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What may pay off a little bit, and why
on April 17, 2000
One major school of investment and finance is that markets are so efficient, or, so random, that it is virtually impossible to consistently beat the market. (Remember that half are always above average, and exactly half are always below average.) Readers of "The Experts Pick:..." columns in business magazines or the Wall Street Journal may recognize that such national investment experts fail in their "best" stock pick about half the time, or, in the case of the WSJ, a "dartboard" (literally) performs about as well as half the experts. There is a school of Finance (folks with PhDs) who work on proving this is so. Inefficient Stock Market is a fairly complex work, with lots of graphs and tables, which shows that fairly complex models with dozens of factors may beat the market - by a few percentage points, sometimes. The author is indeed very knowledgeable and writes clearly (given his sophisticated material). But don't expect a "get rich quick" theory of investment. You know, the market is too efficient to allow that ! It's not really behavioral finance (except in his criticism of the status quo). It's something of a very sophisticated approach to "value investing", with the goal of securing a few extra percentage points of return over an index fund. Note: this is not a book for starters. You should know something about the stock market and investing for the whole point of this book to make sense. A book like Lebaron's "ULTIMATE INVESTOR" could give you some background knowledge for this book.