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Storm Watchers: The Turbulent History of Weather Prediction from Franklin's Kite to El Nino
 
 
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Storm Watchers: The Turbulent History of Weather Prediction from Franklin's Kite to El Nino [Hardcover]

John D. Cox (Author)
4.8 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (4 customer reviews)

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Book Description

047138108X 978-0471381082 August 19, 2002 1
A lively, inspiring account of the pioneers who sought to accurately predict the weather

Benjamin Franklin . . . James P. Espy . . . Cleveland Abbe . . . Carl-Gustaf Rossby . . . Jule G. Charney . . . just a few of the remarkable individuals who struggled against formidable odds to understand the atmosphere and predict the weather. Where they saw patterns and processes, others saw randomness and tumult-and yet they strove to make their voices heard, often saving lives in the process.

Storm Watchers takes you on a fascinating journey through time that captures the evolution of weather forecasting. From the age when meteorology was considered one step removed from sorcery to the modern-day wizardry of supercomputers, John Cox introduces you to the pioneering scientists whose work fulfilled an ancient dream and made it possible to foretell the future. He tells the little-known stories of these weathermen, such as Ptolemy's weather predictions based on astrology, John Finley's breakthrough research in identifying tornadoes, and Tor Bergeron's new techniques of weather forecasting, which contributed to its final worldwide acceptance.

Filled with extraordinary tales of bravery and sacrifice, Storm Watchers will make you think twice the next time you turn on the local news to catch the weather report.

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Editorial Reviews

Review

"A fascinating volume in which John D. Cox looks at both the science and the personalities of the men who made modern meteorology." (The Associated Press)

"…a fascinating volume in which John D. Cox looks both at the science and personality of the men who made modern meteorology…" (The Associated Press, 14 October 2002)

“…This lively, inspiring account reveals the courage and bravery of the early weather pioneers…”(Firstscience.com, 15 May 2003)

From the Inside Flap

Today’s weather forecasting is a marvel of digital electronics; it is more accurate, more objective, and more useful than ever. It is the product of advanced meteorological science, employing some of the most powerful and sophisticated computers on the planet. But before all this modern technology was the work of a few determined, brilliant individuals. These men persevered without the benefit of such devices as satellites and automated weather stations to discover how the atmosphere works and how to foretell its future.

Storm Watchers tells the remarkable, little-known stories of these pioneering scientists. John Cox presents their epic quest to determine how to predict the weather accurately, tracing the development of meteorology from the time of Aristotle up to the recent breakthroughs in weather prediction.

Before science explained the ways of the winds and the causes of storms, the study of weather was an act of courage. Cox reveals how the early weathermen struggled to have their voices heard even as naysayers outnumbered them. He also explains how, in later years, conflicts raged on both sides of the Atlantic, with "practical" weather forecasters on one end of the debate and "pure" scientific researchers on the other–each suppressing promising developments.

Cox highlights the groundbreaking work of these storm watchers, from the invention of the thermometer by Galileo to the investigation of the character of storms to the advent of the digital electronic computer, a tool so powerful it fundamentally changed how weather forecasters and atmospheric researchers worked. Along the way, you’ll meet such fascinating individuals as:

  • Matthew F. Maury, the U. S. Navy lieutenant whose idea inspired the first systematic information about the best routes for vessels to take across the ocean and what conditions to expect at different times of the year
  • Robert FitzRoy, the first official national weather forecaster whose ability to predict advancing storms was ridiculed and criticized
  • Lewis Fry Richardson, the first to attempt to forecast weather by solving the equations that describe the physics of the atmosphere
  • Jerome Namias, the man who pioneered the modern science of long-range weather prediction

This lively narrative account also includes fascinating stories of many devastating storms, floods, shipwrecks, climate changes, and weather controversies in history. It takes a fresh, behind-the-scenes look at the "American Storm Controversy" and the conflicting forecasts that delayed D-Day. It also tells how early meteorology was considered one step removed from sorcery and about the "discovery" of El Niño.

The efforts of the weathermen profiled in this book have saved and continue to save many lives. Storm Watchers is as much a tribute to their persistence and genius as it is a testament to the remarkable achievement of weather prediction–powerful, everyday science that is too often taken for granted today.


