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Predict Market Swings With Technical Analysis [Hardcover]

Michael McDonald (Author)
3.8 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (5 customer reviews)

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Book Description

0471205966 978-0471205968 March 15, 2002 1st
A fresh perspective on predicting the market
The experience of Wall Street investment manager and analyst Michael McDonald offers a new perspective on how to navigate the turbulent ups and downs of the markets. His innovative approach to the stock market teaches investors how to use new investment strategies intended to replace the "buy and hold forever" strategies of yesterday. McDonald discusses what a "trading range" market is-a roller-coaster ride in which the market will neither gain nor lose much ground-and guides readers through this market with his proven investment strategies. This book provides an understandable way to make sense of the unpredictable stock market, taking into account more complex theories, including chaos and contrarian approaches. Along with his expert advice, McDonald presents four investing paradoxes that will help investors make smarter decisions now and predict where the market is heading, using his proven theories.

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Editorial Reviews

From the Inside Flap

Predict Market Swings With Technical Analysis

The efficient market theory concludes that stock prices are essentially random and unpredictable. So how do thousands of professionals earn a living each year on Wall Street by predicting stock prices? The answer is quite simple-by using techniques that allow for a stock market that can at times become predictable.

Let Wall Street financial consultant and market analyst Michael McDonald show you how to navigate the turbulent ups and downs of the market in Predict Market Swings with Technical Analysis. This fresh approach to trading using technical analysis will teach you how to trade the swings of the market by catching the upswings and selling just before major downswings.

With the help of a few ideas from chaos theory, McDonald introduces you to a new model that is more accurate than the efficient market model, is closer to the ideas most traders have of the market, and allows for a market that is at times predictable. You'll learn how to use this model to align and integrate various pieces of stock market information that were previously confusing or at odds and then start to trade for maximum profits. You'll also learn about the specific parts of this model, including "fair value"-represented as D/I (dividends over interest rates)-which represents important economic factors.

McDonald continues his in-depth analysis by exploring the area of technical analysis and revealing how it can help locate markets that are unstable and ready to experience a possible feedback loop movement. You'll learn how to find the beginning and end of major swings-using decision-making tools such as contrary opinion indicators-that will form the trading range, as well as how to navigate the trading range market once it appears.

Besides explaining the model he uses to understand stock market movements, McDonald also reveals how new discoveries in chaos theory help explain the fractal nature of stock price charts and then moves on to provide a firmer theoretical foundation for the controversial Elliot Wave theory.

McDonald rounds out this comprehensive trading guide by offering a broad outline of the possible pattern the market will make during its projected sideways run and then presenting his studies on strategies for sideways markets in anticipation of this period.

Through expert advice, real-world examples, and proven trading techniques, Predict Market Swings with Technical Analysis will help you make profitable trading decisions today and accurate predictions of market movements tomorrow.

From the Back Cover

Predict Market Swings with Technical Analysis

How do professionals on Wall Street earn a living each year by predicting stock prices when efficient market theory claims that stock prices are essentially random and unpredictable? The answer is simple-by using techniques that allow for a stock market that can at times become predictable.

In Predict Market Swings with Technical Analysis, Wall Street financial consultant and market analyst Michael McDonald shows you how to navigate the turbulent ups and downs of the market and come out with significant profits. This comprehensive trading guide will teach you how to trade the swings of the market by gaining a clear and accurate picture of it.

Predict Market Swings with Technical Analysis contains:
* A trading model that is more accurate than the efficient market model and is closer to the ideas most traders have of the market
* Proven indicators-such as contrary opinion-that will allow you to find the beginning and end of major swings
* New discoveries in chaos theory that help explain the fractal nature of stock price charts
* Four investing paradoxes that will help you make smarter investment decisions
* A broad outline of the possible pattern the market will make during its projected sideways run and a presentation of McDonald's studies on strategies for sideways markets in anticipation of this period

With an innovative approach to trading the stock market, Predict Market Swings with Technical Analysis gives you the knowledge, insight, and confidence to predict market swings and trade for maximum profits.

Product Details

  • Hardcover: 288 pages
  • Publisher: Wiley; 1st edition (March 15, 2002)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0471205966
  • ISBN-13: 978-0471205968
  • Product Dimensions: 6.2 x 0.8 x 9.4 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 3.8 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (5 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #2,167,403 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Average Customer Review
3.8 out of 5 stars (5 customer reviews)
 
 
 
 
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4 of 5 people found the following review helpful:
1.0 out of 5 stars Much more a pack of writings to entertain or promote himself than to educate the readers, July 2, 2006
This review is from: Predict Market Swings With Technical Analysis (Hardcover)
This is one of the worst trading/investment book I had read for long. The book title is completely misleading. I guess that the author, in 2002, had predicted a range trading market in coming years and so he wrote a book to backup and document his hypothesis to sell to his brokerage customers. I dont mind whether he made it right or wrong. However, I am very disappointed of how messy and disorganised his book is, that I really cant understand how he reached his conclusions with very brief coverage on Chaos Theory, Elliot Waves, Contrarian Indicators.....In short, I strongly recommend you to give it a pass not because of the outdated investment advice but the absence of applicable learnings.
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5 of 7 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars A must read for investors, May 11, 2002
By 
Roy Wanda (Janesville, Wisconsin) - See all my reviews
This review is from: Predict Market Swings With Technical Analysis (Hardcover)
This book by Michael McDonald is an excellent one for obtaining an insight into the workings of the sometimes confusing stock market. His method of presentation makes it understandable, especially for the average non professional investor like myself.

How many people who invest in bonds really know how they are priced, or what fair value of stocks is, or how lump sum pensions are calculated? This information alone, based on stacking the money theory, is worth the price of the book.

His analysis of market timing versus buy and hold is a must read, plus learning about the Elliot wave theory and how to use it, along with contrary opinion, and if the market is in a trading range, gives you valuable tools to use in guiding your investment decisions.

Anyone new to the market, as well as serious investors who have been in the market for sometime, should have this book in their library to take advantage of McDonald's expertise and experience.

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4 of 6 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars Recommended reading, April 12, 2002
By 
Carla Thompson (Rolling Hills Estates, CA United States) - See all my reviews
This review is from: Predict Market Swings With Technical Analysis (Hardcover)
Very seldom do you find a technical book that is interesting to read. I found this book to be not only understandable to people of the profession but also to people who know very little about investing and the way the market works. The author achieved this through an ease of writing with explanations understandable to everyone and actually fun to read. I highly recommend this to anyone interested in learning more about market.
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Inside This Book (learn more)
First Sentence:
At a series of client seminars in February 2000, I made the following statement. Read the first page
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
guru index, trading range market, trading range period, final fifth wave, investing paradoxes, triangular correction, baby boomer wave, market junctures, irregular correction, horizontal correction, efficient market model, topping process, stock market model, real stock market, bearish sentiment, three feedback loops, horizontal triangle, sentiment readings, market technicians, wave count, long bull market, combination write, time intention, lump sum pension, bullish sentiment
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
Wall Street, Dow Jones, Investor's Intelligence, Charles Dow, Marty Zweig, John Bollinger, Los Angeles, New York Stock Exchange, Benoit Mandelbrot, Great Depression, Market Behavior
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