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The Next Great Globalization: How Disadvantaged Nations Can Harness Their Financial Systems to Get Rich
 
 
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The Next Great Globalization: How Disadvantaged Nations Can Harness Their Financial Systems to Get Rich [Hardcover]

Frederic S. Mishkin (Author)
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Book Description

August 21, 2006

Many prominent critics regard the international financial system as the dark side of globalization, threatening disadvantaged nations near and far. But in The Next Great Globalization, eminent economist Frederic Mishkin argues the opposite: that financial globalization today is essential for poor nations to become rich. Mishkin argues that an effectively managed financial globalization promises benefits on the scale of the hugely successful trade and information globalizations of the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. This financial revolution can lift developing nations out of squalor and increase the wealth and stability of emerging and industrialized nations alike. By presenting an unprecedented picture of the potential benefits of financial globalization, and by showing in clear and hard-headed terms how these gains can be realized, Mishkin provides a hopeful vision of the next phase of globalization.

Mishkin draws on historical examples to caution that mismanagement of financial globalization, often aided and abetted by rich elites, can wreak havoc in developing countries, but he uses these examples to demonstrate how better policies can help poor nations to open up their economies to the benefits of global investment. According to Mishkin, the international community must provide incentives for developing countries to establish effective property rights, banking regulations, accounting practices, and corporate governance--the institutions necessary to attract and manage global investment. And the West must be a partner in integrating the financial systems of rich and poor countries--to the benefit of both.

The Next Great Globalization makes the case that finance will be a driving force in the twenty-first-century economy, and demonstrates how this force can and should be shaped to the benefit of all, especially the disadvantaged nations most in need of growth and prosperity.



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Editorial Reviews

Review


This is an excellent, easy-to-understand and well-written exposition of the benefits of financial globalization, persuasively setting out the case for financial liberalization in developing countries--against the tidal wave of much current academic thinking on the matter. -- Nigel Grimwade, Times Higher Education Supplement



Frederic Mishkin . . . argues in an important new book, foreign capital can bring big gains at the microeconomic level: more competition, new technology and modern managerial know-how. Inflows of foreign direct investment into the financial system itself are particularly valuable to an emerging country. -- Financial Times



Frederic S. Mishkin . . . argues that when handled with proper safeguards, financial openness can confer many benefits that are often overlooked, like reducing corruption and busting up local monopolies and business oligarchies. -- Paul Blustein, Washington Post



The next great globalization, according to Frederic Mishkin's new book . . . will be financial in character: the flow of foreign money into stocks, bonds and banking in emerging economies. . . . Mr. Mishkin makes a clear and compact case for cosmopolitan capital; and his footnotes . . . weigh and tally a wealth of economic research. -- The Economist



In this economic equivalent of tough love, Mishkin seldom uses a qualifying phrase. The premise is crystal clear: choose the path of globalization that leads to economic development, higher income levels, and general prosperity, or choose the path of globalization that leads to stagnation, stasis, and lower living standards. . . . Advocates of free trade will nod their heads in agreement, and opponents will find plenty of food for thought. -- Choice



The Next Great Globalization is a compelling read for anyone with an interest in the real-life complexities of economic development, and its focus on the often overlooked or maligned role of financial institutions is very welcome. -- Diane Coyle, International Affairs



Offers a plan for reform of developing nations' banking systems. . . . Valuable--and achievable--recommendations for change. . . . The Next Great Globalization describes the failings of the International Monetary Fund well, in part a result of Mishkin's experience as an outside evaluator of the organization. -- BusinessWeek



This book addresses an important global problem: the low state of development experienced by much of the world's population, and it makes a valuable contribution to the development literature by focusing on domestic institutions. Moreover, while most economic discussion about institutions is highly abstract, Mishkin focuses on financial institutions. -- Eva Marikova Leeds, Eastern Economic Journal



This book by a prominent economist and Fed Governor provides invaluable insights into the financial development process, drawing on theoretical research and country experiences to distill the lessons for policymakers. It explains how globalization--both real and financial--can bring prosperity, stability, and wealth to emerging market countries that put in place the necessary institutional reforms when liberalizing their financial systems. The Next Great Globalization is intended not just for economists but also for broader audiences with an interest in financial issues. -- Miranda Xafa, World Economics



