NATO's Further Enlargement: Determinants and Implications for Defense Planning and Shaping [Paperback]

Thomas S. Szayna (Author)

Book Description

Publication Date: April 30, 2001

In the 1990s, NATO began a course of enlargement and transformation to remain relevant in Europe's post Cold War security environment. As part of its commitment to enlargement, it admitted three new members--Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic in 1999 and has plans to admit more countries in the future. NATO's enlargement has profound military implications for the U. S. and its allies in terms of future planning and shaping strategies. Both have been driven primarily by political imperatives, not by a sense of direct threat, but by an environment-shaping agenda of democratization and integration. This report develops and applies an analytical framework for thinking about the determinants of future NATO enlargement, the specific defense challenges they pose, and shaping policies that might aid in addressing these challenges.

Editorial Reviews

Review

Szayna's analysis is thorough, accurate, and accompanied by quality judgments throughout. Although it remains relatively short, it avoids fallacies of omission such as oversimplification or special pleading, and fallacies of assumption such as begging the question or misusing analogies. It succeeds at identifying the key drivers and factors that will determine NATO's enlargement choices. I recommend this book to laypersons and professionals alike.
The Journal of Slavic Military Studies, June 2002


... Offers an interesting and well documented approach to understanding NATO enlargement and what the next round might mean for the alliance.
Joyce P. Kaufman

From the Publisher

In January 1994, NATO committed itself to a gradual process of en-largement,and in 1999, it admitted three new members-Poland,Hungary, and the Czech Republic. A further enlargement decision isscheduled for 2002, with a new member (or members) possibly join-ingNATO in 2004. Over the next 15 years, as many as three decisionscould be made on further enlargement. These decisions and theoverall course of enlargement will pose many far-reaching strategicand military challenges for NATO policymakers. Which countries arelikely to be admitted, and when? What is the status of the armedforces of potential member countries? What impact will the acces-sionof new members have on NATO's main missions?This report develops and applies an analytical framework to evaluatepotential members' relative readiness for and likelihood of admis-sionto NATO. The framework takes into account political, strategic,and military criteria. The purpose of the analysis is to inform deci-sionmakingby the United States Air Force, the United StatesEuropean Command (EUCOM), and EUCOM component com-mandsregarding shaping actions (with a particular emphasis on air-power)toward the aspiring members.The research presented here is part of a larger project on the chang-ingstrategic environment in and around Europe and its implicationsfor the United States and NATO. Sponsored by the Commander,United States Air Forces in Europe, and the Deputy Chief of Staff forAir and Space Operations, Headquarters, United States Air Force, theproject was conducted in the Strategy and Doctrine Program ofRAND's Project AIR FORCE.This report should be of interest to those engaged in policymakingregarding European security. Its specific military focus is on airforces, but its discussion of the defense planning implications of theenlargement process and the engagement and shaping recommen-dationsis also relevant to other dimensions of military power.For comments and further information, please contact the author:[e-mail] AIR FORCEProject AIR FORCE (PAF), a division of RAND, is the United States AirForce's federally funded research and development center (FFRDC)for studies and analyses. It provides the Air Force with independentanalyses of policy alternatives affecting the development, employ-ment,combat readiness, and support of current and future air andspace forces. Research is carried out in four programs: AerospaceForce Development; Manpower, Personnel, and Training; ResourceManagement; and Strategy and Doctrine.

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Product Details

• Paperback: 165 pages
• Publisher: Rand Publishing (April 30, 2001)
• Language: English
• ISBN-10: 0833029614
• ISBN-13: 978-0833029614
• Product Dimensions: 8.8 x 5.8 x 0.5 inches
• Shipping Weight: 10.4 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
• Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #3,177,255 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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