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Pro Football Prospectus 2007: The Essential Guide to the 2007 Pro Football Season
 
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Pro Football Prospectus 2007: The Essential Guide to the 2007 Pro Football Season (Paperback)

by Aaron Schatz (Editor)
4.5 out of 5 stars See all reviews (14 customer reviews)

List Price: $19.95
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Customers buy this book with Pro Football Prospectus 2008: The Essential Guide to the 2008 Pro Football Season by Aaron Schatz

Pro Football Prospectus 2007: The Essential Guide to the 2007 Pro Football Season + Pro Football Prospectus 2008: The Essential Guide to the 2008 Pro Football Season

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Editorial Reviews

Review
Essential reading for fans who want more than clichés. Pro Football Prospectus tells you not just who will win, but why. -- Ron Jaworski, former Philadelphia Eagles quarterback and current ESPN commentator

Indispensable to fantasy football players and fans who simply want to dig into the real reasons teams play well. -- The Washington Times

The best independently produced annual volume about football. -- Greg Easterbrook, ESPN.com

Review
The best independently produced annual volume about football. (Greg Easterbrook, ESPN.com)

Essential reading for fans who want more than clichés. Pro Football Prospectus tells you not just who will win, but why. (Ron Jaworski, former Philadelphia Eagles quarterback and current ESPN commentator)

Indispensable to fantasy football players and fans who simply want to dig into the real reasons teams play well. (The Washington Times)

See all Editorial Reviews

Product Details

  • Paperback: 528 pages
  • Publisher: Plume (July 23, 2007)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0452288479
  • ISBN-13: 978-0452288478
  • Product Dimensions: 10.8 x 8.4 x 1.6 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 2.2 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 4.5 out of 5 stars See all reviews (14 customer reviews)
  • Amazon.com Sales Rank: #382,111 in Books (See Bestsellers in Books)

What Do Customers Ultimately Buy After Viewing This Item?

Pro Football Prospectus 2007: The Essential Guide to the 2007 Pro Football Season
63% buy the item featured on this page:
Pro Football Prospectus 2007: The Essential Guide to the 2007 Pro Football Season 4.5 out of 5 stars (14)
$12.93
Pro Football Prospectus 2008: The Essential Guide to the 2008 Pro Football Season
24% buy
Pro Football Prospectus 2008: The Essential Guide to the 2008 Pro Football Season 4.9 out of 5 stars (14)
$7.57
2008 NFL Record & Fact Book (Official National Football League Record and Fact Book)
13% buy
2008 NFL Record & Fact Book (Official National Football League Record and Fact Book) 4.4 out of 5 stars (9)
$12.21

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Customer Reviews

14 Reviews
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Average Customer Review
4.5 out of 5 stars (14 customer reviews)
 
 
 
 
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Most Helpful Customer Reviews

 
10 of 10 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars An excellent reference for fooball, fantasy or otherwise, July 28, 2007
If you're new to the Pro Football Prospectus, some of the statistics they use to evaluate players won't be familiar to you, and can take a little time to get used to. Fortunately, the authors are a rare breed: stat guys who can also write well. Each concept is clearly explained.

This is the third year I've used the PFP to form the basis of my fantasy rankings. Two years ago I made the finals of my 14 team league, and last year I won it all. Their projections aren't perfect, (whose are?) but they have a high batting average, especially in evaluating potential "busts" who will play below their previous level. And to their credit, when they get a prediction wrong, they call attention to it (see their entry on Marcus Colston).

Best of all, it's just a good read. For a book with so much data and statistics, there's a surprising amount of humor. Remember McGahee's comments about Buffalo women being ugly? They did a statistical comparison about the number of Miss America contestants from Buffalo versus Baltimore, McGahee's new home.

Finally, these guys are passionate about the game. Read the entries on Chris Simms and Peyton Manning. They're not just stat geeks - they're true fans. If you want to improve your fantasy team, or just understand football in a way that most TV analysts never will, buy this book.
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5 of 5 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars Football Essentials, July 31, 2007
By Don (CA, USA) - See all my reviews
If you follow the writers' website, Football Outsiders, then you know what this book is all about. If you don't, check the website then buy the book. Whether you are a fantasy player, Monday morning quarterback, or die-hard Sunday fan, this book will shock, educate, and (in case of championship hopes) disappoint.