This is a workmanlike book written in plain English about an important but currently controversial subject: financial globalization. Its judgements are, by and large, sound. . . . [I]t is . . . worthwhile to have the traditional virtues of financial globalization set out simply and clearly. -- Deepak Lal, International History Review



This book's arguments are backed by sound economic research, and there are important policy lessons to be learned. The material will be valuable for economists and policymakers across the world, but particularly to those working in developing countries and at international financial institutions. -- José R. Sánchez-Fung, Economic Change and Restructuring

From the Inside Flap


"The Next Great Globalization offers real understanding of both the causes of recent financial crises around the world and the dramatic opportunities we have in future development in world financial architecture. Mishkin's thoroughness and at the same time his grasp of the big picture come through beautifully in this book."--Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance and The New Financial Order

"At long last a book that stares the financial sector firmly in the eye, shows its serious faults, identifies the factors that lie behind them, and proposes constructive solutions for developing economies. This highly readable book is rooted in state-of-the-art research on recent developments in emerging market economies. It convincingly posits a central and controversial proposition: namely, that private financiers, given the right set of incentives, can open the doors to progress, while their absence will likely perpetuate inefficiency and cronyism. Mishkin has thrown down his gauntlet to the antiglobalizers for whom the financial sector is a bête noire. Readers will enjoy this book, and engaging in the debate that will certainly follow."--Guillermo Calvo, University of Maryland, former chief economist at the Inter-American Development Bank

"This is a fabulous book, and I can hardly endorse it strongly enough. It is simply the best single thing I have ever read on financial globalization, and I felt tremendously educated, entertained, and motivated after reading it. It is a great blend of technically accurate and careful argumentation with accessible exposition that will appeal to a wide audience. Indeed, Mishkin's clear, jargon-free, concise writing, combined with his technical expertise and reputation, puts this book far above the vast majority of writings by economists for broader audiences."--William Easterly, author of The White Man's Burden: Why the West's Efforts to Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill and So Little Good

"The past six decades have seen a steady forward march in the interdependence of national economies. While many aspects of this globalization process have proved controversial, none has been as potentially explosive as financial globalization-the international integration of national financial markets. Mishkin carefully reviews the factors that have caused financial meltdowns in past emerging-market globalization episodes, and lays out a blueprint for avoiding such crises in the future without cutting off access to foreign finance. Compelling, comprehensive, and accessible, this book makes the case that developing countries can safely embrace financial globalization, and should."--Maurice Obstfeld, University of California, Berkeley

"Eschewing sharp rhetoric in favor of cogent analysis, Mishkin calmly and convincingly explains why developing countries that get financial globalization right will ultimately far outperform those that try to shut it out. Even China will be no exception."--Kenneth Rogoff, Harvard University, former chief economist and director of research, International Monetary Fund

"This is the first book to make a comprehensive and compelling argument for financial globalization. It makes a powerful case that financial globalization is a necessary part of policy reforms to promote economic growth among stagnating countries and provides guidance on how to proceed while avoiding the crises that are sometimes associated with reform. Mishkin has an extraordinary ability to write for a broad audience without sacrificing intellectual rigor. This book should be read by everyone interested in economic development, as well as those focused on financial sector issues."--Ross Levine, Brown University



Product Details

  • Hardcover: 320 pages
  • Publisher: Princeton University Press (August 21, 2006)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0691121540
  • ISBN-13: 978-0691121543
  • Product Dimensions: 9.3 x 6.4 x 1.1 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1.2 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (3 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #656,711 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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6 of 7 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars a GREAT book on a GREAT issue, July 22, 2008
As the final word, Mishkin says: "...the next great globalization should be financial. I hope this book provides some guidance on how it can be done right."

It sure did.

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(Since my review is somewhat long, I'll present the outline first.) I've scrutinized the book with much care, and I'll write about the following reviews in sequence:

I. Book's main issue
II. The author's standpoint
III. Book content summary
IV. The writing style
V. My personal view about globalization

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I. The issue of the book

This book touches the grand topic of financial globalization, which is something important yet confusing to us ordinary people. Though the topic has a large audience, few writers dared to address it, since the picture of globalization is too big and complex for most to envision, to understand, to interpret. THEY ARE SIMPLY UNABLE TO HANDLE IT. Those who are interested in globalization - and especially financial globalization - have been waited a long time for someone who can really explain it for them.

