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How the Economy Works: Confidence, Crashes and Self-Fulfilling Prophecies [Hardcover]

Roger E. A. Farmer
3.8 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (51 customer reviews)

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Book Description

April 8, 2010
"Of all the economic bubbles that have been pricked," the editors of The Economist recently observed, "few have burst more spectacularly than the reputation of economics itself." Indeed, the financial crisis that crested in 2008 destroyed the credibility of the economic thinking that had guided policymakers for a generation. But what will take its place?

In How the Economy Works, one of our leading economists provides a jargon-free exploration of the current crisis, offering a powerful argument for how economics must change to get us out of it. Roger E. A. Farmer traces the swings between classical and Keynesian economics since the early twentieth century, gracefully explaining the elements of both theories. During the Great Depression, Keynes challenged the longstanding idea that an economy was a self-correcting mechanism; but his school gave way to a resurgence of classical economics in the 1970s-a rise that ended with the current crisis. Rather than simply allowing the pendulum to swing back, Farmer writes, we must synthesize the two. From classical economics, he takes the idea that a sound theory must explain how individuals behave-how our collective choices shape the economy. From Keynesian economics, he adopts the principle that markets do not always work well, that capitalism needs some guidance. The goal, he writes, is to correct the excesses of a free-market economy without stifling entrepreneurship and instituting central planning.

Recent events have shown that we cannot afford to treat economics as an ivory-tower abstraction. It has a direct impact on our lives by guiding regulators and policymakers as they make decisions with far-reaching practical consequences. Written in clear, accessible language, How the Economy Works makes an argument that no one should ignore.

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Editorial Reviews

From Booklist

Farmer explains the differences between classical and Keynesian economics and shows how they influenced the policy debate that developed after the 2007 world financial crisis began and exploded into a global disaster, with the collapse in the U.S. of Lehman Brothers in the fall of 2008. Along with a history of economic thought from 1776 to the present (noting it is incomplete), the author offers his suggestions for preventing future financial crises. “The correct response to the crisis is to set in place, in every country in the world, an institution to control the value of national stock market wealth by targeting the rate of growth of an index fund.” “Central banks should use changes in the size of their balance sheets to prevent inflation from rising too high or too low. They should use changes in the composition of their balance sheets to prevent bubbles and crashes.” This challenging book will appeal to the academic community but not to a broad range of readers. --Mary Whaley

Review


"In the morass of me-too books about the financial crisis, How the Economy Works stands out as a truly big idea." --BusinessWeek


"Bringing new research to life in guiding policy in the aftermath of the financial crisis, Roger Farmer takes the economic ball up the middle between Hayek and Keynes. With an emphasis on swings in confidence and wealth, Farmer's criticisms of fiscal stimulus and interesting prescriptions for monetary policy should be essential reading for anyone trying to understand what happened, especially for economists and policymakers focused on recovery. Nonspecialists will find the book full of fascinating stories; economists will see some surprising new twists."--Glenn Hubbard, Dean of the Columbia Business School, Columbia University, former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers


"This is an important policy proposal from a top thinker. Farmer balances the traditions of Hayek and Keynes to formulate a new way to stabilize the economy-and to solidify society's confidence about its future prospects. He returns us to first principles and builds a clear, succinct argument in language that is easy to follow. No policymakers are rushing to adopt Farmer's approach; but the same was true for Keynes in the 1930s. Let's hope we don't need to experience another Great Depression before our economic leaders are seriously willing to rethink everything."--Simon Johnson, Ronald A. Kurtz (1954) Professor of Entrepreneurship at the MIT Sloan School of Management, former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund


"Farmer provides an excellent discussion of what went wrong with modern economics in the run up to the recent crisis. And to deal with the effects of the financial crisis, boosting investment and employment in the short and the long run, he provides a policy plan to induce a rapid and sustainable recovery through direct intervention in the stock market. If he is right it would improve things quickly, and if he is wrong the tax payer ends up receiving dividends through the Central Bank investment portfolio. It is worth a try."--Ray Barrell, Director of Macroeconomic Research and Forecasting, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, UK


