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The Big Secret for the Small Investor: A New Route to Long-Term Investment Success [Hardcover]

Joel Greenblatt
3.2 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (42 customer reviews)


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Book Description

April 12, 2011
When it comes to investing in the stock market,  investors have plenty of options:
 
1.  They can do it themselves.  Trillions of dollars are invested this way.
(Of course, the only problem here is that most people have no idea how to analyze and choose individual stocks.  Well, not really the only problem.  Most investors have no idea how to construct a stock portfolio, most have no idea when to buy and sell, and most have no idea how much to invest in the first place.)

2.  They can give it to professionals to invest.  Trillions of dollars are invested this way.
(Unfortunately  most professionals actually underperform  the market averages over time.  In fact,it may be even harder to pick good professional managers than it is to pick good individual stocks.)

3.  They can invest in traditional index funds.  Trillions of dollars are also invested this way.(The problem is that investing this way is seriously flawed--and almost a guarantee of subpar investment returns over time.)

4.  They can read The Big Secret for the Small Investor and  do something else.  Not much is invested this way.  Yet...
 
Let top hedge fund manager, Columbia business school professor, former Fortune 500 chairman and New York Times bestselling author, Joel Greenblatt, take you on a journey that will reveal the Big Secret for both individual and professional investors.   Based on path-breaking new research, find out how anyone can beat the market, the index funds and the experts by following a new approach that relies on the principles of value investing, common sense and quantitative discipline.   Along the way, learn where "value" comes from, how markets work, and what really happens on Wall Street.  By journey's end, small investors (and even not-so-small investors) will have found their way to some excellent new investment choices.


Editorial Reviews

About the Author

JOEL GREENBLATT is the founder of Gotham Capital, an investment partnership that achieved 40 percent annualized returns for the twenty years after its founding in 1985. He is a professor on the adjunct faculty of Columbia Business School, a managing principal and co-CIO of Gotham Asset Management, the former chairman of the board of a Fortune 500 company, and the author of You Can Be a Stock Market Genius and The Little Book That Beats the Market. Greenblatt holds a BS and MBA from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania.
 
valueweightedindex.com

Product Details

  • Hardcover: 160 pages
  • Publisher: Crown Business (April 12, 2011)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0385525079
  • ISBN-13: 978-0385525077
  • Product Dimensions: 5.2 x 0.7 x 7.8 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 6.4 ounces
  • Average Customer Review: 3.2 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (42 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #71,481 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

More About the Author

Joel Greenblatt is the founder and a managing partner of Gotham Capital, a private investment partnership that has achieved 40% annualized returns since its inception in 1985. He is a professor on the adjunct faculty of Columbia Business School, the former chairman of the board of a Fortune 500 company, the cofounder of the Value Investors Club website, and the author of You Can Be a Stock Market Genius. Greenblatt holds a BS and an MBA from the Wharton School.

Customer Reviews

Don't tell too many people about this--we don't want to lose our advantage. Meticulous  |  6 reviewers made a similar statement
At the end of the day, however, this is a worthwhile book for small investors to read. AdamSmythe  |  4 reviewers made a similar statement
Most Helpful Customer Reviews
105 of 117 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars A Small Book with a Big Message. April 12, 2011
Format:Hardcover|Amazon Verified Purchase
This is a very good book for its intended audience. First, it is short and sweet. At about 156 pages it may seem not so short, but the book is quite small in size, and it probably amounts to, say, 100 normal sized pages. Second, author Joel Greenblatt doesn't simply present his suggested approach for small investors. Rather, he first takes the reader through many of the common investing alternatives that ultimately prove to be too hard, too confusing or just too simplistic for small investors to successfully implement. There's a lot of value in knowing the limits of common investing approaches.

Interestingly, this is not Greenblatt's first book on investing. He has already written "You Can Be a Stock Market Genius," which he now says assumed too much specialized knowledge on the part of readers. It also assumed that small investors have lots (and lots) of time to devote to their investments. Greenblatt claims the book helped a number of hedge fund managers, but they weren't necessarily the target audience. His other book, "The Little Book That Beats the Market," was (and still is) good advice, he maintains, but again most people don't want to do all the necessary work themselves. So, "The Big Secret for the Small Investor" represents his third attempt. Is the third time a charm? At a minimum, I'd say he's much closer. Indeed, for many readers this will prove to be the right mixture of content and sensible advice.

