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Probability Concepts in Engineering: Emphasis on Applications to Civil and Environmental Engineering (v. 1)
 
 
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Probability Concepts in Engineering: Emphasis on Applications to Civil and Environmental Engineering (v. 1) [Hardcover]

Alfredo H-S. Ang (Author), Wilson H. Tang (Author)
4.5 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (11 customer reviews)

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Book Description

047172064X 978-0471720645 March 3, 2006 2
Apply the principles of probability and statistics to realistic engineering problems


The easiest and most effective way to learn the principles of probabilistic modeling and statistical inference is to apply those principles to a variety of applications. That's why Ang and Tang's Second Edition of Probability Concepts in Engineering (previously titled Probability Concepts in Engineering Planning and Design) explains concepts and methods using a wide range of problems related to engineering and the physical sciences, particularly civil and environmental engineering.


Now extensively revised with new illustrative problems and new and expanded topics, this Second Edition will help you develop a thorough understanding of probability and statistics and the ability to formulate and solve real-world problems in engineering. The authors present each basic principle using different examples, and give you the opportunity to enhance your understanding with practice problems. The text is ideally suited for students, as well as those wishing to learn and apply the principles and tools of statistics and probability through self-study.

Key Features in this 2nd Edition:
* A new chapter (Chapter 5) covers Computer-Based Numerical and Simulation Methods in Probability, to extend and expand the analytical methods to more complex engineering problems.
* New and expanded coverage includes distribution of extreme values (Chapter 3), the Anderson-Darling method for goodness-of-fit test (Chapter 6), hypothesis testing (Chapter 6), the determination of confidence intervals in linear regression (Chapter 8), and Bayesian regression and correlation analyses (Chapter 9).
* Many new exercise problems in each chapter help you develop a working knowledge of concepts and methods.
* Provides a wide variety of examples, including many new to this edition, to help you learn and understand specific concepts.
* Illustrates the formulation and solution of engineering-type probabilistic problems through computer-based methods, including developing computer codes using commercial software such as MATLAB and MATHCAD.
* Introduces and develops analytical probabilistic models and shows how to formulate engineering problems under uncertainty, and provides the fundamentals for quantitative risk assessment.

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Editorial Reviews

From the Publisher

A comprehensive treatment of essential probability concepts necessary and useful for engineering planning and design under conditions of uncertainty. Treats application of modern probability concepts at the elementary level. --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.

From the Back Cover

Apply the principles of probability and statistics to realistic engineering problems

The easiest and most effective way to learn the principles of probabilistic modeling and statistical inference is to apply those principles to a variety of applications. That’s why Ang and Tang’s Second Edition of Probability Concepts in Engineering (previously titled Probability Concepts in Engineering Planning and Design) explains concepts and methods using a wide range of problems related to engineering and the physical sciences, particularly civil and environmental engineering.

Now extensively revised with new illustrative problems and new and expanded topics, this Second Edition will help you develop a thorough understanding of probability and statistics and the ability to formulate and solve real-world problems in engineering. The authors present each basic principle using different examples, and give you the opportunity to enhance your understanding with practice problems. The text is ideally suited for students, as well as those wishing to learn and apply the principles and tools of statistics and probability through self-study.

Key Features in this 2nd Edition:

  • A new chapter (Chapter 5) covers Computer-Based Numerical and Simulation Methods in Probability, to extend and expand the analytical methods to more complex engineering problems.
  • New and expanded coverage includes distribution of extreme values (Chapter 3), the Anderson-Darling method for goodness-of-fit test (Chapter 6), hypothesis testing  (Chapter 6), the determination of confidence intervals in linear regression (Chapter 8), and Bayesian regression and correlation analyses (Chapter 9).
  • Many new exercise problems in each chapter help you develop a working knowledge of concepts and methods.
  • Provides a wide variety of examples, including many new to this edition, to help you learn and understand specific concepts.
  • Illustrates the formulation and solution of engineering-type probabilistic problems through computer-based methods, including developing computer codes using commercial software such as MATLAB and MATHCAD.
  • Introduces and develops analytical probabilistic models and shows how to formulate engineering problems under uncertainty, and provides the fundamentals for quantitative risk assessment.

Product Details

  • Hardcover: 420 pages
  • Publisher: Wiley; 2 edition (March 3, 2006)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 047172064X
  • ISBN-13: 978-0471720645
  • Product Dimensions: 8.3 x 0.8 x 10 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 2.1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 4.5 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (11 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #102,374 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Customer Reviews

11 Reviews
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Average Customer Review
4.5 out of 5 stars (11 customer reviews)
 
 
 
 
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Most Helpful Customer Reviews

6 of 6 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Indispensable books for safety and reliability engineers, August 23, 2004
Alhough Ang and Tang's Volumes I and II are already over 20 years old, I consider these books as one of the best on probabilistic design methods in civil engineering. The books cover topics such as 'statistical decision analysis (including CBA, MCA, MCDM)', 'queueing models', 'extreme value theory', 'Monte Carlo simulation', 'failure probability calculation' and 'system reliability techniques'. A huge amount of examples are embedded in the theory. They are ideal to be used as examination questions (which the reviewer succesfully does for his courses on 'Probabilistic Design' and 'Probabilistic Design in Hydraulic Engineering' at TU Delft, The Netherlands).

Civil engineers with an interest in design of maritime -, hydraulic - and coastal structures will miss the probabilistic description of sea waves and current loads. The second edition (2000) of Goda may fill this gap (available at Amazon under 981023256X). Engineers interested in probabilistic description of structural dynamics are referred to the second edition (2004) of YK Lin and GQ Cai (available at Amazon under 0071438009). The connection of probability theory with finite element models (one of the reviewer's main fields of interest) is not covered by the above mentioned books. Something for Volume III...?
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4 of 4 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Still the best book, December 27, 1999
By A Customer
I have used this book and Vol 2 in my graduate and undergraduate courses. Having used a variety of texts for teaching and learning about probability and statistics in an engineering context, I would say the two volumes by Ang and Tang have no rivals. Lots and lots of good engineering type problems.
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5 of 6 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Excellent text for beginning engineering probability study., April 5, 1999
By A Customer
We used this text as the first half of a graduate course in engineering reliability. It presented the concepts clearly and in terms of engineering problems rather than card picking and coin flipping like many other probability and statistics texts. It also provided a thorough treatment of the mathematical basis of the sciences of probability and statistics.

The second volume is also an excellent text, though I have had trouble locating it recently. It treats the issues of reliability and decision analysis in more detail.

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Inside This Book (learn more)
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
interval estimation, sampling theory, ultimate strain, annual rainfall intensity, exponential probability paper, probability that the contractor, initial variate, independent lognormal variates, defective piles, corresponding conditional standard deviation, rated mileage, contaminant flow rate, maximum stream flow, mean occurrence rate, standard beta distribution, existing storm drain, mean yield strength, probability that the structure, shifted exponential distribution, annual maximum flow, double exponential form, basic scatter, updated distribution, excessive snowfall, aleatory uncertainty
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
Monte Carlo, New York, Analytical Models of Random Phenomena, Fundamentals of Probability Models, Useful Probability Distributions, Statistical Inferences, The Bayesian Approach, Functions of Random Variables, Mathematics of Probability, United States, Observational Data, Determination of Probability Distribution Models, Monocacy River, San Francisco, The Venn, Statistical Estimation of Parameters, National Research Council, Testing Goodness-of-Fit of Distribution Models, John Wiley, West Virginia, Cambridge University Press, Bayesian Concept, Correlation Analysis, The Continuous Case, M-File Explanations
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