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Surviving the Bond Bear Market: Bondland's Nuclear Winter Hardcover


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Surviving the Bond Bear Market: Bondland's Nuclear Winter + Bonds Now!: Making Money in the New Fixed Income Landscape + The Bond Book, Third Edition: Everything Investors Need to Know About Treasuries, Municipals, GNMAs, Corporates, Zeros, Bond Funds, Money Market Funds, and More
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Product Details

  • Hardcover: 224 pages
  • Publisher: Wiley; 1 edition (April 12, 2011)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0470937521
  • ISBN-13: 978-0470937525
  • Product Dimensions: 9 x 6.2 x 0.9 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 14.4 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 3.4 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (5 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #1,230,237 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Editorial Reviews

From the Inside Flap

It has been a bloody few years for investors. First, the stock market, which had been tooling along like a roadster down the Autobahn on a sunny day, hit the brick wall that was the global credit crisis. Bloodied and broken, investors dragged themselves from that wreck, only to be flattened by the sixteen-ton semi of the sovereign debt crisis. Then, just when it seemed as if things couldn't get any worse, along comes the fifty-megaton blast of the 2011 bond bear market.

It is only a matter of time before the bond bubble bursts. All the warning signs are there. What are they and how can you recognize them as the drama unfolds? What can you do to shelter your portfolio against this next financial disaster? What steps must you take now to guarantee you'll have sufficient investment income to see you through the nuclear winter that follows? How will you know when the worst is over?

Get complete answers to these and all your questions in Surviving the Bond Bear Market.

Bond management superstar Marilyn Cohen and financial journalist Chris Malburg trace the political, social, and financial trends that have brought us to this juncture. From serial interest rate hikes to successive waves of muni and sovereign debt defaults, they outline the most likely scenarios for how events will conspire in the months ahead to bring about the worst bond bear market in generations. They paint an all-too-vivid picture of its long-term consequences for investors and the debt markets.

Using real-world examples, the authors show how to spot key inflection points. This allows you to judge the severity of the coming bond bear market as it unfolds. The book provides dozens of easy-to-follow action steps like building a solid fallout shelter to ride out the worst of the bond bear market.

To assist you in your analysis and planning, the authors have included an e-workbook—downloadable on the Surviving the Bond Bear Market's website (www.SurvivingTheBondBearMarket.com)—that enables you to consolidate all your brokerage accounts into a single analytical spreadsheet. Similar to what professional bond managers use, the e-workbook features an array of powerful analytical tools and reports provided in easy-to-use formats.

The sirens have sounded and the final countdown has begun. But all is not lost. Read Surviving the Bond Bear Market and arm yourself with the knowledge and tools you'll need to survive the worst of the coming bond bear market and to thrive in the "New Bond Order" that emerges in its aftermath.

About the Author

Marilyn Cohen is one of the top bond managers in the United States. Her thirty-two-year career in finance has included securities analysis, bond brokerage, and, for the last sixteen years, founder and CEO of Envision Capital Management, a Los Angeles–based money management firm specializing in managing bond portfolios for individual investors. She writes the popular bond column for Forbes magazine and is the coauthor of Bonds Now!

As founder and managing editor of Writers Resource Group, Inc., Chris Malburg is an accomplished financial writer with over four million words in print spread among eleven popular books. Chris is a CPA, has an MBA, and is a former investment banker.


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Customer Reviews

3.4 out of 5 stars
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Most Helpful Customer Reviews

22 of 24 people found the following review helpful By David Merkel on April 7, 2011
Format: Hardcover
This was an interesting book. It is well written, and I share some of the points of view of the authors. That said, there are a bunch of things that I take issue with in the book.

The style of the book was engaging. I liked the way that the authors used two fictional characters, Elvin Greedo, and Neo Fyte, to illustrate the decision-making processes of amateurs. I particularly appreciated the growth of the lesser/younger Neo, as he worked to learn, versus his initially more smarter/successful brother-in-law Greedo.

There is a problem, though. This book takes an inflationist viewpoint. I largely but not entirely share that viewpoint. There is the bias, commonly stated as "What else can the government do but encourage the central bank to inflate away the debt?

