Amazon.com Review
The near future--viewed, in the instance of this 2000 book, as the rest of the 21st century--may turn out to be awful. Prognosticators well known and obscure have envisioned dark times of war, famine, plague, and want; of humans ruled by machines, in servitude to the global economy; of disappearing ecosystems and countless lost species.
Most of the contributors to Predictions, though not sporting rose-colored spectacles, take an altogether brighter view of the coming century. Mostly scientists, scholars, and innovators, they see a time of abundance and technological splendor. Arthur C. Clarke, for instance, foresees the rise of an artificial intelligence that so closely approximates human thought that it will constitute the planet's second "intelligent species ... evolving far more rapidly than biology would ever permit." Another contributor, the philosopher Daniel Dennett, envisions an ever-improving system of education and communications, one that will make it "harder and harder for leaders to shield their people from outside information." Frances Fukuyama, a social theorist, holds that "the further integration of global markets will further enforce the norms and institutions of the liberal democratic West." A few contributors raise alarms about the growth of monoculture, the destruction of the environment, and the consequences of too-free dabbling with the genetic code, but in the main this lively book--which mixes entertaining profiles of the book's 30 contributors with short essays by them--suggests that there are few technological or social problems that well-intentioned humans cannot solve. --Gregory McNamee
From Publishers Weekly
Expanded from a set of profiles that first appeared in the (London) Times Higher Education Supplement, this dizzying, upbeat look into the new century brings together 30 thinkers, writers, scientists and academics offering bold predictions and, in some cases, prescriptions. Arthur C. Clarke predicts that artificial intelligence will reach human levels by 2020 and that spaceships will travel close to the speed of light by century's end. Steven Pinker foresees a dissolving of the boundaries between the arts, humanities and hard sciences, thanks to gene mapping and computer modeling of the mind's workings. Francis Fukuyama opines that the growing participation of women in politics will reduce wars. On the prescriptive side, John Kenneth Galbraith urges ample economic aid from the rich nations to the poor; Peter Singer envisages an animal-friendly future where people, at least in developed countries, do not use animals for food; and Andrea Dworkin sets forth a galvanizing one-page manifesto of women's rights, calling for the primacy of women in all areas of culture. Not all the prognosticators are optimists: for instance, Daniel Dennett believes the worst features of capitalism, popular culture and high-tech wizardry will wreak havoc on an unprepared but receptive world. Too many contributors are reluctant or vague (Umberto Eco, Stephen Jay Gould, Noam Chomsky), and too many make predictions based on their own agendas. Consequently, this cacophony of voices works much better as a lively survey of the crosscurrents of contemporary thought than as a guide to the next century. (Mar.)
Copyright 2000 Reed Business Information, Inc.