing actual hits and misses of both short- and long-term traders, this straightforward guidebook discusses:

• The 10 consistent attributes of a successful trader, and how to make them work for you
• Strategies for controlling emotions in the heat of trading battle
• Technical analysis methods for identifying trends, breakouts, reversals, and more
• Market-tested signals for consistently improving the timing of entry and exit points
• How to "trade the news"--and understand when the market has already discounted it
• Learning how to get out of a bad trade before it can hurt you

The best traders enter the markets only when the odds are in their favor. High Probability Trading shows you how to know the difference between low and high probability situations, and only trade the latter. It goes far beyond simply pointing out the weaknesses and blind spots that hinder most traders to explaining how those defects can be understood, overcome, and turned to each trader's advantage.

While it is a cliché, it is also true that there are no bad traders, only bad trades. Let High Probability Trading show you how to weed the bad trades from your trading day by helping you see them before they occur. Packed with charts, trading tips, and questions traders should be asking themselves, plus real examples of traders in every market situation, this powerful book will first give you the knowledge and tools you need to tame the markets and then show you how to meld them seamlessly into a customized trading program--one that will help you join the ranks of elite traders and increase your probability of success on every trade.

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Product Details

• Hardcover: 288 pages
• Publisher: McGraw-Hill; 1 edition (March 17, 2003)
• Language: English
• ISBN-10: 0071381562
• ISBN-13: 978-0071381567
• Product Dimensions: 9.1 x 5.6 x 1.4 inches
• Shipping Weight: 1.2 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
• Average Customer Review: 4.4 out of 5 stars See all reviews (98 customer reviews)
• Amazon.com Sales Rank: #7,320 in Books (See Bestsellers in Books)

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Customer Reviews

Most Helpful Customer Reviews

89 of 93 people found the following review helpful:

5.0 out of 5 stars solid, July 30, 2004

By	a professional trader (Colorado Mountains) - See all my reviews

This is probably one of the most realistic books on what it takes to trade professionally. The author starts by correctly stating how difficult it is to trade successfully. He gives a time frame of 3 to 5 years, although he states it took him seven years to be consistently successful (he refers to himself as a slow learner).

He also discusses unrealistic expectations of beginning traders, who typically open accounts of $10,000 to $25,000, and expect to make a living trading such accounts. The author notes that the best fund managers on Wall Street, who can consistently return 35-40 percent, command salaries in the seven and eight figures. Even if a beginner could produce such returns their first year (extremely unlikely), could they live on 40 percent of $10,000? When Wall Street investment firms want to hire a trader, they go to the best business schools, recruit the top graduates, pay them maybe over $200,000 their first year just to sit in training classes for months. They tell these trainees they do not expect them to make any money for at least two years, and these are individuals who have access to some of the most experienced traders on Wall Street. When they do finally start trading, they are closely watched and given only modest amounts to trade. Would you be surprised to know that the average professional trader is successful on only approximately 50% of their trades? With some futures trading systems, it is closer to 30 percent. This is why taking losses quickly is the single most important aspect of successful trading.

The book also covers the basics of trading systems, including indicators, stops and exits, typical trading system characteristics, backtesting and system writing.

While he also touches on trading psychology, this is the weakest part of the book, and is mostly biased towards his own hurdles, which were taking too large a position in too many different markets. He refers to this as "overtrading", although I would define overtrading differently. For those looking for a book on trading psychology, try Mark Douglas' books, such as "The Disciplined Trader", and "Trading in the Zone".

Finally, the book is interspersed with anecdotes about real trades and traders, which are invaluable about how not to trade, and are often hilarious. One example, the author stated he once held positions in 15 different futures markets at one time on a $5000 account, although this seems impossible, if one was to meet the margin requirements of each market.

226 of 246 people found the following review helpful:

5.0 out of 5 stars This book ties everything together, October 25, 2003

By	James Lor "James Lor" (Montreal, CANADA) - See all my reviews (REAL NAME)

I've read some of the reviews (or should I say criticisms) of this book. They write that it's for beginners, there are just a couple of setups, and the obligatory discipline "cut your losses" warning chapter. I think people are missing the big picture.

If you want a detailed book about technical analysis, with lots of explanations, setups, etc. etc., there's "Technical Analysis Explained" by Martin J. Pring, or you can buy something by Jack Schwager or John Murphy.

If you want a book about building and testing a trading system, there's "Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom" by Van K. Tharp.

If you want a self-help book about discipline / psychology, there are a lot of those, some in the investment section, some in the psychology section.

If you want a book about day-trading, there are a ton of those as well.

The thing I like about this book is that everything is there in one place. At the end of each chapter, the author gives you pointers on what to do and what to avoid doing to reinforce your memory of the principles. The book is written in a very readable style. I got this book about three weeks ago, and by applying some of the principles I learned from the book, I made two profitable trades (which I would not have normally made) and avoided making a trade which I normally would have made. This trade would have been a loser. As a result of reading this book, I made and saved enough money in the last three weeks to buy ten copies of this book. Isn't that why we read these books???

69 of 74 people found the following review helpful:

5.0 out of 5 stars This is the one!, February 20, 2004

By	bemydemon (CA, USA) - See all my reviews

At the risk of being repetitive, I'm going to have to give this book another stellar review. Like many others, I have read a hundred other trading books and this one stands heads above the rest. The author is obviously an active trader and is not ashamed to divulge his weaknesses, even current ones. He covers all of the necessary bases (psychology, money management, risk management, setups, tradeable markets, etc.) without being exessively wordy. He is one of the few traders who can actually write relatively well. He manages to explain arcane and complex trading concepts using understandable and economical word choices. The review structure at the end of each chapter is an excellent technique to enhance the learning process.

Yes, most of the information is more useful to the novice trader but one neeeds a basic comprehensive understanding of trading to get the most benefit. On the flipside, since it is so inclusive, the book could serve as an excellent refresher for the seasoned trader. That trader might even come across a concept long forgotten and be able to turn it into a profitable strategy.

HPT has become my primer. I come back to it every few months to review sections that I feel weak in. I recommend this book to everyone who asks me for that "one book" that can get them a head start in learning to trade.

Great job Mr. Link! I eagerly await your next contribution to the world of trading literature.