Product Details

  • Hardcover: 252 pages
  • Publisher: Wiley; 1 edition (August 19, 2002)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 047138108X
  • ISBN-13: 978-0471381082
  • Product Dimensions: 9.7 x 6.1 x 0.9 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 12.8 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 4.8 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (4 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #345,311 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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10 of 11 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Storm Watchers - Great Historical Information, February 19, 2003
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This review is from: Storm Watchers: The Turbulent History of Weather Prediction from Franklin's Kite to El Nino (Hardcover)
For a meteorologist, this is clearly a must read if you're at all interested in knowing more about some of the most influential people in our field. The author obviously has done considerable homework and made some of the pioneers in this field come alive, instead of just being names and old b&w photographs. Since the book is unprecedented and I didn't know many of these people personally, it's not possible for me to say how accurate these word descriptions are, but they have the "ring of truth" to me. Some very interesting parallels can be drawn from the past to the present with the information in this terrific book!
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5 of 5 people found the following review helpful:
4.0 out of 5 stars Fascinating history and a veiled warning to us, September 19, 2008
This review is from: Storm Watchers: The Turbulent History of Weather Prediction from Franklin's Kite to El Nino (Hardcover)
Anyone who watched the incredible computer-generated graphics of Hurricane Ike nearing the coast of Texas this month might find this book quite fascinating. It traces the history of weather prediction and the development of the science of meteorology over the past 200 years and an interesting story it is, replete with colorful individual geniuses who pushed the frontiers of knowledge forward -- and dumb bureaucrats and politicians who tried to block them at every turn.
The book begins with Benjamin Franklin who was the first to notice that the winds in a storm moving northwards might actually be blowing in a southerly direction. But most of the other men profiled in this book who made the most striking contributions to meteoroloy -- Americans, Britons and most noticeably Norwegians and Swedes -- I had never heard of.
There was the chemist Luke Howard who classified the different kinds of clouds and gave them the names we know today -- cumulus, stratus, nimbus.
William Redfield was not a trained scientist but in 1821 the New Yorker was the first to describe the circular motion of winds in a hurricane. Twenty years later, Elias Loomis, a professor of mathematics and philosophy, was the first to produce a weather map. But for much of the 19th century, weather forecasting faced tremendous opposition from those who said it was contrary to God's will as well as producers of popular almanacs who faced the loss of their business.
Robert FitzRoy, who captained the Royal Navy ship The Beagle which took Charles Darwin on his historic voyage to the Galapagos, coined the word "forecasting." But progress in the United States ground to a halt after the Civil War when weather prediction was placed under the control of the Army. Things grew even worse at the end of the 19th century when political appointees hostile to science took over in the administration of Grover Cleveland.
The comparison to today's debate over global warming and the Bush administration's refusal for so many years to admit the problem, much less grapple with it, are too obvious to be ignored, though the author of this book does not belabor them.
The consequences of blindly ignoring science were graphically and tragically demonstrated in the great hurricane that destroyed Galveston in 1900. Isaac Cline was in charge of weather forecasts in the city, though he was not a leading scientist. He baldly stated, based on no reliable data, there was no chance of a hurricane striking Galveston. He encouraged the city fathers to demolish the sea wall protecting the city. The government also took the distastrous step of denying weather watchers in Cuba access to the telegraph system because "hurricane warnings unnecessarily riled the natives." After the disaster in which he lost his own wife, Cline launched a coverup, falsely stating that he had posted hurricane warnings -- and emerged a hero.
There are many fascinating stories in this book which is a stark warning of what happens when politicians and bureaucrats hostile to science start their meddling. In 1944, there was a tremendous battle between two forecasters, one renowned scientist Sverre Petterssen and the other Irving Krick, a charlatan who had somehow built himself a career in the field. They disagreed over the weather on the day set aside for the D-Day landings in Normandy. Thank God Petterssen prevailed. If General Eisenhower had listened to Krick, who assured him the weather would be fine, the landings would have been a disaster. Thankfully he heeded Petterssen's advice and postponed the landings by one day.
There are some faults with this book. The writing can be a bit plodding and the characters hardly burst to life from the page. Still, I found it wonderfully interesting and recommend it to anyone who would like to know about the nightly weather forecasts we now take for granted.
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6 of 7 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Storm Watchers, September 11, 2002
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This review is from: Storm Watchers: The Turbulent History of Weather Prediction from Franklin's Kite to El Nino (Hardcover)
John Cox is, and has always been, a phenomenal reporter and writer. This book deserves to be widely read. As a work of history, it is very much welcome -- a book that sheds light on the past of a subject which is, too often, shrouded in myth.
-- Keay Davidson, Science Writer, San Francisco Chronicle
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Inside This Book (learn more)
First Sentence:
IT IS TYPICAL of the history of meteorology that the modern study of storms should begin with the description of a spoiled astronomical event. Read the first page
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
storm watchers, military meteorologists, cyclone model, weather science, weather agency, research meteorologist, weather scientists, weather forecasting service, meteorological theory, modern meteorology, synoptic meteorology, numerical weather prediction, daily weather forecasts, meteorological research, weather bureau, future weather
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
Storm Watchers, United States, New York, Vilhelm Bjerknes, Signal Corps, Jacob Bjerknes, Cleveland Abbe, Royal Society, Joseph Henry, Elias Loomis, Gilbert Walker, William Ferrel, Carl-Gustaf Rossby, Monthly Weather Review, Tor Bergeron, Benjamin Franklin, Isaac Cline, Jerome Namias, Jule Charney, Lewis Fry Richardson, University of Chicago, North Atlantic, Sverre Petterssen, Ants Leetmaa, Matthew Maury
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