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The Irrational Economist: Making Decisions in a Dangerous World
 
 
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The Irrational Economist: Making Decisions in a Dangerous World [Hardcover]

Erwann Michel-Kerjan (Editor), Paul Slovic (Editor)
3.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (4 customer reviews)

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Book Description

January 5, 2010
Of the twenty most costly catastrophes since 1970, more than half have occurred since 2001. Is this an omen of what the 21st century will be? How might we behave in this new, uncertain and more dangerous environment? Will our actions be rational or irrational?

A select group of scholars, innovators, and Nobel Laureates was asked to address challenges to rational decision making both in our day-to-day life and in the face of catastrophic threats such as climate changes, natural disasters, technological hazards, and human malevolence. At the crossroads of decision sciences, behavioral and neuro-economics, psychology, management, insurance, and finance, their contributions aim to introduce readers to the latest thinking and discoveries.

The Irrational Economist challenges the conventional wisdom about how to make the right decisions in the new era we have entered. It reveals a profound revolution in thinking as understood by some of the greatest minds in our day, and underscores the growing role and impact of economists and other social scientists as they guide our most important personal and societal decisions.


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Editorial Reviews

Review

Joseph Stiglitz
The Irrational Economist challenges conventional wisdoms, overturns traditional economic models, and brings to light new discoveries in decision sciences: The result is a profound revolution in thinking. This book will help us cope better with the myriad of important decisions under uncertainty that we face.”

Richard M. Smith, Chairman, Newsweek
“In The Irrational Economist some of the world’s foremost economists and decision scientists analyze how we make decisions under pressure—and offer thought-provoking ideas about how to improve the process. The result is important and remarkably timely.”

Martin Feldstein, Professor of Economics, Harvard University; President Emeritus of the National Bureau of Economic Research
“Dealing with extra-ordinary situations that cannot be quantified on the basis of past experience is one of the key problems facing investors, business executives, and government officials. Michel-Kerjan and Slovic brilliantly rally insights from an outstanding group of authors: There is something here for any reader.”

Matthew Bishop, U.S. Business Editor,The Economist and author of The Road From Ruin: How to Revive Capitalism and Put America Back on Top
“At a time of transformative choices, we all need guidance, if not a radical shift in perspective. The Irrational Economist is a terrific book that will change the way you make decisions.”

Justin Fox, Editor-at-large,TIME and author of The Myth of the Rational Market
“The future is uncertain and filled with risks. So what do we do about it? Think of this book as a jam session in which the most virtuosic thinkers from economics and a few other social sciences try to answer that essential question. A great performance.”

Publishers Weekly
“Compelling…. This collection is an intriguing look at the limitations of human knowledge regarding its own nature, especially relevant for the current moment of economic turmoil”

About the Author

Erwann Michel-Kerjan teaches at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania and is Managing Director of the Wharton Risk Center, which for 25 years has been at the forefront of research into the management of extreme events. Honored as a Young Global Leader by the World Economic Forum (Davos), he advises on these issues for top decision makers around the world.

Paul Slovic is a Professor of Psychology at the University of Oregon in Eugene, and founder and President of Decision Research. He is the author of several praised books on human judgment and risk analysis, and is a recipient the Distinguished Scientific Contribution Award from the American Psychological Association.


Product Details

  • Hardcover: 336 pages
  • Publisher: PublicAffairs (January 5, 2010)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 1586487809
  • ISBN-13: 978-1586487805
  • Product Dimensions: 9.5 x 6.8 x 1.1 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1.2 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 3.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (4 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #563,036 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

More About the Author

Dr. Erwann O. Michel-Kerjan (www.erwannmichelkerjan.com) is an authority on managing the risks, the financial impact and the public policy challenges associated with catastrophic events. What is a catastrophic event? Any extraordinary occurrence capable of inflicting massive casualties and very severe economic losses. Think floods, hurricanes, earthquakes, tsunamis or global climate change. Think also devastating terrorist attacks, pandemics, financial and economic upheavals. ...

Originally from Brittany in France, he completed his PhD in economics and finance in 2002 at age 26, then joined the Wharton School (Philadelphia, PA - USA), one of the world's premier business schools.

Recently named a Young Global Leader by the World Economic Forum (Davos) -- "an honor bestowed to recognize and acknowledge the most extraordinary leaders of the world under the age of 40" -- Michel-Kerjan advises private and public organizations, policymakers and NGOs around the world on how to better protect against those events and develop innovative solutions that create sustainable value. Since 2008 he also serves as Chairman of the OECD Secretary-General Advisory Board on financial management of catastrophes (30 member countries).

