Modernizing China's Military: Progress, Problems, and Prospects (A Philip E. Lilienthal Book in Asian Studies) [Paperback]

David Shambaugh (Author)

Book Description

Publication Date: April 23, 2004 | ISBN-10: 0520242386 | ISBN-13: 978-0520242388 | Edition: 1

David Shambaugh, a leading international authority on Chinese strategic and military affairs, offers the most comprehensive and insightful assessment to date of the Chinese military. The result of a decade's research, Modernizing China's Military comes at a crucial moment in history, one when international attention is increasingly focused on the rise of Chinese military power. Basing his analysis on an unprecedented use of Chinese military publications and interviews with People's Liberation Army (PLA) officers, Shambaugh addresses important questions about Chinese strategic intentions and military capabilities--questions that are of key concern for government policymakers as well as strategic analysts and a concerned public.

Editorial Reviews

Review

"The definitive study of a contentious foreign-policy subject. . . . The conclusions of Shambaugh's sophisticated assessment--which represents the consensus among government and civilian defense and intelligence analysts--are a much needed corrective to the methodologically crude arguments of works that hype the 'China threat,' such as the 1999 Cox Commission report and Richard Bernstein and Ross H. Munro's The Coming Conflict With China."--The Atlantic Monthly, March 2003 -- Review --This text refers to the Hardcover edition.

From the Inside Flap

"David Shambaugh has written the most in-depth and balanced assessment of the Chinese military available. It is likely to be the defining work on the subject for some time to come."--Robert S, McNamara, former United States Secretary of Defense and President of The World Bank

"The role of the Chinese military will be a determining factor in how China not only relates to the outside world (especially to the United States) but also how China itself evolves politically. Modernizing China's Military is a very important contribution to our enhanced understanding of a critically important trend in world affairs."--Zbigniew Brzezinski, former United States National Security Advisor and currently Counselor at the Center for Strategic & International Studies

"David Shambaugh gives a lucid, comprehensive, and objective account of the substantial growth this past decade in the PLA. He includes an insightful summary of more than a century's history of the Chinese military as a basis for explaining many of the problems the PLA has had, and will continue to have, in its modernization. This should be read by those responsible for our national security as well as scholars of contemporary China."--William J. Perry, former United States Secretary of Defense and currently Professor at Stanford University.

"Shambaugh's analysis of China's military power at home and abroad is thoroughly comprehensive, meticulously researched and enriched by years of personal interviews in Bejing with top civilian and military security specialists. His reliability and objectivity enhances understanding of the military challenge China may project in the future."--Allen S. Whiting, Regents Distinguished Professor of Political Science (Emeritus) at the University of Arizona.

"For those who promote international security, facts can be elusive. Superb China hand David Shambaugh gives us his extensive research and incisive analysis of the PLA. A must read for anyone concerned with the U.S.-China relationship, and even more for those who make decisions affecting U.S.-China security."--Joseph W. Prueher, former Ambassador to the People's Republic of China and former Commander-in-Chief of the U.S. Pacific Command

See all Editorial Reviews

Product Details

• Paperback: 402 pages
• Publisher: University of California Press; 1 edition (April 23, 2004)
• Language: English
• ISBN-10: 0520242386
• ISBN-13: 978-0520242388
• Product Dimensions: 9 x 6 x 1.1 inches
• Shipping Weight: 1.4 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
• Average Customer Review: 4.2 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (5 customer reviews)
• Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #979,053 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

More About the Author

Discover books, learn about writers, read author blogs, and more.

Customer Reviews

Most Helpful Customer Reviews

24 of 33 people found the following review helpful:

2.0 out of 5 stars If you know anything about the PLA, don't buy this book, January 22, 2004

By 

BND "patrick9494" (Fairfax, VA United States) - See all my reviews

This review is from: Modernizing China's Military: Progress, Problems, and Prospects (A Philip E. Lilienthal Book in Asian Studies) (Hardcover)

OK, anyone who knows anything about the PLA will find this to be a very boring read. With the possible acception of the chapter on the CMC, Shambaugh provides little in the way of original insight and the rest of the book simply rehashes material that could be found in tons of better books like You Ji's the Armed Forces of China, or RAND's The PLA as Organization, which frankly are very good investments.

Furthermore, Shambaugh's book is full of mistakes, including on p.1 where he states that the US use of B-1 bombers was critical to the destruction of Iraq during Desert Storm, which would be news to the US as the B-1 wasn't introduced in combat until Afghanistan. There are also examples of ships being misidentified in pictures. Not a good example of serious scholarly work.

