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Pro Football Prospectus 2005: Statistics, Analysis, and Insight for the Information Age Paperback – July 11, 2005


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Product Details

  • Series: Pro Football Prospectus
  • Paperback: 496 pages
  • Publisher: Workman Publishing Company (July 11, 2005)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0761140190
  • ISBN-13: 978-0761140191
  • Product Dimensions: 10.7 x 8.5 x 1.2 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 2.2 pounds
  • Average Customer Review: 4.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (22 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #2,601,623 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Editorial Reviews

About the Author

Members of the Football Outsiders include: Russell Levine, a football writer who lives in nothern New Jersey; Chicago-based Michael David Smith, who writes for The New Republic Online and the New York Sun; and Michael Tanier, a sports-writer who lives in southern New Jersey.


Aaron Schatz founded FootballOutsiders.com. He is a regular contributor to Foxsports.com and covers NFL for the New York Sun. He also writes for The New York Times, the Boston Globe, and The New Republic Online. He lives in Framingham, Massachusetts. Other members of the Football Outsiders include: Russell Levine, a football writer who lives in northern New Jersey; Chicago-based Michael David Smith who writes for The New Republic Online and the New York Sun; Michael Tanier, a sportswriter who lives in southern New Jersey; and Will Carroll, an award-winning columnist for Baseball Prospectus.

More About the Author

Discover books, learn about writers, read author blogs, and more.

Customer Reviews

I must have for football and fantasy fans everywhere.
Paul A. Lawson
Pro Football Prospectus is an innovative and unique look at pro football, its players, and how to evaluate talent.
William Moore
How can a book like this be published with so many spelling errors?
Reverand Mark

Most Helpful Customer Reviews

9 of 9 people found the following review helpful By Rich Uncle on July 27, 2005
Format: Paperback
Around this time of year, you see so many magazine stands saturated with fantasy guides showing how to draft. Well, if you want that, with actual reasoning and rationale, check this out. One, it's a great guide if you're a football fan to find out how your team or player will do. But from a f-fball perspective, it gives a great guide to players, sleepers AND busts, and projections for the coming year. If you contact their site and make a small donation to their fund, you can even get a handy spreadsheet for easy handling on draft day.

A must-read, as I've reaped the rewards from the baseball prospectus.
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9 of 10 people found the following review helpful By K. D. Jennings on July 25, 2005
Format: Paperback
I echo the sentiments of the previous writer. Since the book came in the mail three days ago, I have found it very difficult to put down. In the search for more NFL information, I usually try and catch every NFL show on TV, and I scour the internet. I then usually hear and read such revealing information like "Terrell Owens is on of the best receivers in the game". Really??? Thanks for the inisight!!

Now the search is over. Their statistical analysis is revolutonary. Now you can compare players in specific numerical categories. You can compare offensive lines in several statistical categories. You can also compare the results of defenses guarding the opposing team's #2 WR!! The examples I could use are endless.

They are also thorough. If you play fantasy football, they have stats on almost EVERY skill player that touched the field last year, as well as projections on all of those players this year. For those people that play fantasy football, you know that there are usually a handful of players every year that make a unexpected, significant fantasy impact. These types of players usually get no print in fantasy magazines. Now you have an expansive reference from which you can try and discover the next great unknown. I haven't seen a fantasy football magazine that goes into this much depth.

Words don't do this book justice; You truly have to get the book yourself to see what we're talking about. This book was written for people that can't get enough statistical information, and those that want analysis of that information. If you have an intellectual background, this book will especially appeal to you. The book will also be an excellent reference guide during games. It would be excellent for broadcasters to use as a reference during games. Five minutes after you purchase the book, you will realize that all the other football magazines you have bought in the past are pretty much useless.
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9 of 10 people found the following review helpful By Silence Dogood on July 22, 2005
Format: Paperback
A few days ago, this book came in the mail and has since completely changed the way that I look at football. Inside this 440-paged tome includes new statistics: the DPAR, or Defense-Adjusted Points Above Replacement, which rates skill players on how much better they are overall compared to a replacement-level player, keeping in mind the defenses the player faces; its counterpart PAR, which is not defense-adjusted; the DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average, which compares any player or team to the average of the specific type; and its counterpart, VOA.

Also included are the KUBIAK projections, which predict and broadcast the statistics of the star quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, kickers and tight ends. This system comes up with some very interesting ideas, such as a major comeback for Matt Hasselbeck, Kevin Jones as the league's leading rusher, a severe decline for Curtis Martin and Antonio gates overtaking Tony Gonzalez as the best fantasy football tight end.

Finally, various research was included in Pro Football, including thoughts on the Maroon Zone of Gregg Easterbrook fame, the effect of schedule on statistics, how offensive and defensive coordinators actually affect a team, and the 100 best quarterback seasons of all time. Without a question, the book that predicted San Diego's "out of nowhere" offensive surge last year will once again be the greatest resource to any fantasy football player or even for someone who really wants to know how the game truly works.
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8 of 10 people found the following review helpful By Adam Strasberg on August 1, 2005
Format: Paperback
I've read all the previous Football Prospectus (Football Forecast, I believe they were called), and I had always been disappointed by the level of analysis. This year, I wasn't going to buy it, but the addition of Will Carrol, made me reconsider, and I'm glad I did.

This year they finally took the information and stats and put them to use in the team and player comments. In years past, I always felt like the stats were an after thought, and the book felt more like a glorified Fantasy Football magazine. This year, I finally feel like I'm reading something new and interesting, a book not afraid to challenge what we know about football (or support it as the stats bear out).

The book is organized by team sections and then sections in the back with comments on skill players broken out by position. The team sections have an essay about the team and a research piece that is sometimes relevant to the team section sometimes not, but so far they have all been interesting.

If you're looking for help in your Fantasy Football league, this book may be more than you need (which is a compliment in my mind).

Not that it can't help, but for the first time, it feels like the authors are aspiring to reach more than Fantasy Football fans, but real football fans who want to understand their sport better. So Fantasy Fans might be better served with a Magazine or the like.

While the authors don't quite achieve the status of Bill James to Baseball or John Hollinger to Basketball (I highly recommend his Basketball Prospectus), this is good effort towards changing the way you understand football, and next year I will buy it without hesitation.
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