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Making sense of things is a science and when explained by Moore, also a life philosophy. His explanation of mindlessness vs. mindful attitude to intelligence analysis, defined as focus, awareness, and living in the moment resembles Buddhist meditation; and his book is a pure joy. In a world of uncertainty, deep understanding of ambiguous facts is needed to be able to speak truth to power. Moore uses widely known intelligence failures to explain his point that "dots can be connected in more than one way" and that not all problems are clearly defined.
TAME vs. WICKED PROBLEMS - it is obvious when an analyst resolves a tame problem. Mysteries are never truly answered; people tend to look for patterns in history and reject new evidence; or use test solutions which change the problem instead of solving it. The strategy for solving wicked problems is to develop a range of alternatives which are mutually exclusive and collectively cover all possible scenarios. Cooper's analytic pathologies result from lack of information sharing, self-limitation to options which can be scientifically proven, focus on results instead of processes and focus on root causes which justify grievances. Policy of small steps can make things worse. In real conditions, testing and planning has limited validity, as explained on the example of pandemics. Collaboration is a problem not only for security reasons but also because it is difficult to identify teams and connect them.
REVOLUTIONARY INTELLIGENCE - "speaking truth to power" requires evidence-based intelligence based on well-worded and critically justified arguments. It is not a surprise that uncorrected and unchecked errors lead to systemic failures.Read more ›
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