This classic introduces the concepts and uses of probability theory. It demonstrates, without the use of higher mathematics, the application of probability to games of chance, physics, reliability of witnesses, astronomy, insurance, democratic government, and many other areas. It also shows how scientists can express complex ideas in simple terms.
A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities
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Book Description
Editorial Reviews
Language Notes
Text: English (translation)
Original Language: French
Original Language: French
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Most Helpful Customer Reviews
15 of 15 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars
Probability theory is nothing but common sense reduced to calculation,
By
This review is from: A Philosophical Essay On Probabilities (Paperback)
This is an awesome book. It is hard to believe Laplace wrote this in 1816; it seems so modern. If you've ever worked on problems like "take two urns, A and B, the first containing four
white and two black balls ..." you'll be interested to know these problems all go back to this book. Laplace said "Probability theory is nothing but common sense reduced to calculation", and he shows it here. I like the discussion of how many judges should be assigned to a case, and what proportion of them should be required to vote guilty for a guilty verdict to be returned. Laplace shows how to minimize expected loss on this problem (although he, somewhat unrealistically, assumes that each judge's opinion is independent of the others).
14 of 31 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars
Interesting book, but not for everyone,
By A Customer
This review is from: A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities (Paperback)
I recommend this book to people with a science background that want a little light reading. This will probably not be very appealing to the layman.
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Inside This Book
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Citations (learn more)
100
books
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- Uncertain Inference by Henry E. Kyburg Jr on 4 pages
- Philosophical Theories of Probability (Philosophical Issues in Science) by Donald Gillies on page 3, page 13, and Back Matter
- Emerson's Life in Science: The Culture of Truth by Laura Dassow Walls on page 188, Back Matter (1), and Back Matter (2)
- If Only We Knew: Increasing The Public Value of Social Science Research by John Willinsky on page 140, page 143, and page 162
- Hume's Abject Failure: The Argument Against Miracles by John Earman in Table of Contents, page 49, and Back Matter
See all 100 books citing this book
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