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Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster 2007 Paperback – January 1, 2007


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Product Details

  • Series: Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster
  • Paperback: 252 pages
  • Publisher: Shandler Enterprises Llc; 21 edition (January 1, 2007)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 1891566075
  • ISBN-13: 978-1891566073
  • Product Dimensions: 8.5 x 0.5 x 11 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1.6 pounds
  • Average Customer Review: 4.7 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (13 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #2,237,157 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Editorial Reviews

About the Author

Ron Shandler has been publishing his unique brand of statistical information for baseball analysts and fantasy leaguers since 1986. He is the author of the Baseball Forecaster, the publisher of Baseball HQ.comand RotoHQ.com, and the first to develop sabermetric applications for fantasy league play.

Customer Reviews

4.7 out of 5 stars
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Most Helpful Customer Reviews

18 of 19 people found the following review helpful By Thomas Edwards on March 1, 2007
Format: Paperback
There's always a series of books that fantasy baseball (and other statheads - but how many statheads aren't into some kind of roto?) players look towards. Baseball Prospectus is one, the Bill James book is another, some of the Baseball America books are popular, but not mentioned as often is this book. I think it's mainly because Shandler aims his book directly at the fantasy baseball player (where the baseball snob may not want to classify themselves as), but Shandler's book yearly adds insight into the previous season's performances and whether to expect them again. Is it a perfect forecasting tool? Of course not - there is no such thing. But Shandler's reasoning for his predictions are less hunch and more fact based, which tends to get better results.

That being said - this isn't a book for the average fan. It reads like a calculus textbook for the mostpart, with small little blurbs on each player (often abbreviated due to size constraints) to explain why the prediction for 2007 may not fit the pattern shown in previous seasons. Shandler (and his crew) aren't humorless, but there's only so much you can say in ~25 words.

Shandler uses a lot of homemade stats and ratings that are treated like they're common knowledge to the reader that a newcomer might totally be lost by. Also consider that while Shandler promotes his book as one that can help all types of fantasy players (sim leagues, head-to-head, traditional roto), since each player only gets a small amount of detail and each one of the before mentioned styles makes a player's value fluctuate, don't expect to buy the book the day before your draft and think that you're set. It's a tool, and just like any other tool, you have to learn how to use it for your benefit.

So my rating was tough to come to.
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13 of 13 people found the following review helpful By I. Lipner on January 3, 2007
Format: Paperback Verified Purchase
Every annual fantasy baseball book out there provides you with projected stats, but they're out of date as soon as they are printed, due to injuries, trades, etc.

Ron Shandler's book does more in that it provides you with a methodology for evaluating players continually throughout the season, plus strategies for winning your fantasy league. And it also includes one free download of a data (Excel) version of updated stat projections right before the season starts.

The previous reviewer's comments was spot on in that while Baseball Prospectus (the other annual baseball stats "bible") is a great source of projections, it's really aimed at the larger baseball community, while Baseball Forecaster is wholly focused on us fantasy managers, and thus spends more time orienting itself toward us.

That said, I disagree slightly with the previous reviewer's assessment when it comes to the steroid article. I'd point out that Baseball Forecaster is intended to allow a bit more room for subjectivity than do strict sabermetricians, for whom numbers are the source of all assumptions. I think that just because there is no underlying data to examine shouldn't mean a subject cannot be discussed at all.

The article on steroids, I think, is an example of the balance BF tries to strike - I don't think Ron Shandler intends his book to be a strictly quantitative study, but rather a combination of the application of math and baseball common sense, with a major skew toward faith in the numbers.
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39 of 47 people found the following review helpful By Ian Mccullough on January 11, 2007
Format: Paperback
This is my first Baseball Forecaster and it is a solid fantasy reference which will help you win. There are articles in here ever fantasy player should read. I'm a long time Baseball Prospectus reader and the Forecaster looks at the relevant "advanced" metrics (strikeouts/innings pitched, OPS, etc...) solely as they apply to fantasy value. This is geared towards auction 5x5 traditional roto, but there is a section on H2H leagues and snake drafts (which I like but the authors do not). They present a few strategies for bidding and give many warnings about the scattershot nature of prediction. The essays on closer volatility and short pieces on topics such as Japanese Players are also valuable.

The rankings are alphabetical by player (not broken up by team - THANK YOU) into hitters and pitchers (not by position). There are cheat sheets in the back which look a lot like the ones I produce for myself (like power ratings by position) and these are also good. Commentaries terse but get the info across.

Why not five stars? One is the low production values - typographically ugly and poorly bound, the physical presentation undercuts the thoughtful information. The cheap cover will start curling almost immediately. Layout looks like it was done by competent amateurs rather than pros. Many of the charts towards the back (pitching logs specifically) are nearly unreadable. Is it so hard to put page numbers in the same place page after page?

Second is the silly insistence on proprietary renaming of rate stats - like K/BB. This may be a gentle way of introducing new concepts to SABR newbies, but the fascist copyright notice at the beginning says otherwise. Free K/BB for the people!
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