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Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion [Paperback]

Joshua D. Angrist (Author), Jörn-Steffen Pischke (Author)
4.1 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (21 customer reviews)

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Book Description

December 15, 2008 0691120358 978-0691120355 1

The core methods in today's econometric toolkit are linear regression for statistical control, instrumental variables methods for the analysis of natural experiments, and differences-in-differences methods that exploit policy changes. In the modern experimentalist paradigm, these techniques address clear causal questions such as: Do smaller classes increase learning? Should wife batterers be arrested? How much does education raise wages? Mostly Harmless Econometrics shows how the basic tools of applied econometrics allow the data to speak.

In addition to econometric essentials, Mostly Harmless Econometrics covers important new extensions--regression-discontinuity designs and quantile regression--as well as how to get standard errors right. Joshua Angrist and Jrn-Steffen Pischke explain why fancier econometric techniques are typically unnecessary and even dangerous. The applied econometric methods emphasized in this book are easy to use and relevant for many areas of contemporary social science.

  • An irreverent review of econometric essentials
  • A focus on tools that applied researchers use most
  • Chapters on regression-discontinuity designs, quantile regression, and standard errors
  • Many empirical examples
  • A clear and concise resource with wide applications

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Editorial Reviews

Review

A quirky and thought-provoking read for any budding econometrician. . . . Insightful and refreshing. -- James Davidson, Times Higher Education

I'd recommend it to the entire range of empirical economists, from those still in training to those who, like me, have only a hazy memory of statistical theory and stick to our tried and tested methods of estimation . . . an excellent guide to how to do basic regression/IV/panel data estimation really well. In particular, it demonstrates through many examples how to bring about a happy marriage between one's underlying model and the data which might or might not confirm the researcher's hypotheses. -- Diane Coyle, The Enlightened Economist Blog

The applied econometric methods emphasized in this book are easy to use and relevant for many areas of contemporary social sciences. -- Pavel Stoynov, Zentralblatt MATH

[T]he matter covered in the book is surely of interest to most agricultural economists. Even if it is not a complete overview of existing econometric research methods, it certainly contains a good deal of hands on advice driven by years of experience. -- European Review of Agricultural Economics

This book is an extremely thought-provoking contribution to the literature. It champions a different paradigm to that characterising most econometrics texts and does so with considerable (idiosyncratic) style and grace. Highly recommended! -- David Harris and Christopher L. Skeels, Economic Record

Review

This pathbreaking book is a must-read for any scientist who is interested in formulating and testing hypotheses about the social world. This includes political scientists, sociologists, historians, geographers, and anthropologists. The book is clever and funny, and guides you through the tangle of problems that confront empirical research in social science. I wish I had had it years ago.
(James Robinson, Harvard University ) --This text refers to the Hardcover edition.

Product Details

  • Paperback: 392 pages
  • Publisher: Princeton University Press; 1 edition (December 15, 2008)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0691120358
  • ISBN-13: 978-0691120355
  • Product Dimensions: 8.4 x 5.6 x 1 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 15.5 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 4.1 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (21 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #12,217 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Customer Reviews

21 Reviews
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Average Customer Review
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Most Helpful Customer Reviews

40 of 47 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Finally a useful econometrics book..., January 30, 2009
By 
ReadsALot (New Jersey, NJ USA) - See all my reviews
This review is from: Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion (Paperback)
This is a wonderful book. Despite having taken many courses and read many statistics and econometrics books, I'm sometimes stuck in my own applied problems. Of course, these courses and books taught me how to derive asymptotic theorems or be careful when maximum likelihood fails, but this is not what I really need to know to solve my problems. Now with Angrist and Pischke, I have a book that is truly applied in focus -- one that explains why and how certain empirical strategies are convincing and one that is up-to-date with the latest examples of recent research employing these strategies. Real econometrics applied to real problems. This book should be on every applied economists bookshelf.
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31 of 36 people found the following review helpful:
2.0 out of 5 stars Unclear presentation, March 9, 2010
This review is from: Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion (Paperback)
In their introduction Angrist and Pischke say "empirical research is most valuable when it uses data to answer specific causal questions, as if in a randomized clinical trial". The book aims to teach this approach to students of applied econometrics.

The emphasis on natural experiments and quasi-experiments which the authors espouse has become influential in some sub-areas of econometrics and the authors, particularly Angrist, have played a leading role in this development. However, this approach is not uncontroversial. The Journal of Economic Perspectives has an entire issue (Spring 2010, Vol. 24, No. 2, full text online for public) discussing the pros and cons and you may want to glance through it before buying this book.

Taken on its own terms the book suffers from indiscriminately mixing four levels of discussion: the philosophical and methodological issues around causality, tips and tricks on how the apply the workhorse models of (micro)econometrics, case studies, and the mathematical properties of models and estimators. The authors keep switching constantly between these four levels rather than presenting them sequentially, making the book very hard to read and follow. The problem is compounded by the sketchiness of the mathematical derivations and the lack of a precise definition of the key idea of 'causality'.

If you are starting out in econometrics you may be better served by traditional textbooks with more detailed and careful presentations such as Wooldridge's Introductory Econometrics and Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data.

If your interest is in causal inference, deeper treatments can be found in Judea Pearl's Causality: Models, Reasoning and Inference or Morgan and Winship's Counterfactuals and Causal Inference.
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15 of 16 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Learning everything all over again, May 14, 2010
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This review is from: Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion (Paperback)
This is a great book that I really wish had been written when I was first learning econometrics. It is probably best appreciated by someone who has already taken one or two econometrics classes and has had some exposure to applied econometrics research. If you haven't taken econometrics yet you will not really appreciate the 'paradigm shift' that they are trying to explain nor appreciate some of the humor and storytelling. But if you are like myself someone who first learned econometrics more than a decade ago you'll find yourself reading this book page by page with appreciation. I feel that it is helping me to develop a much more mature understanding of the field of applied micro econometrics (helping me to confirm hunches and general notions I already and also new gems of insight). There are many cookbooks that might explain the methods in more depth (e.g. Cameron and Trivedi Microeconometrics) but that's not the purpose of this book. It's purpose is to make you think more about 'research design' which is to say about the questions that you pose, and how you pose them, rather than the methods that you use to try to arrive at answers. For too long econometricians got lost in the details of methods without taking a step back to think about some really fundamental questions first. The book is filled with examples of both good and bad research and you'll be surprised at how bad some past very influential research looks in light of modern day paradigms. It's not that these earlier researchers didn't know enough math, it's that they used the math without clear enough purpose.

This book will make you a better economist and beyond that make you see the world around you slightly differently. You'll end up with a keener eye for all those natural experiments happening all around you. If you are an advanced undergraduate, MA or starting PhD student with any pretensions of becoming engaged in original applied economics research this book should be a "must have" on your bookshelf.
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Inside This Book (learn more)
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
draft eligibility status, sex composition instruments, propensity score theorem, overidentification test statistic, potential treatment assignments, anatomy formula, iterating expectations, average causal effect, quantile regression coefficients, causal response function, covariate cells, conventional standard errors, quantile regression estimates, population regression function, exogenous covariates, excluded instruments, matching estimator, twins instruments, matching estimates, discontinuity sample, average treatment effect, long regression, draft lottery numbers, population regression coefficients, conditional quantiles
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
Instrumental Variables, Making Regression Make Sense, Nonstandard Standard Error Issues, New Jersey, Panel Data, Monte Carlo, Douglas Adams, Regression Discontinuity Designs, The Experimental Ideal, Full Effect, Social Security-taxable, The Hitchhiker's Guide, Standard Errors Conventional
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