"Readers with a serious interest in this subject will find this timely book informative..."--Publishers Weekly


"Readers who lack the time or interest to sift through in-depth explanations of economic theories will gain from Farmer's brief explanations of standard economic theories and biographical sketches of major thinkers."--Library Journal



Product Details

  • Hardcover: 208 pages
  • Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA (April 8, 2010)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0195397916
  • ISBN-13: 978-0195397918
  • Product Dimensions: 5.8 x 0.7 x 8.5 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 13.6 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 3.8 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (51 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #674,593 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

More About the Author

Roger E.A. Farmer is Professor and Chair of the Economics Department at UCLA. He is a member of the Financial Times Economists Forum, a specialist on macroeconomic theory and the author of six books and numerous scholarly articles in leading economic journals. In 2000, he was awarded the University of Helsinki medal. Professor Farmer is internationally known for his work on self-fulfilling prophecies in economics. His book, the Macroeconomics of Self-Fulfilling Prophecies explains how changes in market psychology can cause depressions and his two new books on the current economic crisis, Expectations, Employment and Prices and How the Economy Works: Confidence, Crashes and Self-Fulfilling Prophecies are forthcoming with Oxford University Press. These works integrate Keynesian economics with classical ideas and provide a new paradigm for macroeconomics in the 21st century.

Customer Reviews

Most Helpful Customer Reviews
18 of 19 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Excellent economic work for the layman February 21, 2010
Format:Hardcover|Amazon Vine™ Review (What's this?)
"How the Economy Works: Confidence, Crashes and Self-Fulfilling Prophecies" is an excellent summation of the current problems with the world-wide economy (paying close attention to the American economy), summed up well for the layman. Roger E. A. Farmer is a professor at the University of California-Los Angeles, and perhaps because he's worked so often with students, he did his best to stay away from jargon (as he said in his preface) in order to sum up the best-known economic ideas since the mid-1700s through today and give some idea of what the best course of action might be to alleviate further pain and confusion in the future.

Farmer talked about Adam Smith ("On the Wealth of Nations"), David Hume (Scottish philosopher, who wrote a witty piece about how money is used toward the end of the 18th century that still stands up today), Keynes and Keynesian theory (or, put simply, "Why markets don't always work the way they should"), the turn away from Keynesian economics in the late 1970s-early 1980s, and the "New Keynesianism" that has turned up today that is prevalent in the Obama Administration that is trying to take the best of both classical economics (as seen by Smith, et. al.) and Keynes in order to prevent a second Great Depression.

Does this book succeed? Yes, it does; I am not an economist, but I understood every word of this book, and I believe anyone sufficiently motivated can as well.
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12 of 14 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Well Written Overview of Academic Economics February 19, 2010
Format:Hardcover|Amazon Vine™ Review (What's this?)
Roger Farmer is a professor of economics at UCLA. As such, he appears to accept many of main paradigms that define mainstream academic economics, including belief in the importance of mathematics and many of the constructs of Keynsian macroeconomics and Walrasian general equilibrium. What makes his book How the Economy Works particularly valuable is its overview of some of the main lines of thinking that define academic economics, starting with Hume and Adam Smith and concluding with excellent, brief discussions of Lucas, Prescott, and Kydland. Professor Farmer thankfully avoids any mathematics or pedantic jargon. Indeed, the book is quite well written, so that just about any intelligent reader, whether economically literate or not, can profit from reading it. For those interesting in imbibing a brief outline of mainstream academic economics, I cannot think of a better work.