His view of the future is simple: the world will see more and more of these unprecedented events, devastating catastrophes. As the 2000s decade has clearly proven to be the case, we -as individuals, companies, society- need to completely re-think the way we approach these questions.

Dr. Michel-Kerjan's mission is to help us think more clearly about the answers. Enjoy his books!

 

Customer Reviews

4 Reviews
5 star:
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4 star:
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3 star:    (0)
2 star:
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Average Customer Review
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4 of 4 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars Ignore the One Star Review by the moron, February 22, 2010
By 
This review is from: The Irrational Economist: Making Decisions in a Dangerous World (Hardcover)
At this time, there are only two reviews. The one star review is obviously by someone who has not only not read the book, he apparently hasn't looked at it. There is no one "elitist" with one "formula", the book consists of several articles on different aspects of rationality/irrationality in decision making by different authors.
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8 of 10 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Has a great checklist for decisions among other things, February 15, 2010
By 
Jeff Bennett (Bay Area California) - See all my reviews
This review is from: The Irrational Economist: Making Decisions in a Dangerous World (Hardcover)
I must admit I have just skimmed this book in a bookstore. That said, I am compelled to 5 star this book as the only other review was 1 star. I am consistently taken aback by the review process on Amazon. 1 star? Nonsense! So many 5 star Amazon rated books didn't make me write one thing down to think further about and use after I read hundreds of pages. One star is entitled to the opinion and I do remember flinching at a couple of things I saw in The Irrational Economist. However, based on what I took from just a quick peruse, it is worth more than many books I have read cover to cover. This is mostly because I am very interested in making good decisions and perplexed about so many bad ones that I see. A pandemic if I ever saw one.

In just a brief skim of this book I took the time to write out a paraphrase of a decision checklist of sorts. Here is basically what I wrote for my personal notes: Make sure you are working on the right problem, using the right frame, trying the simple answers first, using the right language, and listening to all levels. Sounds simple, right? I have personally seen countless millions wasted inexplicably flying in the face of this simple checklist at various corporations. Don't even get me started on the government. Billions don't even begin to describe it.

In my opinion, regardless of anything else in the book this checklist framework is literally near priceless. And though most would claim this to be a common sense rehash, common sense is a huge oxymoron; something that the many know but few heed.

I will use this elegantly simple checklist framework for decision making and problem solving over and over to help ensure optimal focus. Also, I will try to remember to update this review when I have finished the book. While I surely didn't agree with some of what is in the book, the aforementioned premise is extremely valuable and often overlooked and worth the low price of admission in and of itself.
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3 of 4 people found the following review helpful:
2.0 out of 5 stars Where is this book going ?, August 30, 2010
I actually read this book contrary to both the 5 stars and the 1 star previous comments.

First don't be fooled by the two names written on the book, this book is actually a collaborative effort by more than 20 peoples...and that's one of the 2 main problems I have with this book.

Each writer wrote one chapter on the book, and even though there was an obvious planning of all this, it doesn't avoid some duplication of information or a difference in quality between chapters.
I often thought that some studies/conclusions weren't detailled enough while others seemed to repeat previous chapters.
Finally, some of the authors also seem too proud of themselves, always saying "I did this","We did that","I published", etc... which is a very bad way to write, and quite annoying to read.

The second problem I have with this book is that after reading it, I have absolutely no idea what was the main point of it. If I had to explain the organisation I would say they are 3 parts in it :

- The first part is actually the best. It explains some findings in the fields of economics and neurology, trying to find (and sometimes explain) how people react when faced with choices to make. There are some interestings findings, but again the many authors and the organisation of the book makes this a bit too vague and confusing. I would have prefered if one or two authors explained theses studies in details, to get a better organized and richer book

- The second part is a political one, talking exclusively about terrorism (9/11), global warming, or the economic crisis of 2008.
It uses none of the conclusions of part one (which were often very specific/narrow in scope) and only speak about ways to manage theses crisis differently. Moreover, all theses chapters were US-centric exclusively and of little interest to non US people.
The worst example of this part is probably the chapter "are you a republican ?" where the author argues that environnemental issues used to be a non-partisan issue because Roosevelt and Nixon supported them. 100% US-centric, almost no relation to the irrationality of people when making decisions.

- Finally the third part is about scientists and how they could influence politics. This part is very vague, and seems like another way for the authors to speak about themselves which they seem to enjoy a lot.

All in all that's 3 independant parts, with only one midly interesting. This book was really disapointing specially when you see that what i called "the part one" could have been a great book by itself if the authors had worked a bit more on it and dumped "part two" and "part three".
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