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The Polar Bear Strategy: Reflections on Risk in Modern Life
 
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The Polar Bear Strategy: Reflections on Risk in Modern Life [Hardcover]

John F. Ross (Author)
4.4 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (14 customer reviews)


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Book Description

April 22, 1999
From cholesterol to cancer, asteroids to AIDS, we face more risks than our grandparents ever dreamed of. But most of us are 200 years behind the curve when it comes to making intelligent risk-based decisions: We refuse to fly, but don’t wear seat belts in our far more dangerous cars. We panic about toxic waste dumps, but collectively smoke a billion cigarettes a year. In this entertaining and enlightening look at risk in the modern age, John Ross argues that the burgeoning science of risk assessment has given us powerful new tools to cope in a complex world, if we could only learn how to speak the language. Ross examines the building blocks of this new language, and helps us identify and relinquish long-held, often pre-set, biological and psychological responses to risk. Through vivid stories and compelling science, Ross empowers us to take control of our lives and to exercise our most basic democratic freedom—the power to make our own decisions—both as individuals and as a society.

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Editorial Reviews

From Publishers Weekly

A disjunction exists between experts and average Americans when it comes to risk: the experts try to rank risks rationally; the rest of us respond more intuitively and emotionally. A senior editor at Smithsonian, Ross has spent some time with the experts, and here he emerges as something of a convert, noting that we smoke but want to ban saccharine, panic about mad cow disease but don't eat right. That's not terribly new, but Ross presents the issues in an accessible, discursive way. He discusses the history of the study of risk (seeing in Pascal's WagerAthe question of the consequences of believing or not believing in GodAthe beginning of modern probability theory) and notes how experts present risk information poorly. Some people, he adds, tolerate chosen high risks (e.g., downhill skiing) better than involuntary ones (e.g., agricultural pesticides). Certain people may have biological and psychological predispositions to risk, he explains in an intriguing chapter. Ultimately, Ross suggests that individuals must learn how to be good risk managers, to take responsibility. While he bemoans that the tort system is overwhelmed with frivolous lawsuits, he doesn't give enough attention to the issue of better regulation of those activities that present people with involuntary risk. Ross could have delved deeper, but he offers an accessible introduction to the science of risk and the many ways risk affects our lives.
Copyright 1999 Reed Business Information, Inc.

About the Author

John F. Ross is a senior editor and writer for Smithsonian magazine.

Product Details

  • Hardcover: 208 pages
  • Publisher: Basic Books; First Edition edition (April 22, 1999)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0738201170
  • ISBN-13: 978-0738201177
  • Product Dimensions: 9.5 x 6.4 x 0.9 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 12 ounces
  • Average Customer Review: 4.4 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (14 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #2,001,812 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

More About the Author

John F. Ross is the Executive Editor of American Heritage and Invention & Technology magazines and was a Senior Editor of Smithsonian magazine before that. On assignment, he has chased scorpions in Baja, dived 3,000 feet underwater in the Galapagos, dogsledded with the Polar Inuit in Greenland,
lived with the Khanty reindeer herders in Siberia, and launched the most northern canoe trip in the Canadian Arctic. He has published more than 200 articles and spoken at the Explorers Club of New York, the Smithsonian Institution, NASA's Ames Research Center, and BMW's Herbert Quandt
Foundation.

While doing research for WAR ON THE RUN, Ross walked and kayaked many parts of Roger's tracks, giving him valuable on-the-ground experience with which to bring Roger's experiences vividly to life. He is the author of The Polar Bear Strategy: Reflections on Risk in Modern Life (Perseus Books) and lives in Bethesda, Maryland.

 

Customer Reviews

14 Reviews
5 star:
 (9)
4 star:
 (3)
3 star:    (0)
2 star:
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1 star:    (0)
 
 
 
 
 
Average Customer Review
4.4 out of 5 stars (14 customer reviews)
 
 
 
 
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Most Helpful Customer Reviews

13 of 15 people found the following review helpful:
2.0 out of 5 stars Was a fine magazine article; too thin as a book, August 1, 1999
By A Customer
This review is from: The Polar Bear Strategy: Reflections on Risk in Modern Life (Hardcover)
This is a superficial treatment of a complex and fascinating subject. There are better popularizations of the topic, with more actual information and a deeper perspective. Check out the Larry Laudan books for facts on risks, and a number of others for the psychology of decision-making in the face of risk. H.W. Lewis's Why Flip a Coin, the Art and Science of Good Decision-Making, is every bit as accessible as this book but has no empty mental calories.

Charles Perrow on the complex causes of accidents is terrific, and Edward Tenner (Why Things Bite Back) on the risks inherent in technology are both good.

The most valuable part of this book for me was the comprehensive bibliography.

Sorry to be a curmudgeon, but this book was a disapointment in an area of great(but not professional) interest to me.

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10 of 11 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars Lucid Discussion of a Complex, Misunderstood Topic, April 24, 2000
By A Customer
This review is from: The Polar Bear Strategy: Reflections on Risk in Modern Life (Hardcover)
As a layperson in the subject of risk management, I found the explanation of risk and the very specific examples extremely helpful. I teach a college course in technology and ethics, part of which is a section on safety and risk, and I found myself referring frequently to the examples in the book. Appreciating just how different the perception of risk and the actual risk can be I think is one of the most valuable lessons the book provides. And aside from the classroom, I have also found the material useful in understanding risk in my own life. I think this book would be a good introduction to risk management for any reader, though I can appreciate how someone better educated about the subject might find it a bit lacking.
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7 of 7 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars A worthwhile book which opens your eyes to risk, September 18, 1999
By A Customer
This review is from: The Polar Bear Strategy: Reflections on Risk in Modern Life (Hardcover)
You've got to read this book! Ross has taken a scary subject and used vivid graphic examples, as well as humor, to bring it into the reader's everyday life. Chapter 8 on toxins is especially enlightening. And I am changing my mouthwash -it contains alcohol! I've recommended this book to my monthly book discussion group.
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