In the second half of his brief tome, Professor Farmer introduces his own theory concerning the cause of business cycles. Farmer tries to synthesize the two main positions that have dominated modern economics: classical and Keynesian economics. He takes from Keynes the notion that markets do not always work. "In the real world, confidence determines wealth, wealth determines demand, and demand determines employment," Farmer tells us. This doesn't strike me as very convincing. Usually, there's a very good reason why investors and businessmen lose confidence: namely, because the fundamentals of the economy are so deplorable. I suspect that, like most academic economists, Professor Farmer's has only a superficial, over-generalized understanding of the pricing system, so that he doesn't entirely grasp what leads to the market failure he attempts to in his theory to explain.
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4 of 4 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Intro to Economics and a New Proposal February 18, 2010
Format:Hardcover|Amazon Vine™ Review (What's this?)
A fantastic, concise introduction to Economics! Covers classical economics, Keynesian economics, rational expectations, central banking, the persistence of unemployment, why the stock market matters to everyone, the possibility of another Great Depression, whether monetary and fiscal policy will work, and the authors' take on how the economic crisis might be solved. It's a really handy summary for people who don't know much about economics and are struggling through all the terminology and historical background to figure this current mess out.

The bottom line is that this last crisis has permanently destroyed jobs worldwide. Farmer believes that a new kind of rational worldwide regulation for stability is needed rather than the radicalized free market ideology that helped create this boom-and-bust situation: "The correct response to the crisis is to set in place, in every country in the world, an institution to control the value of national stock market wealth by targeting the rate of growth of on index fund. Ideally, this function would be taken on by the nation's central bank and coordinated with domestic monetary policy. Central banks should use changes in the size of their balance sheets to prevent inflation from rising too high or too low. They should use changes in the composition of their balance sheets to prevent bubbles and crashes" (p. 165).

And for those who see problems with both a free market and a regulated economy, and wonder about an alternative to both, you might also want to check out Schumacher's Small Is Beautiful: Economics as if People Mattered
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Most Recent Customer Reviews
5.0 out of 5 stars Thanks So Much!
This item arrived very quickly. The item arrived exactly as I expected. Thank you very much for the timely fulfillment.
Published 5 months ago by Chris
3.0 out of 5 stars skeptical of neo-keynesian explanations
I've been reading Austrian Economics explanations of the crash and business cycles in general. I found this book interesting and useful for broadening my knowledge of economics. Read more
Published 16 months ago by Bruce Ellacott
4.0 out of 5 stars A whirlwind history of economic thought and major concepts
This book is really sort of a Cliff's Notes version of macroeconomics. It is a whirlwind tour through important economic thinkers of the last 300 years from Adam Smith to John... Read more
Published 17 months ago by buru buru piggu
4.0 out of 5 stars Overviews of Macroeconomic Theory and a pitch for market reform
When I ordered this, I was hoping to see something along the lines of Hazlitt's Economics in One Lesson - highly recommended by the way. Read more
Published 20 months ago by G. BARTO
1.0 out of 5 stars junk - mainstream economics at its worst
Some merit to the book in giving an overview of the 20th century macroeconomics debates, which is actually a little helpful. Read more
Published on March 30, 2011 by T. Brooks
4.0 out of 5 stars Helping us understand what is really going on, instead of taking sides
The economy has been come quite a hot and controversial topic in modern times. This is due to what economic class people fall in and what their politic beliefs/stripes are and the... Read more
Published on December 8, 2010 by The Straw Man
3.0 out of 5 stars DRY READING
The book is well organized and The author appears to know what he's talking about. I am not qualified to judge, but I did a little fact-checking. Read more
Published on December 5, 2010 by A. D. Boorman
4.0 out of 5 stars Dry but informative. Useful history of economic thought
This is a short, sort-of-a history of economic thought, from classical, Keynesian, to rational expectations, and more. Useful to have as a reference of sorts. Read more
Published on October 8, 2010 by Abhinav Agarwal
3.0 out of 5 stars More of a History Book
If you are a history major, you might like this book. If you are finance major, you should probably move on. Read more
Published on October 4, 2010 by KB
5.0 out of 5 stars A great read for anyone.
I like how he has a tripod approach. He states Keynesian, Classic, and his original ideas. I felt this book was very informative and understandable (even to someone who's 21 and... Read more
Published on August 30, 2010 by Yaroslav Pavlenko
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