Industrial-Sized Deals TextBTS15 Shop Women's Handbags Learn more nav_sap_SWP_6M_fly_beacon $5 Albums $5 Off Fire TV Stick Subscribe & Save Shop Popular Services pivdl pivdl pivdl  Amazon Echo Starting at $99 Kindle Voyage Nintendo Digital Games Shop Now Baby Sale
Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House and over one million other books are available for Amazon Kindle. Learn more
Qty:1
  • List Price: $17.95
  • Save: $1.73 (10%)
FREE Shipping on orders over $35.
Only 4 left in stock (more on the way).
Ships from and sold by Amazon.com.
Gift-wrap available.
Predicting the Next Presi... has been added to your Cart
+ $3.99 shipping
Used: Good | Details
Sold by facetextbooks
Condition: Used: Good
Comment: Choose Expedited shipping for fastest delivery! Paperback 1st Edition text. CLEAN INSIDE!!!. Ships fast. Ships fast. Expedited shipping 2-4 business days; Standard shipping 7-14 business days. Ships from USA!
Have one to sell? Sell on Amazon
Flip to back Flip to front
Listen Playing... Paused   You're listening to a sample of the Audible audio edition.
Learn more
See this image

Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House, 2012 Edition Paperback – January 16, 2012

2 customer reviews

See all 2 formats and editions Hide other formats and editions
Amazon Price New from Used from
Kindle
"Please retry"
Paperback
"Please retry"
$16.22
$8.00 $2.20

Best Books of the Year So Far
Best Books of the Year So Far
Looking for something great to read? Browse our editors' picks for 2015's Best Books of the Year So Far in fiction, nonfiction, mysteries, children's books, and much more.
$16.22 FREE Shipping on orders over $35. Only 4 left in stock (more on the way). Ships from and sold by Amazon.com. Gift-wrap available.

Frequently Bought Together

Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House, 2012 Edition + Washington, D.C: A Novel (Narratives of Empire).
Price for both: $31.14

Buy the selected items together

Editorial Reviews

Review

Lichtman's book has gone through many editions because his 12 keys to predicting the next president all seem plausible influences on presidential election outcomes. To his credit, Lichtman (history, American Univ.) has called the outcome of every presidential election from 1984 to 2008. Yet some of his model's variables permit a bit of fudging. Two involve the relative "charisma" of the presidential candidates. Similar concerns arise regarding his variables "sustained social unrest," "scandal," and foreign/military "success" and "failure." Reliable measures of any of these "keys" are fraught with peril. This is the case regarding his 2012 prediction of an Obama victory. For example, Lichtman says that neither the Tea Party nor Occupy Wall Street movements are a sign of sustained social unrest, but that remains a judgment call. Perhaps the best way to understand Lichtman's prior success is that he correctly defined some fuzzy factors for several elections. But given the ambiguity of several "keys," future predictions have considerable capacity for error. The book does not discover the Rosetta Stone of election forecasts, but instead reveals one scholar's able series of educated guesses. Summing Up: Recommended. (CHOICE)

About the Author

Allan J. Lichtman teaches history at American University in Washington, D.C. He is a regular political analyst for CNN Headline News and also provides political commentary for every other network and cable channel. He is the author of White Protestant Nation: The Rise of the American Conservative Movement.

NO_CONTENT_IN_FEATURE

Best Books of the Month
Best Books of the Month
Want to know our Editors' picks for the best books of the month? Browse Best Books of the Month, featuring our favorite new books in more than a dozen categories.

Product Details

  • Paperback: 226 pages
  • Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers; 1 edition (January 16, 2012)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 144221211X
  • ISBN-13: 978-1442212114
  • Product Dimensions: 6.2 x 0.7 x 9.1 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 12.8 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (2 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #555,575 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Customer Reviews

5 star
100%
4 star
0%
3 star
0%
2 star
0%
1 star
0%
See both customer reviews
Share your thoughts with other customers

Most Helpful Customer Reviews

3 of 4 people found the following review helpful By Pseudonym on September 7, 2012
Format: Paperback
The latest edition of this eye-opener is based on a simple idea: again and again, eight factors have been proven to predict the American presidential race. To prove his point, Allan Lichtman reviews every presidential election since 1860, and for the past forty years, his predictions have been 100% accurate. This in itself is remarkable, but Lichtman ups the ante by providing a detailed analysis of each term, and the specific events that defined the candidates' success and failure.

Some may find the basic thesis striking, if only because election coverage has always concentrated on the "horserace" paradigm for analyzing presidential futures. But the "criterion" based paradigm turns out to be more accurate in the long run. It doesn't matter if you're a Democrat, Republican, Independent, or Green. Whether you want to learn about the American electoral process or bet on the results, the information here is infectiously interesting.
1 Comment Was this review helpful to you? Yes No Sending feedback...
Thank you for your feedback. If this review is inappropriate, please let us know.
Sorry, we failed to record your vote. Please try again
Format: Paperback Verified Purchase
Very interesting concept and definately worth the read. You may have to review this book a few times to get the criteria down for future predicting but overall I'd rate this book a 5 star
Comment Was this review helpful to you? Yes No Sending feedback...
Thank you for your feedback. If this review is inappropriate, please let us know.
Sorry, we failed to record your vote. Please try again

Set up an Amazon Giveaway

Amazon Giveaway allows you to run promotional giveaways in order to create buzz, reward your audience, and attract new followers and customers. Learn more
Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House, 2012 Edition
This item: Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House, 2012 Edition
Price: $16.22
Ships from and sold by Amazon.com
Want to discover more products? Check out this page to see more: democracy