Greenblatt basically groups the small investor's options to four possibilities:

(1) Do it (invest) yourself. However, this is hard. Really hard, to judge from the collective experiences of millions of investors. Many people have little idea as to how to analyze companies and select individual stocks. Further, many do not know how to construct a stock portfolio or know when to buy and sell.

(2) Turn your investments over to a pro. The trouble is that most pros underperform the S&P 500 over the long run. Sure, there are some great pros, but finding them may prove to be at least as hard as successfully investing on your own. In my view, this is a very important point that Greenblatt makes. It's just not as simple as finding the pro with the best track record for the last one, five or ten years. What worked in the past may not work so well in the future. This observation, by itself, could be worth the cost of the book for some investors.

(3) Invest in index funds. However, there are problems with index investing, and congratulations to Greenblatt for developing and explaining these problems in terms that most investors understand. As you read this book, you will come to appreciate the difference between market-weighted ("capitalization" weighted) funds, equally-weighted funds and "fundamentally-weighted" funds. The differences are not trivial, yet most investors are unaware of them.

(4) Use Greenblatt's approach, developed and explained in this book. In fairness to the author, I should let his book speak for itself. However, I will say that his "value-weighted" approach, which amounts to giving more weight to investments that appear more attractively priced (lower price/earnings ratios, etc.), makes sense for many investors.

I have personally invested for many years, and as I look back on my own investing experience I could list many ideas that sounded good to me at the start, but proved to be too complex or too theoretical to work well in the real world. The beauty of this book is that you can save yourself a lot of time by reading Greenblatt's assessments of the typical theoretical approaches and their limitations. For example, financial theory tells us that the value of a company is equal to the value of its future earnings, "discounted" back to today's dollars. The theory is absolutely correct in many respects, but if you try it you'll quickly find out that relatively minor differences in assumed future growth rates (or other variables) make for large differences in today's "value." So what good does that do? As far as traditional Benjamin Graham value analysis goes, the way to succeed is to first determine the value of a company and then to be sure to pay a lot less for it. The "lot less" amounts to Graham's "margin of safety." That's fine for Warren Buffett, who is a master at assessing a company's value. But how are most people going to accurately value a company? They're not. Too many important estimates or guesses are involved.

Okay, this is getting long, so I will draw it to a close. This is an easy to read book that will appeal to (and help) many small investors. It helps identify those approaches that won't work for most people (and in my view, that's perhaps half of the value of the book), and it describes a realistic approach that most people can use. There are no guarantees in investing, of course, so your mileage may vary. At the end of the day, however, this is a worthwhile book for small investors to read. It's well worth your consideration.
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55 of 65 people found the following review helpful
Format:Hardcover
Having learned a great amount from Greenblatt's first two books, I was excited to check out his third. However this turned out to be a disappointment. I did not find any idea to study or strategy to follow; the only thing concrete and practical mentioned in the book was "value-weighted indexing (more below), but it didnt provide much new (such as improvement suggestions or empirical studies) compared to what is already out there.

The book first went over well-known concepts such as most institutional money managers fail to beat the market, and small investors may have a better chance with smaller stocks. It also very briefly mentioned the basic valuation methodologies, including (a simplified version of) discounted cash flow, comparable analysis, acquisition valuation and liquidation valuation. Without going into details of any of them, the conclusion was drawn that all these methods are "hard". I'm baffled if the message here is for small investors to give up valuation once-for-all.

The only thing I found useful was in the last two chapters, which explained why value-weighted indexing could yield superior results to equal-weighted indexing, which in turn is better than market-cap-weighted index (e.g. S&P). Since S&P return beats most professional investors already, small investors could beat the "market" and the professionals by investing in value-weighted indices. The author briefly described the idea of weighting by a combination of value (overweight cheap stocks) and quality (overweight good companies), which is the gist of his book "the little book that beats the market". I think this could work wonderfully but alas no results were presented.

Instead of paying for the book, I would recommend first flipping through the pages at a local book store first. It should be an easy read under an hour if you are familiar with the basic investing concepts.
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52 of 62 people found the following review helpful
Format:Hardcover|Amazon Verified Purchase
"The Big Secret for the Small Investor" is hedge fund legend and Columbia Business School professor, Joel Greenblatt's third book on value investing. While "The Big Secret" is written for smaller investors, it is likely to have a significant impact on how both individual investors and large institutions invest in the stock market.