Mishkin didn't fail us. In a relatively short book, he outlined the whole structure of financial globalization with nations as the basic unit of study.

I think this books is comparable to <The world is flat>, in which the journalist Friedman painstaking drew the huge picture of globalization with vivid stories and anecdotes. He did make the whole thing come to live. And this book is different in nature. While Friedman strived to give us an INTUITIVE FEELING about globalization (even created a phrase to capture the elusive concept - "the flat world"), Mishkin tried to RATIONALLY ANALYZE it for us. While Friedman kept our mouth open APPERCIATING the effects of globalization, Mishkin keeps us thinking about HOW it works. While Friedman enabled us to ENVISION it, Mishkin enabled us to UNDERSTAND it.

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II. The author's standpoint

Like most economists, Mishkin is strongly "pro-globalization", even when talking about the controversial - financial globalization. He believes that successful participation in the world capital market can give weak countries the chance to catch up with their rich brothers. He argues persuasively that financial liberation in a country is mostly about how to get the SYSTEM right. It is the institutional design that matters most, not the amount of capital in it. As he puts it, when the institutional structure is in good shape, the market can attract investment, allocate them to their most effective uses, and keep away from financial crises.

As for the basic infrastructure of financial system, he mentions the following elements again and again:

1. Developing strong property rights. Lack of property right protection kills investment incentives.
2. An effective and efficient legal system. If the legal system doesn't work or work too slowly, it will also be a huge impediment to investing.
3. Financial supervision and regulation. Such practice include increasing market transparency, enforcing strong accounting standards, imposing safe capital requirement of banks, effective supervision of the financial institutions, and so on.

Although the prospect of financial globalization for "emerging market economies" is brilliant, powerful politicians and businesses may have strong will against it. Especially domestic monopolies, they hate globalization because it brings competition.

Mishkin believes that the action of globalization can "force" reluctant officials and business elites to embrace globalization, by giving them incentive and increasing competition.

Mismanagements by the elites will cause severe problems. For example, in an attempt to quickly privatize the banks, the Mexican government made many impudent moves that left the financial system at high risk, which resulted in a lending boom. The same thing happened when the chaebols (huge family-owned conglomerates in South Korea) perverted the financial liberalization process to suit their insatiable thirst for capital, which also resulted in a financial crisis.

The author believes that the financial crises of "emerging market economies" are generally "homegrown". External effects function only as problem accelerators.

In his analysis of the three typical financial crashes, one important villain in monetary policy is "pegged exchange rate + liability dollarization". It is also argued that, to keep the financial system in good shape, both fiscal and monetary policies must be responsible.

He believes, although quite naively, that the IMF and some other institutions (his brainchildren) can be "lender of last resort" and therefore act as the savior of weak countries in trouble.

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III. Content summary


The first part of the book, "Is financial globalization beneficial?" illustrated why financial globalization is bound to come, what it will look like, and how such globalization can change our lives for the better.

Then, the second part, "financial crisis in emerging market economies", showed how the whole thing can go wrong if mishandled. With case studies of three financial crises (respectively in Mexico 94', South Korea 97 - 98', and Argentina 01 - 02'), Mishkin showed us how strong political and business interests can pervert the right course of financial liberalization, give rise to unhealthy lending booms with large amounts of bad loans, and how such problems can eventually turn into currency crises, and finally, full-fledged financial disasters.

The third part, "How can disadvantaged nations make financial globalization work for them", gives prescriptions to developing nations on how to enter into the world capital market profitably and safely.

The fourth part, "How can the International Community Promote Successful Globalization?" centers on the roles of IMF and advanced countries in helping new comers. This part, however well intentioned, is little if at all useful. IMF and other international institutions, in which Mishkin places unjustified hope, are largely manipulated by political interests of strong countries. The world powers dominated it. For example, since the IMF requires an 85% vote to get a bill passed and U.S. counts as 17%, the United States actually has a veto. Probing into the history, we see they frequently fail to act in the interest of the weak countries in trouble. Unfortunately, even Mishkin himself agree that the IMF, as well as the World Bank, cannot take the role of a savior.

The final part, "where do we go from here", is an epilogue with a hopeful look into the bright future of financial globalization.