The one good thing that I can say about this book is that the footnotes are incredible.

For a scholar as respected as Shambaugh who spent a decade or two on this, Modernizing China's Military was a really disappointing book,

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful:

5.0 out of 5 stars Excellent Insight Into The PLA, May 15, 2008

By 

Michael A Neulander "Political Philosophy" (VA) - See all my reviews
(VINE VOICE)    (TOP 1000 REVIEWER)    (REAL NAME)   

Amazon Verified Purchase

This review is from: Modernizing China's Military: Progress, Problems, and Prospects (A Philip E. Lilienthal Book in Asian Studies) (Paperback)

I read this book for a graduate history class on Mao's China

David Shambaugh's book is a well-written and extremely important resource to anyone who is interested in China's military development, and its implications for Sino-American relations. With China's recent burgeoning economy and explosive military budget, Shambaugh's book could not have come at a better time. Shambaugh's use of very hard to obtain primary source material, as well as extensive use of secondary source and personal interviews with Chinese civilian and military policy-makers is a testament to the quality of the scholarship of this book. Thus, Shambaugh's impressive research, knowledge, and description of the People's Liberation Army (PLA), the Chinese Defense Industrial Complex (CDIC), and the political leadership's national defense goals guarantee that his book will serve as an important resource for years to come.

Shambaugh's chapters on "Civil-Military Relations" and "Command, Control, and Force Structure" are most illuminating chapters exposing one of the key elements the Central Military Commission (CMC) and PLA are currently wrestling with; that of the proper mix of civilian and military command and control of the PLA. The civilian and military leadership must solve its command and control structure if it is going to be successful in its goal of modernizing the PLA. Shambaugh noted that currently the PLA command structure is "unlike more modern Western militaries, which devolve a fairly high degree of unit and individual autonomy in combat situations, Leninist militaries are given minimal leeway for independent interpretation of orders" (108). Shambaugh started with the political fallout within the leadership structure of the PLA triggered by the Tiananmen Square uprising to illuminate the current tug-of-war between the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and government rule over the PLA. On May 20, 1989 when martial law was declared, eight generals and admirals signed a petition published in the newspaper asking Deng Xiaoping not to use the PLA to put down the uprising. This "mini-mutiny" caused a panic within the CCP and the government. Within three months, wide spread investigations looking into the loyalty of military commanders above the division level had been conducted. Shambaugh observed that the CCP made concrete moves to insure the "absolute control of the Communist Party over the PLA" (25). These "investigations" culminated in a wholesale purge of the PLA leadership in the 1990's, starting with General Yang Baibing, secretary-general of the Central Military Commission, (CMC) and many of his senior handpicked "cronies." Deng installed the very able and Party loyalist Jiang Zemin in November of 1989. Jiang had retained his chairmanship of the CMC even after becoming the General-Secretary of the CCP and President of China. Thus, the Party under Jiang's leadership has continued to keep a firm control over the PLA; at least up through the publication of Shambaugh's book in 2002. For example, all PLA officers with the rank of colonel and above have to be members of the CCP. Jiang's control of the CMC has been a model of political deftness, which strengthened his own political power base by building relationships within the leadership of the PLA. Thus, "Key elements of Jiang's strategy include: personnel changes, support for military modernization and professionalism. Shambaugh noted that starting in the late 1990's the "Chinese military is moving--or rather being moved--into an entirely new era of civil-military relations and corporate professionalism" (55). However, as Shambaugh astutely recognized, "The organizational reform of the PLA is a work in progress. It is true that the PLA has needed a wholesale makeover, but the sheer process of absorbing so many far-reaching changes at one time has itself been destabilizing" (183). However, Shambaugh found that "there are those in the Chinese high Command today who are convinced that this organizational structure is ill suited to contemporary warfare and who argue in favor of adopting an American-style joint staff and war theater system" (109).

