First Sentence:
In this chapter we discuss several concepts that are useful for the analysis of time series with linear models, while some of them can also fruitfully be applied to nonlinear time series.
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Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs):
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weekly stock index, nonlinear time series models, time series evolves, multivariate nonlinear models, unidentified nuisance parameters, guilder exchange rate, smooth transition autoregressive models, conditional homoscedasticity, exchange rate returns, upper regime, lower regime, remaining nonlinearity, regime probabilities, conditional volatility, random walk forecasts, stock index returns, aberrant observations, large negative returns, additional regime, weekly returns, neural network test, largest positive values, additive outliers, squared returns, threshold variable
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs):
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New York, German Dmark, Hong Kong, Monte Carlo, In-sample Out-of-sample, Negative Size Bias, Positive Size Bias, Sign Bias, Lagrange Multiplier
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