Like Greenblatt's other books, "The Big Secret" is extremely well reasoned and is an easy read at less than 150 pages. Greenblatt's writing style is light hearted, humorous and clearly does not take itself too seriously. Not taking the book seriously, however, would be a big mistake. As a hedge fund manager Greenblatt has delivered 40% compound annual returns for over 20 years and is widely considered to be one of the great value investors.

Without getting into all of the details of the book, the "Big Secret" of the book is roughly as follows:
1) Numerous studies have shown that active investors do not beat the market;
2) Index funds beat active managers, have low fees but they are market cap weighted (more weighted towards larger stocks);
3) Market cap weighted indexes by definition own more overvalued stocks and don't own enough undervalued stocks. Think about it this way...if a stock is overvalued it has a higher price than it should and due to the higher price the index owns more shares that would be optimal;
4) Equally weighted indexes outperform market cap weighted indexes but...here is the "secret"...
5) Value weighted indexes (buying stocks based on how cheap they are and how good of a business they are) significantly outperform all of the above. The Value Weighted Index used in the book beat the S&P 500 by an average of 6%-7% per year over the last 20 years.

"The Big Secret" goes through in great detail why a value weighted index will outperform mutual funds and other index products. As simple as this concept is, it is amazing that more money is not allocated to value based indexing but that is likely to change with the release of this book.

I have been a big fan of Joel Greenblatt's other books (and reviewed his last one for Amazon) but "The Big Secret" seems to be the most practical for the widest set of investors. Here is how I would compare it to Greenblatt's other books.

1) "You Can Be a Stock Market Genius" - the definitive read on spin-offs, corporate restructurings and special situation investing. This is the bible for hedge funds or individual investors who spend at least 4-5 hours a week working on their portfolios.
2) "The Little Book That Beat the Market" - this is the little book that started the whole "Little Book" series. A great read for understanding what makes a good company and a good investment. This book is ideal for individuals with less time to spend on stock analysis but would like to construct their own portfolio of value stocks.
3) "The Big Secret for the Small Investor" - this is really a great read for all investors but is specifically suited for those investors who want to pursue an index strategy with the best chance of consistently outperforming the stock market over a long period of time.
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Most Recent Customer Reviews
5.0 out of 5 stars Useful and enjoyable
This book contains some very important ideas for amatuer investors and also written in a fun way for people to read. Read more
Published 17 days ago by Anthony Wai
5.0 out of 5 stars Investor's Guide - Soild Wisdom
A well written, entertaining book that brings a highly common sense and adaptable approach to investing. Good information, sound wisdom.
Published 3 months ago by Gregory Crichlow
3.0 out of 5 stars Nothing spectacular
Read it some time ago when I got it, the name of this book is more impressive than its content.
Published 3 months ago by Avi Bentov
3.0 out of 5 stars Simple
Simple book with marketing for fundamental and value index in the heart of its soul.
A final shout-out saying "buy value index funds which beats the S&P but about 1 to... Read more
Published 4 months ago by Alan Chong
2.0 out of 5 stars Choppy, incomplete, unclear audience
If you are new to investing or have been burned by your own actions or those of your managers, this book is likely to be useful to point out the specific conditions that make the... Read more
Published 7 months ago by M. Klein
2.0 out of 5 stars A Small Book with a SMALL Message!
This book is actually better than Joel's previous two books as the advice is actually quite sound. The problem is that there are really only about 4 pages of "actionable" advice... Read more
Published 10 months ago by Dave
4.0 out of 5 stars Small is an advantage
Greenblatt points out the advantages a small investor has. One great quote "you can beat Tiger Woods" - "Just don't play golf with him". Read more
Published 12 months ago by Jim Estill
5.0 out of 5 stars gift
I purchased this book as a gift. I have not read it and therefore I have no opinion on its contents. However, the recipient was very happy to have it.
Published 14 months ago by J. Fitzgerald
1.0 out of 5 stars Get to it already ...
This is a flat-out bad book. It takes him forever to describe then discount various other systems (including an apology at the beginning that his two previous books gave "wrong"... Read more
Published 15 months ago by PJ Mac
5.0 out of 5 stars Great Investment Advice
Joel Greenblat is one of only a handful of investment professionals whose opinions are worth following and giving careful consideration to. Read more
Published 16 months ago by Nils H. Wessell
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