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4 of 5 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars
Good Insights, but -, July 19, 2009
Why has the U.S. consistently failed to achieve peace in the Middle East? According to the authors, it is because we have repeatedly fallen for myths about the region. These include: 1)Iran's religious leadership is immune from diplomatic and economic pressures, 2)Israeli-Palestinian peace is key to solving all the Middle East problems, and 3)Regime change is prerequisite for peace and democracy.
The authors early on point out that Middle-East diplomacy must be addressed in the larger context of China, Russia (seeking a role as counterweight to the U.S.?, nervous about its own Muslim inhabitants), and Global Warming (the Middle East can undercut initiatives if they lower prices).
Clearly, the preeminent threat of our time is that radical Islamists may get their hands on a nuclear weapon. In addition, say the authors, it remains unlikely that Islamists extremists who embrace suicide bombing are deterrable. While perhaps true, downgrading the Israeli-Palestinian conflict from top priority in the context of terrorism seems extremely dangerous, given Bin Laden and others listing it as a prime grievance. On the other hand, the authors do make the case that this 60-year-old conflict is not the answer to every Mid-East problem - eg. the Iran-Iraq War (1980-1988), and Gulf War I and II had no connection to the Israeli-Palestinian issue.
"The main opponents of Arab-Israeli peace . . . primarily the Islamists" is a statement that suggests a serious bias on the author's part - no documentation was given. Though the book repeatedly slams Bush II policies in the area, this statement creates wonder that the authors would have done better. Further, at no point do they depict Israelis as a source of problems - even their continual building of settlements.
Moving on to Iran, the authors begin stating that U.S. problems with Iran go back many years . . . starting with the 1979 revolution - oblivious to the U.S. role in overthrowing the elected Iranian government to protect U.S. and British oil interests. Regardless, the current situation is depicted from both the viewpoints of "engagers," and "regime changers." Again, solutions are muddled by Russia, China, and the 2007 NIE findings on Iran's nuclear program. Ross/Makovsky see sanctions as having impact - prices of affected goods have risen 50%, and possibly this underlies the dissidents' energy in the latest election. On the other hand, the book should have done a better job of examining the problems associated with Iran's declining production - the material was unclear what the root causes and cures are.
Finally, "Myths, Illusions, and Peace" probably makes its greatest contribution regarding the topic of Israel's value to the U.S. Other sources conclude that Israel has no positive value whatsoever; Ross/Makovsky point out that Israel has protected Jordan vs. Syria, and can be seen as a counterweight to Iran, Hamas, and Hizbollah. The latter points, however, were not explicated.
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5 of 8 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars
Outstanding review of Middle East history and thoughtful look ahead, July 15, 2009
What you thought you knew about peace-making in the Middle East is probably not true. Ross and Makovsky set out to rebut the "myths and illusions" of both the neo-conservatives and the "realists," two of the most influential schools of thought, and they succeed.
Simplistically, one might have thought that the neo-conservatives, many of whom supported the war in Iraq and many of whom advocate regime change in Iran, are "pro-Israel," and that the "realists" are anti-Israel. Ross and Makovsky make a convincing case that the policies advocated by both groups are not in the interest of either Israel or the United States.
The authors write from decades of experience and from a deep knowledge of the region and of all the key players. They argue that the eight years of the Bush administration brought confusion, indecision, and some downright incompetence when it came to Iran policy and to the Israeli-Palestinian peace process. They also launch a detailed rebuttal of the Walt-Mearsheimer thesis that Israel is now a strategic liability to the United States, showing convincingly in my view that Israel is a strategic asset.
Ross and Makovsky avoid cliches and bring a fresh approach to long-debated questions. They write clearly and concisely and without jargon. Ross is back in government now, and I certainly hope that his clear-eyed proposals will hold sway in the Obama administration. I highly recommend this book.
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2 of 4 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars
Excellent book for understanding U.S. Mideast policy, July 12, 2009
I have followed the Middle East for many years, since the Israeli invasion of Lebanon in June 1982. American policy has waxed and waned, and Dennis Ross and David Makovsky review U.S. policy toward the region -- not just the Arab-Israeli conflict -- since the FDR administration.
Their level-headed approach is a useful guide to understanding the key issues, such as respect for sovereignty, what to do about radical Islamists and authoritarian leaders, the Irsaeli-Palestinian conflict and so on.
So many people do not understand the complex politics of the regional players, yet they are quick to blame and condemn one group or another.
Ross and Makovsky say, in effect, "Take a deep breath, count to 10 and make the effort to understand the history and the cultures and the religions of the area."
Good advice. Their lack of dogmatism is somewhat unusual and quite welcome.
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