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5.0 out of 5 stars Even the smartest didn't always get it right
A fascinating account of the power of the imagination to not only predict but also create the future. An elegant writer and judicious chooser of facts, Malone takes a level-headed approach to the people he writes about, deflating and praising as appropriate. PREDICTING THE FUTURE provides a useful context for evaluating all the technological changes coming at us today
Published on September 22, 1997

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6 of 6 people found the following review helpful:
1.0 out of 5 stars a pitifully researched book
This is a pitifully researched book. Lazy. It sells disinformation.

Problem: Malone devotes a "chapter" (or whatever they were) to the supposed shortsighted quote attributed to Charles Duell, the Commissioner of the U.S. Office of Patents in 1899. We've all heard it: "Everything that can be invented, has been invented." Unfortunately, this is a...

Published on July 22, 1999 by Norman


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6 of 6 people found the following review helpful:
1.0 out of 5 stars a pitifully researched book, July 22, 1999
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This review is from: Predicting the Future: From Verne to Bill Gates (Hardcover)
This is a pitifully researched book. Lazy. It sells disinformation.

Problem: Malone devotes a "chapter" (or whatever they were) to the supposed shortsighted quote attributed to Charles Duell, the Commissioner of the U.S. Office of Patents in 1899. We've all heard it: "Everything that can be invented, has been invented." Unfortunately, this is a completely bogus myth (though popular), and Duell never said anything of the sort, as even the slightest research into his life would have quickly revealed. Myth passed as truth. Lazy. Disinformation.

Problem: Malone attributes the conception of the fax machine to Jules Verne in his novel Paris in the 2oth century. He offers as evidence a passage from Verne's book: "photographic telegraphy, invented in the last century by ... Giovanni Caselli of Florence, permitted transmission of the facsimile form of any writing or illustration...". Amazingly, Malone mistook Professor Caselli for a Verne-invented fictional character. In fact, a real Caselli DID invent a working fax, a model which sent pictures from Lyon to Paris from 1865-70, starting before the publication of Verne's book. Patents for faxes go back to 1843. Lazy. Disinformation.

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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful:
2.0 out of 5 stars A bathroom book, June 22, 1999
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This review is from: Predicting the Future: From Verne to Bill Gates (Hardcover)
This is a book of interesting little stories about how smart people have tried to predict the future but failed. However, the lack of organization means that you can't really use it for a reference, and sooner or later you tire of reading the stories and try to think about the issue a little more systematically.
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5.0 out of 5 stars Even the smartest didn't always get it right, September 22, 1997
By A Customer
This review is from: Predicting the Future: From Verne to Bill Gates (Hardcover)
A fascinating account of the power of the imagination to not only predict but also create the future. An elegant writer and judicious chooser of facts, Malone takes a level-headed approach to the people he writes about, deflating and praising as appropriate. PREDICTING THE FUTURE provides a useful context for evaluating all the technological changes coming at us today
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Predicting the Future: From Verne to Bill Gates
Predicting the Future: From Verne to Bill Gates by John Williams Malone (Hardcover - September 2, 1997)
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