Shambaugh's chapter on "Doctrine and Training" is an important examination of how China's military leadership observed the changing nature of military conflicts around the world, and how they are preparing the PLA to meet the demanding challenges of warfare in the 21st century. Shambaugh astutely realized that doctrine shapes training. Therefore, he started his chapter expounding the doctrinal lessons the PLA's leadership learned from America's involvement in the first Gulf War in 1991 and from the Kosovo Air War in 1999. These two conflicts proved to the PLA and CMC leadership that their forces were woefully ill equipped and ill trained to meet the modern challenges of warfare. "The Gulf War thus had a profound impact on PLA doctrinal thinking about the nature of warfare and defense stimulating comprehensive, far-reaching, fundamental reconsiderations and revisions" (74). Many of the leaders' long standing "lessons learned" from the Korean War were scrapped. Both the PLA and CMC were induced to change their modernization programs from one of quantity to quality; both in personnel and weapons technology, procurement, and production. The leadership understood that technology; such as, precision guided munitions, stealth technology, real time battlefield intelligence, and rapid mobility of ground forces, were going to shape future conflicts, regardless of whether their country was taking a defensive or offensive posture regarding warfare. Thus in 1999, the "lessons learned" promulgated the PLA leadership to initiate a new doctrine known as "the three attacks and three defenses" [san da san fang]. "The `three attacks' are attacking stealth aircraft, cruise missiles, and armed helicopters. The `three defenses' are defending against enemy reconnaissance and surveillance, precision strikes, and electronic interference" (87-88). With this new doctrine in force, the PLA has changed its entire weapons procurement and personnel-training scheme to reflect their doctrinal goals. However, as of the date of the publication of Shambaugh's book, the PLA has met with only limited success in their new goals. In his learned assessment, "There remains a large gap between the theory and aspirations of the PLA's new doctrine of fighting. Although it may appear that the PLA is closing the gap with modern militaries, the opposite is actually the case" (107).

Shambaugh's chapters on "Budget and Finance" and "Defense Industries and Weapons Procurement" revealed China's technological disadvantage, which it continues to suffer from, despite numerous policy decisions to make improvements. Shambaugh found that, "Few areas of Chinese military affairs are more opaque and difficult to research than the revenue/expenditure and budget/finance domains" (184). Part of the difficulty of gaining good information on the military budget is twofold. First, budget and expenditure figures were very tightly controlled items of information. Secondly, the PLA engaged in two budgetary practices that are not permitted in Western militaries. China allowed the PLA to rollover any surplus money from one fiscal year to the next. This made it exceedingly difficult for Western military analysts to see a true picture of the PLA's budgetary rate of growth. In addition, until recently, the PLA has been encouraged to develop and maintain commercial enterprises that generate considerable revenue streams. These commercialization practices were used "to offset and compensate for low levels of state allocations to the PLA" (184). Although many of these enterprises were agricultural in nature, where military units were engaged in growing their own food, some of these enterprises grew into tremendously large conglomerates--employing up to 250,000 people. Most of the money earned stayed with the military unit that generated it and was not plowed back into the general PLA budget. Unfortunately, as these commercial ventures became successful, two deleterious things happened to the PLA which ultimately led to the practice being disbanded. One, it caused soldiers to spend inordinate amounts of time away from their military duties and training to engage in commercial ventures. Military inspection teams found that soldiers were absent from duty for long periods of time--thus unit training and readiness reports were being falsified. In addition, the commercialization ventures also started a black market economy with the selling of military supplies. Since the standard of living was so low for military personnel, including officers, the commercial enterprises fostered corruption in some instances on a fantastic scale involving high-ranking generals. Thus, after several embarrassing incidents of greed and corruption became known, the CMC issued orders for the PLA to divest themselves of their commercial ventures starting in 1998 (202).

Another problem that Shambaugh noted for the PLA budget was the inordinately high allocation of its budget to its personnel account, which is 40% as compared to its other two accounts, Operations and Maintenance at 41% and weapons procurement at 39%. Starting in 1989 with Jiang's chairmanship of the CMC, the leadership had been making strides in increasing and stabilizing growth in the PLA budget. Under Jiang's tutelage, the PLA budget had risen "with an average annual increase of 15.5%" (223). Jiang's leadership on the budget undoubtedly had "purchased" him increasing loyalty from the PLA leadership. Thus, for the year 2000, Shambaugh estimated the PLA defense budget was a little over 31 billion dollars. "This total would rank China third in the world in total military expenditure behind the United States and Russia, and just ahead of France, Japan, the United Kingdom, and... Read more ›

5.0 out of 5 stars The Rise of The Chinese Military, February 1, 2008

By 

GaryBiz - See all my reviews

This review is from: Modernizing China's Military: Progress, Problems, and Prospects (A Philip E. Lilienthal Book in Asian Studies) (Paperback)

This is a MUST READ Book for EVERY AMERICAN!

Nothing is So Threatening and So Politically Ignored!