There are other possibilities: the government could raise taxes dramatically and pay off all existing debts/claims. Or, the government could pay off domestic claims, and refuse to pay foreign claims, or vice-versa. It depends upon whom they are more afraid.

I think the inflationist view is most likely, but to me it is a two-out-of-three odds.

Thew book takes you through what you would do in order to preserve purchasing power in a bond portfolio through a crisis where there are significant municipal defaults amid inflation. If that is not the scenario we get, this is not the right book for you.

That said, the book understands the complexities of markets. Cycles aren't simple; they don't occur on schedule, and there are often fake-outs. That said, the narrative with Neo and Greedo takes place too rapidly. A crisis the size that the authors are purporting would take longer to play out.

Also, any crisis/recovery might be far more uneven than the book posits.
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5 of 5 people found the following review helpful By Michael L. Loren on May 19, 2011
Format: Hardcover Verified Purchase
This is an intelligent book based on the financial crash we underwent over the last three years. This is not an easy read. The book goes over many pitfalls that us investors face especially when dealing with bonds. The author gives specifics about avoiding certain munis and shows a bias for corporate paper. The strength of Marilyn Cohen is when she looks into "junk" bonds that may be poorly rated, her research determines that many of these are jewels- good yields and good underlying finances. However this book does not go there. Look for her bond picks from her newsletter or articles in Forbes. The current economic climate: Locally in the US and internationally ends up being key factors that determine where and when we need to be investing in bonds. We need to be especially careful with bond funds, however she gives suggestions for using them in a "safe" way again depending on the changing investing winds. Ms. Cohen is a proponent of currently keeping duration short and protecting your portfolio value. Cash is also good in this scenario, as an opportunity to pick up bargins as the lemmings drop out of bond funds and there is a major temporary discounting of bonds. We saw this recently with Munis. If the economy tanks over the next few years,"this is good for bonds" and it may be an opportunity to go long on bonds. Over all it is obvious she knows her bonds. If you are a serious bond investor: this book will not disappoint. There are interesting insights that may save you from losses and likely improve your portfolio.

As an aside, the book had a number of detailed graphs and tables used to support the text. They could have been strengthend if she specifically circled or marked on the table/graph what she was trying to show. I had the kindle edition and the graphs and tables were especially hard to see.
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4 of 5 people found the following review helpful By E. James Crescenzi Jr. on April 17, 2011
Format: Hardcover Verified Purchase
Whether or not you agree with Marilyn Cohen's prognosis that a bond bear market is likely, she presents the case clearly and, more importantly, demonstrates constructive actions to minimize the impact of rising interest rates. She writes well, using a couple of fictional characters to illustrate the tug and pull of conflicting market forces and investor emotions. I wasn't particularly fond of the character material (it tends to dumb down the discussion a bit), but it makes the points particularly clear. I was sufficiently convinced by her book that I made changes in my investments, which is perhaps the strongest of recommendations that others should consider purchasing this book.
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2 of 4 people found the following review helpful By happy listener on January 13, 2012
Format: Hardcover
"Thank You Meredith Whitney" Cohen wrote.

"This Town Cryer isn't crying wolf. Everyone in Muniland wants you to believe the worst is over. I'm not so sure. I think we've only seen the first selling wave. Most states don't even have their new budgets yet. And so far, municipal bond funds have yet to lure back investors after sixteen relentless weeks of net outflows." marilyn Cohen said about Meredith Whitney.

So, you listened to Marilyn and sold all your muni bonds following Marilyn's advise. Will, those same bonds appreciated 10% after the muni bond rally and if you want to buy them back you will have to pay a premium and get half the yield! So, sometimes the so called "experts" get it wrong big time. I would suggest that you look else where for advise about bonds!
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0 of 2 people found the following review helpful By Mark S. Kaplan on May 1, 2011
Format: Hardcover Verified Purchase
This book is not a 'fun' read but the information it contains is both useful and pragmatic.
Marilyn Cohen knows and understands bonds and her advice should be carefully considered by anyone venturing into the bond market.
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