This is probably one of the rare finds of hard statistical analysis combined with great writing. This book is an easy read, which is surprising because it's stuffed with so much information. Some of the statistical analysis went over my head the first time and had to recall some of my math from school, but the writers do a great job of breaking down their methods and stats in an easy to understand format. If you want to dig deeper into what they do and how they do it, check their website. If you want the Cliff Notes version, check their book.

Unlike baseball, football is an inherently difficult sport to evaluate objectively. With 22 players on the field all running at the same time, it's hard to figure out what makes a play work. Worse, it's hard to find out why it didn't work. I believe they found a way to strip away most of the info-TAINMENT, hype, and color commentary by sportscasters. They don't just make predictions, they back it up with facts. They present their findings on a team-by-team basis, a player/position basis, and add articles about past, present, and future football trends and events that effect your favorite team.

They even stumbled upon a new (relatively new, I think they published their findings in 2006) method to evaluate college quarterbacks taken in the 1st and 2nd round of the draft. So good, a sportwriter from a certain big-name network plaguarized sections of their work.

Each section is short, well-written, and packed with information. Despite how much information they include, this book doesn't take long to read. It took me two days to get through the book, but you could read it in one. However, this won't get old. You will keep checking back to the sections for your fantasy football advice or friendly office pool betting.

Think the Bears will repeat? Check again. Think the Colts will repeat? Maybe, but not the way you'd think. Check their section. Think the Jaguars will stay in mediocrity? Check again. Think the Patriots will repeat? Well, you don't need the book to tell you that one. But it will fill in all the details from the Cardinals to the Vikings. Definitely, a must have.
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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Outstanding..., July 31, 2007
By Bradley Burnett (Noblesville, IN USA) - See all my reviews
(REAL NAME)   
I basically went through this entire book in one day, but it is formatted in a way that you can skip around alot and keep coming back and learning a little something new each day. I was very pleased to see that they had a detailed review for every NFL team and projections for their performance this year, unlike the Baseball Prospectus book I bought. There are some real shockers as far as expected record and stats for this year for both individual players and teams. The authors present a great case as to why this will happen and historical precedent and statistical evidence to support their conclusions. I find this highly credible, because each season in the NFL only about half the teams make the playoffs the following year. Pro Football Prospectus is going to be my number one resource for fantasy drafts and for handicapping insights to open the new season. Must read for any football fan.
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Most Recent Customer Reviews

4.0 out of 5 stars Great insights into the game of football
If you thought that football was all brawn and no brains, think again. This book really does a great job of analyzing the game of football and showing that it is more than just... Read more
Published 20 months ago by John J. Franco

5.0 out of 5 stars Excellent teaching/learning guide
An in depth look at different ways of measuring individual and team
performances, giving readers new insights behind America's greatest game. Read more
Published 21 months ago by brian cristman

4.0 out of 5 stars Fantasy handbook
Presents a lot of theories that make it a great guide for NFL fantasy. As a first-time reader of the prospectus, I found it provided a different way to look at selecting players... Read more
Published 21 months ago by Dan

5.0 out of 5 stars A must have for all hardcore football fans
When you first get this book, it can look a little overwhelming. It is very large, and you may think that much written on football can be a bit much. Read more
Published 21 months ago by Micki Free is Not a Girl

4.0 out of 5 stars A Wealth of Info for the Start of the Season
I had been to their website at football outsiders before but this is the first purchase I had ever made with them. Read more
Published 21 months ago by Marshal Dillon

5.0 out of 5 stars Great for Football lovers
I purchased this for my 13 year old grandson. He was blown away by it. He and I talk sports all the time and therefore I have to be on my toes every minute. Read more
Published 22 months ago by PAB

4.0 out of 5 stars Great Analysis
Pro Football Prospectus is essential reading for anyone seriously wanting to be prepared for watching the season with a good knowledge of the teams. Read more
Published 22 months ago by John F. Wright

5.0 out of 5 stars How to win your Fantasy Football League.
This is a great book for many reasons. 1., the rest of your league will all be using the same magazines and you will have unique information. 2. Read more
Published 22 months ago by Andrew J. Hagen

5.0 out of 5 stars Highly recommended for most NFL fans
Like its sister publication `Baseball Prospectus', this book is stuffed with information. `Standard football statistics are heavily context dependent - the down, distance, the... Read more
Published 22 months ago by K. W. Schreiter

4.0 out of 5 stars Addicted to NFL?
If you love stats, then this is the book for you. They take all stats from years past and use to project the upcoming season. Read more
Published 23 months ago by Benjamin Asztalos

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