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A History of Mathematical Statistics from 1750 to 1930
 
 
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A History of Mathematical Statistics from 1750 to 1930 [Hardcover]

Anders Hald (Author)
5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (1 customer review)


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Book Description

0471179124 978-0471179122 April 8, 1998 1
The long-awaited second volume of Anders Hald's history of the development of mathematical statistics.
Anders Hald's A History of Probability and Statistics and Their Applications before 1750 is already considered a classic by many mathematicians and historians. This new volume picks up where its predecessor left off, describing the contemporaneous development and interaction of four topics: direct probability theory and sampling distributions; inverse probability by Bayes and Laplace; the method of least squares and the central limit theorem; and selected topics in estimation theory after 1830.
In this rich and detailed work, Hald carefully traces the history of parametric statistical inference, the development of the corresponding mathematical methods, and some typical applications. Not surprisingly, the ideas, concepts, methods, and results of Laplace, Gauss, and Fisher dominate his account. In particular, Hald analyzes the work and interactions of Laplace and Gauss and describes their contributions to modern theory. Hald also offers a great deal of new material on the history of the period and enhances our understanding of both the controversies and continuities that developed between the different schools. To enable readers to compare the contributions of various historical figures, Professor Hald has rewritten the original papers in a uniform modern terminology and notation, while leaving the ideas unchanged.
Statisticians, probabilists, actuaries, mathematicians, historians of science, and advanced students will find absorbing reading in the author's insightful description of important problems and how they gradually moved toward solution.


Editorial Reviews

Review

"This book is a great asset to all statisticians...an educational, insightful, and quite enjoyable book." (Chance, April-June 2002)

From the Publisher

Within this text, the author will discuss not only the history of mathematical statistics and applications from 1750 to 1930, but will also include the life stories and works of the great philosophers who participated in the development of probability theory and statistics. Provides a detailed look at the development and interaction of four topics: direct probability theory and games of chance; inverse probability by Bayes and Laplace; the normal distribution, the method of least squares, and the central limit theorem, and selected topics in estimation theory.

Product Details

  • Hardcover: 824 pages
  • Publisher: Wiley-Interscience; 1 edition (April 8, 1998)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0471179124
  • ISBN-13: 978-0471179122
  • Product Dimensions: 9.6 x 6.4 x 1.8 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 3.2 pounds
  • Average Customer Review: 5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (1 customer review)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #4,112,718 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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24 of 24 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars authoritative and detailed account of the history of statistics, January 23, 2008
This review is from: A History of Mathematical Statistics from 1750 to 1930 (Hardcover)
Hald is a well known Danish statistician who previously published a book titled "A History of Probability and Statistics and Their Application before 1750". This book is a sequel to that one. I have not read his earlier work but have read other fine historical accounts by Stigler, Porter and most recently "The Lady Tasting Tea" by Salsburg. This book is up to the high standards set by these other fine authors.
Prior to the late 1800s there was very little theory for statistics. There were many interesting developments in probability prior to 1750 and nearly all of them dealt with gambling situations. One does not need to read Hald's earlier work to be up on these writings as he summarizes many of the key works of James and Nicholas Bernoulli, and de Moivre in Chapter 2 along with the post 1750 work of Laplace and Lagrange.

His Preface describes the aim of the book and relates it to other works. Chapter 1 then maps out the plan of the book. The first three parts of the book cover the period from 1750 to 1853 and the final part covers selected developments in estimation theory from 1830-1935. Part 1 deals with direct or frequentist probability as it developed from 1750 to 1805. Part 2 deals with inverse probability or subjective (Bayesian) probability as it developed from the posthumous publication of Bayes' treatise by Price in 1764 (Bayes died in 1761) and developed as a principle of probability by Laplace in 1774 to its continued development through 1812. Laplace's principle of indifference was rekindled with further developments in Bayesian methods by Jeffreys in the 1930s. Part 3 begins with Gauss in 1809 and covers the early history of the central limit theorem, least squares and the normal distribution. This covers mainly the period from 1810 to 1853 but later related work is also mentioned. Finally Part 4 deals with important select topics in estimation theory from 1830 - 1935.

Hald is thorough and scholarly in the tradition set by Steve Stigler. This is a massive work of 739 pages with an additional 35 pages of bibliography.

Prominent figures in Part 1 include Laplace, de Moivre, Lagrange, Boscovich and Daniel Bernoulli. Part 2 covers the work of Bayes, Price, James Bernoulli and primarily Laplace. Part 3 deals with Laplace, Poisson, Bessel, Cauchy and Gauss. In Part 4 we meet Bienayme, Cauchy, Gram and Schmidt and their orthogonalization process, Quetelet, Condorcet, Cournot, Galton, Thiele, Karl Pearson, R. A. Fisher, Gosset and Edgeworth.

Fittingly the final chapter, Chapter 28 covers the theory of mathematical statistics as it was developed by Fisher from 1912-1935.

This is a great reference source for anyone who wants to collect and cherish the major developments of probability and statistics.

There is still room for a third book covering the period from 1930 to 2000 when the Neyman and Pearson theory of hypothesis testing developed, Bayesian statistics was revitalized, statistical decision theory and sequential analysis developed as did multivariate analysis, time series analysis, robust statistics, quality control methods, spatial statistics and resampling methods. The late 20th and early 21st centuries have seen many advances based on the ability to do intense calculation on amazingly fast computers!

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Inside This Book (learn more)
First Sentence:
The main topic is the history of parametric statistical inference and the development of the corresponding mathematical methods. Read the first page
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
linear normal model, squared precision, two error distributions, equidistant arguments, equiprobability model, linear minimum variance estimation, semicircular distribution, largest absolute residual, skew binomial, using inverse probability, symmetric binomial, expected absolute error, normal probability integral, reduced normal equations, discontinuity factor, unbiased minimum variance estimation, symmetric error distribution, skew correlation, correction for skewness, geodetic problem, direct probability, probability expansion, total tide, probable deviation, multiparameter case
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
Daniel Bernoulli, Academy of Sciences, Nicholas Bernoulli, Karl Pearson, John Bernoulli, Natural Inheritance, Hence Laplace, James Bernoulli, Royal Society, Finally Laplace, Third Supplement, First Supplement, Royal Statistical Society, Bureau des Longitudes, Cape of Good Hope, Thomas Bayes, Tunbridge Wells, University College, Bayes's Essay, Great Britain, John Canton, Most of Laplace, Neither Laplace, Statistical Society of London, Thomas Simpson
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