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1 of 2 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars
Out of the Box Thinking, Well-Structured,
By Robert D. Steele (Oakton, VA United States) - See all my reviews (TOP 500 REVIEWER) (HALL OF FAME REVIEWER)
This review is from: Out of the Blue: How to Anticipate Big Future Surprises (Paperback)
Edit of 21 Dec 07 to add link.
I recommend this book, updated from the 1997 version, very highly. It is a well-structured look at all sorts of "jokers" or "wild cards", and I particularly like the methodology for calculating impact across nine factors (rate of change, reach, vulnerability, outcome, timing, opposition, power factor, foresight factor, and quality), all combining to create the tenth "impact index". After a short introduction, each major "earth-shaking" wild card is covered with two pages of clear graphics that are easy to absorb. See the 2007 book, Seeing the Invisible: National Security Intelligence in an Uncertain Age |
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Out of the Blue: How to Anticipate Big Future Surprises by John L. Petersen (Paperback - December 22, 1999)
Used & New from: $0.95
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