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IV. Writing style

Luckily, his writing is rather layman-friendly! With careful explanation and detailed analysis, even those with no prior knowledge about finance can understand many technical terms after reading. Ever terrified by such words like "liquidity", "liability dollarization" and "financial liberalization"? Don't worry. They will be part of your active vocabulary after this book.

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V. Some personal thoughts on financial globalization

Although undesired by many, globalization, in today's world, seems more and more unavoidable. Most of us have sensed its rush towards us, gaining momentum along the way. Therefore, we need to get ready for it, with both an open mind but also aware of its potential to do harm.

Caution first:

I think the problem in globalization is INHERENT in PRINCIPLE OF ECONOMICS. Most economists are fond of globalization just like they are fond of free-trade, since globalization is virtually FREE-TRADE in THE WHOLE WORLD. According to the economics theory, "TRADE MAKES PEOPLE BETTER-OFF" by allowing them to specialize in their advantaged area. Free-trade promotes competition, which results in lower prices for better goods.

However, when we take the social effects into account, TRADE DOESN'T NECESSARILY MAKE PEOPLE BETTER-OFF, since it maximizes profits AT THE EXPENSE OF POLARIZATION. The rich get richer and the poor get poorer. Let's consider welfare: economists would tell you unanimously that any form of welfare reduces economics outcomes. True. But aren't those who live in the European welfare states happy about their society safety net? Furthermore, pursuing free trade and increasing the income gap means decreasing social stability, and this undermines the economy in return - the poor not only get poorer, but also angrier.

Therefore, if the whole world is to be integrated into one single economy (as is the ultimate future goal of globalization), we can expect severer polarization. You might say, well, since a free-trade country can solve its problem, why cannot a free-trade world? The situation is, when wealth distribution gets too uneven in United States, there is still a federal government to redistribute for U.S. citizens. However, when the inequality occurs on a global scale, who is going to redress the problem for World citizens?


An open mind is also important:

There... Read more ›
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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Excellent stuff, well written and easy to understand, February 12, 2009
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In his book Frederic Mishkin sets out quite convincingly how countries can increase their wealth by establishing financial systems which are transparent, well regulated and governed by the rule of law.

First the author explains the conditions required for implementing a functioning financial system. Then Mishkin has a close look at the financial crises in Mexico, South Korea and Argentina and every single one of those is worthwhile reading because Mishkin explains in detail how the conditions for the financial crises came about, how the authorities reacted to it and how well they have been able to put these crises behind them.
If Mishkin ever writes another edition of this book he should perhaps add a chapter for the USA. Even though it is not exactly an emerging economy it is a classic example of what can happen if any part of a financial sector is not comprehensively regulated. In the final three parts of this book the author discusses how financial globalization is best implemented.

What Mishkin tells in his book is not exactly new. Most of it has been known for a while. But as long as there are countries who believe that wealth can be created without any of the necessary requirements listed in Mishkin's book, it should remain compulsory reading for everyone.
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2 of 17 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Get down in the trenches of 21st century globalizationm, February 11, 2007
This review is from: The Next Great Globalization: How Disadvantaged Nations Can Harness Their Financial Systems to Get Rich (Hardcover)
Whilst Mishkin tells it like it is, you just may want to follow on with "EXTREME COMPETITION" by Fingar, and "THE WORLD IS FLAT," by Aronica and Ramdoo to get to the "what do I do tomorrow."

Great book, Mishkin... readers, keep reading!
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Inside This Book (learn more)
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
next great globalization, ing market countries, liability dollarization, cial globalization, financial dollarization, financial liberalization process, severe fiscal imbalances, foreign bank entry, productive investment opportunities, lending boom, prudential supervisors, government safety net, connected lending, effective prudential regulation, moral hazard incentives, efficient financial system, asymmetric information problems, strong property rights, capital account liberalization, international financial architecture, currency mismatch, uninsured depositors, financial deepening, bank privatization, regulatory forbearance
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
United States, South Korea, World Bank, East Asian, International Financial Statistics, Age of Globalization, Federal Reserve, Latin America, Basel Accord, Convertibility Plan, Soviet Union, Tequila Crisis, Bank of Mexico, Hong Kong, Joseph Stiglitz, United Kingdom, Bank of Korea, New York, Bretton Woods, International Monetary Fund, Source Derived, Stage One, Treasury Department, Banco de Mexico, Convertibility Law
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